All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.6299973 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Southington (11- 7, 79.9) 5-10 408 A Brookfield (12- 8, 75.3) 11-10 410 H Immaculate Danbury ( 6-10, 65.4) 15- 6 412 H Xavier ( 6-10, 74.2) 10- 4 415 A Masuk ( 8-10, 72.1) 11- 9 417 A New Fairfield (21- 2, 84.2) 4-15 419 A Guilford (13- 8, 78.5) 8- 7 422 H Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-15, 56.0) 20- 1 424 H Weston ( 9-10, 74.4) 7-10 429 H Joel Barlow (15- 6, 81.7) 8-18 506 H Bethel (13- 7, 76.8) 10-15 509 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 68.0) 16- 3 513 A Bunnell-Stratford ( 3-13, 59.0) 17- 1 515 A Newtown (13- 7, 75.8) 5-11 517 H Bacon Academy (14- 5, 73.3) 5- 7 519 A Newtown (13- 7, 75.8) 3- 8 604 A Amity Regional (10- 7, 74.8) 10- 4 607 A St Joseph Trumbull (15- 6, 87.4) 2-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Southington 5-10 -5 -4 -0.37 408 A Brookfield 11-10 1 -1 + 2.30 410 H Immaculate Danbury 15- 6 9 9 0.00 412 H Xavier 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.95 415 A Masuk 11- 9 2 1 0.10 417 A New Fairfield 4-15 -11 -10 0.00 419 A Guilford 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 5.50 422 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 20- 1 19 19 0.00 424 H Weston 7-10 -3 0 - -3.82 429 H Joel Barlow 8-18 -10 -6 -0.57 506 H Bethel 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.52 509 A Pomperaug 16- 3 13 5 1.05 513 A Bunnell-Stratford 17- 1 16 14 0.00 515 A Newtown 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.17 517 H Bacon Academy 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.94 519 A Newtown 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.17 604 A Amity Regional 10- 4 6 0 +++ 6.86 607 A St Joseph Trumbull 2-12 -10 -13 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Newtown 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.17 424 H Weston 7-10 -3 0 - -3.82 506 H Bethel 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.52 517 H Bacon Academy 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.94 519 A Newtown 3- 8 -5 -1 - -3.17OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 604 A Amity Regional 10- 4 6 0 +++ 6.86 412 H Xavier 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.95 419 A Guilford 8- 7 1 -4 ++ 5.50 408 A Brookfield 11-10 1 -1 + 2.30
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 74.63 Power Rank................. 29 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 48.13 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 27 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6360 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 23 RPI Rating............... .5267 RPI Rank................... 40 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 56 Selection sum ........... 110 Selection Rank ............ 37 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -135. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 43 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -145. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 47 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0