---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys Norwich Free Academy 1
  
Norwich Free Academy  
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 73.2330

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A East Lyme (15- 4, 83.6) 1-17 410 H Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 5- 9 415 A Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 6- 5 417 A Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 1-19 422 H Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 16- 1 424 A St Bernard-Wheeler ( 9- 7, 81.7) 3-16 426 H Maloney-Platt ( 0-16, 64.0) 11- 2 429 A Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 3-11 501 H Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 0-15 503 H RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 4-19 506 H Ledyard-Griswold ( 8- 8, 75.4) 5-11 508 H Woodstock Academy ( 4-11, 73.2) 8- 4 513 A Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 9- 8 515 H Norwich Tech ( 5-11, 66.9) 10- 5 520 H Prince-Cheney Tech ( 1-12, 59.6) 1- 0 604 A Staples (13- 3, 99.4) 0-24

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A East Lyme               1-17     -16   -11           0.00
   410 H Stonington              5- 9      -4    -4          -0.25
   415 A Norwalk                 6- 5       1     3          -1.86
   417 A Southington             1-19     -18   -15           0.00
   422 H Montville              16- 1      15     4           0.93
   424 A St Bernard-Wheeler      3-16     -13    -9           0.00
   426 H Maloney-Platt          11- 2       9    10           0.00
   429 A Waterford               3-11      -8    -7           0.00
   501 H Bacon Academy           0-15     -15    -9           0.00
   503 H RHAM                    4-19     -15    -9           0.00
   506 H Ledyard-Griswold        5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.31
   508 H Woodstock Academy       8- 4       4     1    +      3.45
   513 A Fitch  Groton           9- 8       1    -2    +      2.80
   515 H Norwich Tech           10- 5       5     7           0.00
   604 A Staples                 0-24     -24   -27           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Ledyard-Griswold        5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Woodstock Academy       8- 4       4     1    +      3.45
   513 A Fitch  Groton           9- 8       1    -2    +      2.80

Norwich Free Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Berlin Berlin tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Berlin
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bristol Co-Op
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Norwich Free Academy
Canton Canton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Norwich Free Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Norwich Free Academy
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cromwell Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Norwich Free Academy
Danbury Norwich Free Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Norwich Free Academy
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Darien
East Catholic East Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington Ellington   Ellington
Enfield Enfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Enfield
EO Smith EO Smith tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Fitch Groton Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hall
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury   Immaculate Danbury
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Jonathan Law insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Jonathan Law
Lakeview United Lakeview United   Lakeview United
Ledyard-Griswold Ledyard-Griswold Ledyard-Griswold  
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
Masuk Masuk insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Masuk
Middletown Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Norwich Free Academy
Montville Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
Morgan School Morgan School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) New Milford
Newington Newington tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Newington
Newtown Newtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newtown
North Branford North Branford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Branford
North Haven North Haven tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
Norwich Tech Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
Notre Dame-Fairfield Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Old Lyme insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
RHAM RHAM RHAM  
Ridgefield Ridgefield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Norwich Free Academy
Rocky Hill Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Norwich Free Academy
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton Shelton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Simsbury
Somers Somers insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Somers
South Windsor South Windsor tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) South Windsor
Southington Southington Southington  
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Stamford Stamford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stamford
Staples Staples Staples  
Stonington Stonington Stonington  
Suffield Suffield tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Suffield
Tolland Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Norwich Free Academy
Trumbull Trumbull tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Trumbull
Valley Regional Valley Regional tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Valley Regional
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Norwich Free Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Norwich Free Academy
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Watertown Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
West Haven Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Norwich Free Academy
Westhill Westhill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Westhill
Weston Weston insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Norwich Free Academy
Wilton Wilton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wilton
Windsor Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Norwich Free Academy
Wolcott Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Norwich Free Academy
Woodstock Academy Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy  
Xavier Xavier insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Xavier

PowerWise = 22


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A East Lyme       (15- 4, 83.6)     1-17      -16.31      23.94       0.47         1.06           -16.84
   0 H Stonington      ( 7- 9, 77.5)     5- 9      -22.45      17.81      -0.47         1.06           -24.37
   0 A Norwalk         ( 1-15, 69.9)     6- 5      -30.00      10.25       0.47         1.06            11.40
   0 A Southington     (11- 7, 88.1)     1-19      -11.84      28.41       0.47         1.06           -12.09
   0 H Montville       ( 2-14, 69.6)    16- 1      -30.27       9.99      -0.47         1.06            10.12
   0 A St Bernard-Whe  ( 9- 7, 81.7)     3-16      -18.24      22.02       0.47         1.06           -18.89
   0 H Maloney-Platt   ( 0-16, 64.0)    11- 2      -35.93       4.33      -0.47         1.06             4.10
   0 A Waterford       (10- 5, 79.7)     3-11      -20.20      20.05       0.47         1.06           -20.98
   0 H Bacon Academy   (14- 5, 83.1)     0-15      -16.79      23.47      -0.47         1.06           -18.35
   0 H RHAM            (15- 5, 83.2)     4-19      -16.72      23.54      -0.47         1.06           -18.28
   0 H Ledyard-Griswo  ( 8- 8, 75.4)     5-11      -24.51      15.75      -0.47         1.06           -26.56
   0 H Woodstock Acad  ( 4-11, 73.2)     8- 4      -26.74      13.51      -0.47         1.06            13.86
   0 A Fitch  Groton   ( 3-10, 74.6)     9- 8      -25.34      14.91       0.47         1.06            16.35
   0 H Norwich Tech    ( 5-11, 66.9)    10- 5      -33.02       7.24      -0.47         1.06             7.19
   0 H Prince-Cheney   ( 1-12, 59.6)     1- 0      -40.26       1.00      -0.47         1.06             0.56
   0 A Staples         (13- 3, 99.4)     0-24       -0.54      39.72       0.47         1.06            -0.07
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -92.83

winning pts = 63.5832 losing points = -156.4125

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------