safe3step boys Northeast AA 1

  
Northeast AA          
W-L: (10- 4)  PR =    85.2162
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 321 H Annapolis                            ( 9- 4, 86.4)     7- 6   
 325 H Long Reach                           ( 4- 8, 78.4)     9- 1   
 328 H Glen Burnie                          ( 5- 7, 80.9)    11- 5   
 401 A Oakland Mills                        ( 6- 7, 81.0)     9- 6   
 404 H Severn Run                           ( 4-11, 76.9)    10- 1   
 407 H Perryville                           ( 3- 8, 77.6)    14- 4   
 408 A Meade                                ( 1-10, 73.7)    13- 1   
 410 A South River                          (11- 3, 91.5)     3-13   
 414 H Southern AA                          ( 3-11, 80.1)    13- 3   
 423 H Chesapeake  AA                       (13- 4, 87.9)     3- 5   
 425 A Annapolis                            ( 9- 4, 86.4)     5- 9   
 502 H North County                         ( 7- 8, 83.4)    10- 4   
 509 H Frederick Douglass P                 ( 1- 6, 69.0)    18- 1   
 512 A Chesapeake  AA                       (13- 4, 87.9)     6-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Annapolis               7- 6       1    -1           1.74
   325 H Long Reach              9- 1       8     7           0.00
   328 H Glen Burnie            11- 5       6     5           0.26
   401 A Oakland Mills           9- 6       3     4          -0.78
   404 H Severn Run             10- 1       9     9           0.00
   407 H Perryville             14- 4      10     8           0.00
   408 A Meade                  13- 1      12    11           0.00
   410 A South River             3-13     -10    -7           0.00
   414 H Southern AA            13- 3      10     6           0.00
   423 H Chesapeake  AA          3- 5      -2    -2           0.27
   425 A Annapolis               5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.37
   502 H North County           10- 4       6     2    +      2.79
   509 H Frederick Douglass P   18- 1      17    17           0.00
   512 A Chesapeake  AA          6-11      -5    -3          -1.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Annapolis               5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H North County           10- 4       6     2    +      2.79

Northeast AA Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Annapolis Area Chris	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Archbishop Curley	Archbishop Curley			Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding	Archbishop Spalding			Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Bishop McNamara	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Boys Latin	Boys Latin			Boys Latin
Bullis	Bullis			Bullis
Calvert Hall	Calvert Hall			Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Concordia Prep	Concordia Prep			Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
DeMatha	DeMatha			DeMatha
FCA LC	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Friends	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Garrett County LC	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Georgetown Day	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Georgetown Prep	Georgetown Prep			Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy	Gerstell Academy			Gerstell Academy
Gilman	Gilman			Gilman
Glenelg Country	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Gonzaga	Gonzaga			Gonzaga
Good Counsel	Good Counsel			Good Counsel
Gunston School	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Heights	Heights			Heights
Indian Creek School	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Jemicy School	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
John Carroll	John Carroll			John Carroll
Key School	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Landon	Landon			Landon
Loyola-Blakefield	Loyola-Blakefield			Loyola-Blakefield
Maret	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
McDonogh	McDonogh			McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Mount Carmel	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Mount St Joseph	Mount St Joseph			Mount St Joseph
Park School	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Salisbury School	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Sandy Spring Friends	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Severn School	Severn School			Severn School
Sidwell Friends	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
St Albans	St Albans			St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
St James	St James			St James
St Johns Catholic Pr	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
St Johns College HS	St Johns College HS			St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis	St Marys Annapolis			St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken	St Marys Ryken			St Marys Ryken
St Pauls	St Pauls			St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Sts Peter & Paul	Sts Peter & Paul			Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School	Northeast AA		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Northeast AA
Worcester Prep	Worcester Prep			Worcester Prep
Aberdeen	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Academy for College	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Annapolis	Annapolis		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0)	Annapolis
Arundel	Northeast AA		Northeast AA 4- 2 vs 1- 4
Atholton	Northeast AA		Northeast AA 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Baltimore Polytechni	Northeast AA		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northeast AA
Bel Air	Northeast AA		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northeast AA
Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Bladensburg	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Blair	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Blake	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Bohemia Manor	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Boonsboro	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Bowie	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Broadneck	Broadneck		insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1)	Broadneck
Brunswick	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Calvert	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Cambridge SD	Northeast AA		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northeast AA
Carver A&T	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Catoctin	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Catonsville	Catonsville			Catonsville
Centennial	Northeast AA		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Northeast AA
Century	Century		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Century
CH Flowers	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Chesapeake AA	Chesapeake AA	Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Chopticon	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
City College	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Clarksburg	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
CM Wright	CM Wright		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	CM Wright
Crofton	Crofton		tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1)	Crofton
Damascus	Damascus			Damascus
Digital Harbor	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Dr Henry Wise	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Dulaney	Dulaney			Dulaney
Dunbar	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Dundalk	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
DuVal	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Eastern Tech	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Easton	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Edgewood	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Edmondson-Westside	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Einstein	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Eleanor Roosevelt	Northeast AA		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Northeast AA
Elkton	Northeast AA		Northeast AA 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairmont Heights	Northeast AA		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northeast AA
Fallston	Fallston		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Fallston
Forest Park	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Francis Scott Key	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Franklin	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Frederick	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Frederick Douglass B	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Frederick Douglass P	Northeast AA	Northeast AA
Friendly	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Gaithersburg	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Glen Burnie	Northeast AA	Northeast AA
Glenelg HS	Glenelg HS		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Great Mills	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Guilford Park	Northeast AA		Northeast AA 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Gwynn Park	Northeast AA		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northeast AA
Hammond	Northeast AA		Northeast AA 5- 0 vs 0- 5
Harford Tech	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Havre De Grace	Northeast AA		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northeast AA
Hereford	Hereford			Hereford
High Point	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Howard	Howard		tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)	Howard
Huntingtown	Huntingtown			Huntingtown
JM Bennett	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Joppatowne	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Kennedy	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Kent County	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Kent Island	Kent Island			Kent Island
Kenwood	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
La Plata	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Lackey	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Lake Clifton	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Lansdowne	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Laurel	Northeast AA		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northeast AA
Leonardtown	Leonardtown		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Leonardtown
Liberty	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Linganore	Linganore			Linganore
Loch Raven	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Long Reach	Northeast AA	Northeast AA
Magruder	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge	Marriotts Ridge		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Marriotts Ridge
Meade	Northeast AA	Northeast AA
Mergenthaler	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Middletown	Middletown			Middletown
Milford Mill	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
MJ McDonough	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Mount Hebron	Mount Hebron		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
New Town	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
North Caroline	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
North County	Northeast AA	Northeast AA
North Dorchester	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
North East Cecil	Northeast AA		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Northeast AA
North Hagerstown	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
North Harford	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
North Point	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Northern Calvert	Northern Calvert		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Northern Calvert
Northwest	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Northwestern PG	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Northwood	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Oakdale	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Oakland Mills	Northeast AA	Northeast AA
Old Mill	Northeast AA		Northeast AA 5- 2 vs 2- 4
Overlea	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Owings Mills	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Oxon Hill	Northeast AA		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Northeast AA
Paint Branch	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Parkdale	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Parkside	Parkside			Parkside
Parkville	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Patapsco	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Patterson HS	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Patterson Mill	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Patuxent	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Perry Hall	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Perryville	Northeast AA	Northeast AA
Pikesville	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Poolesville	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Queen Annes County	Queen Annes County			Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Randallstown	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Reginald F Lewis	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Reservoir	Northeast AA		insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1)	Northeast AA
Richard Montgomery	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Rising Sun	Northeast AA		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northeast AA
River Hill	Northeast AA		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Northeast AA
Rockville	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Seneca Valley	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Severn Run	Northeast AA	Northeast AA
Severna Park	Severna Park		Severna Park 6- 0 vs 4- 3
Sherwood	Sherwood			Sherwood
Smithsburg	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
South Carroll	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
South Hagerstown	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
South River	South River	South River
Southern AA	Northeast AA	Northeast AA
Sparrows Point	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Springbrook	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
St Charles	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Stephen Decatur	Stephen Decatur			Stephen Decatur
Suitland	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Surrattsville	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Thomas Stone	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Towson	Towson			Towson
Tuscarora	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Urbana	Urbana			Urbana
Walkersville	Walkersville			Walkersville
Walt Whitman	Walt Whitman			Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Watkins Mill	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Western STES	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Westlake	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Westminster	Westminster		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Westminster
Wheaton	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Wicomico	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Wilde Lake	Northeast AA		Northeast AA 3- 2 vs 1- 3
Winston Churchill	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Winters Mill	Northeast AA		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Northeast AA
Woodlawn	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Wootton	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Archbishop Carroll	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
DC International PCS	Northeast AA			Northeast AA
Jackson Reed	Northeast AA			Northeast AA

PowerWise = 161

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Annapolis       ( 9- 4, 86.4)     7- 6      -13.50      22.09      -0.45         0.87            18.76
   0 H Long Reach      ( 4- 8, 78.4)     9- 1      -21.50      14.09      -0.45         0.87            11.83
   0 H Glen Burnie     ( 5- 7, 80.9)    11- 5      -18.98      16.62      -0.45         0.87            14.02
   0 A Oakland Mills   ( 6- 7, 81.0)     9- 6      -18.91      16.68       0.45         0.87            14.85
   0 H Severn Run      ( 4-11, 76.9)    10- 1      -22.98      12.61      -0.45         0.87            10.55
   0 H Perryville      ( 3- 8, 77.6)    14- 4      -22.34      13.25      -0.45         0.87            11.10
   0 A Meade           ( 1-10, 73.7)    13- 1      -26.18       9.42       0.45         0.87             8.55
   0 A South River     (11- 3, 91.5)     3-13       -8.42      27.17       0.45         0.87            -6.91
   0 H Southern AA     ( 3-11, 80.1)    13- 3      -19.84      15.75      -0.45         0.87            13.27
   0 H Chesapeake  AA  (13- 4, 87.9)     3- 5      -11.96      23.63      -0.45         0.87           -10.76
   0 A Annapolis       ( 9- 4, 86.4)     5- 9      -13.50      22.09       0.45         0.87           -11.32
   0 H North County    ( 7- 8, 83.4)    10- 4      -16.45      19.14      -0.45         0.87            16.21
   0 H Frederick Doug  ( 1- 6, 69.0)    18- 1      -30.91       4.68      -0.45         0.87             3.67
   0 A Chesapeake  AA  (13- 4, 87.9)     6-11      -11.96      23.63       0.45         0.87            -9.98
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        83.82

winning pts = 122.7949 losing points = -38.9707

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------