---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys New Fairfield 1
  
New Fairfield         
W-L: (20- 2) PR = 90.5177

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 13- 7 408 H Joel Barlow (15- 5, 89.2) 2- 5 410 A Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-15, 67.9) 16- 0 415 A Weston ( 9-10, 83.9) 14- 6 417 H New Milford ( 9- 9, 83.8) 15- 4 419 A Staples (13- 3, 99.4) 3-16 424 H Bethel (13- 7, 85.4) 14- 3 429 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.7) 20- 2 501 A Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 11- 1 506 H Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 13- 4 510 A Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 15- 5 513 H Masuk ( 8-10, 81.5) 12- 3 514 A Immaculate Danbury ( 6-10, 76.4) 25- 5 515 A Bunnell-Stratford ( 3-13, 72.4) 18- 1 519 H Brookfield (12- 8, 84.9) 13- 2 520 H Trumbull ( 9- 8, 87.7) 12- 5 523 H Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 13- 6 527 A Joel Barlow (15- 5, 89.2) 4- 2 604 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 18- 0 607 H Granby Memorial (13- 6, 82.8) 16- 5 610 N Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 5- 4 614 N Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 14- 4

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Simsbury               13- 7       6     5           0.00
   408 H Joel Barlow             2- 5      -3     2    --    -4.75
   410 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   16- 0      16    22           0.00
   415 A Weston                 14- 6       8     6           0.00
   417 H New Milford            15- 4      11     7           0.00
   419 A Staples                 3-16     -13    -9           0.00
   424 H Bethel                 14- 3      11     6           0.00
   429 H Pomperaug              20- 2      18    11           0.00
   501 A Newtown                11- 1      10     5           0.08
   506 H Brookfield             13- 4       9     6           0.00
   510 A Daniel Hand            15- 5      10     1    +      3.91
   513 H Masuk                  12- 3       9     9           0.00
   514 A Immaculate  Danbury    25- 5      20    14           0.00
   515 A Bunnell-Stratford      18- 1      17    18           0.00
   519 H Brookfield             13- 2      11     6           0.00
   520 H Trumbull               12- 5       7     3           1.67
   523 H Newtown                13- 6       7     6           0.00
   527 A Joel Barlow             4- 2       2     1           1.20
   604 H Morgan School          18- 0      18    13           0.00
   607 H Granby Memorial        16- 5      11     8           0.00
   610 N Haddam-Killingworth     5- 4       1     4    -     -3.36
   614 N Somers                 14- 4      10     4           1.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Joel Barlow             2- 5      -3     2    --    -4.75
   610 N Haddam-Killingworth     5- 4       1     4    -     -3.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Daniel Hand            15- 5      10     1    +      3.91

New Fairfield Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Avon HS New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Bacon Academy New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) New Fairfield
Berlin New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) New Fairfield
Bethel New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Branford New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Brien McMahon New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Bristol Co-Op New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Brookfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Bunnell-Stratford New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Canton New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) New Fairfield
Capital-Classical Pr New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 0) Cheshire HS
Conard New Fairfield tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 1) New Fairfield
Cromwell New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Danbury New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) New Fairfield
Daniel Hand New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Darien
East Catholic New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 1 vs 1- 2
East Lyme New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Ellington New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Enfield New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
EO Smith New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Farmington New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Fitch Groton New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Foran New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Glastonbury Glastonbury tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Glastonbury
Granby Memorial New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) Greenwich HS
Guilford New Fairfield New Fairfield   7- 1 vs 3- 4
Haddam-Killingworth New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Hall New Fairfield New Fairfield   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Hamden New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Holy Cross New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) New Fairfield
Immaculate Danbury New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Joel Barlow New Fairfield tied - (11- 0) (11- 0) New Fairfield
Jonathan Law New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Lakeview United New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Ledyard-Griswold New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Lewis Mills New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Lyman Hall New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Maloney-Platt New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Masuk New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Middletown New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Montville New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Morgan School New Fairfield New Fairfield  
New Canaan New Canaan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Canaan
New Milford New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Newington New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Newtown New Fairfield New Fairfield  
North Branford New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) New Fairfield
North Haven New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Northwest Catholic New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Norwalk New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Norwich Free Academy New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Norwich Tech New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Notre Dame-Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Old Saybrook New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 1) New Fairfield
Pomperaug New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Prince-Cheney Tech New Fairfield   New Fairfield
RHAM New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ridgefield Ridgefield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Rocky Hill New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Sheehan New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Shelton New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Simsbury New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Somers New Fairfield New Fairfield  
South Windsor New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Southington New Fairfield tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) New Fairfield
St Bernard-Wheeler New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Stamford New Fairfield New Fairfield   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Staples Staples Staples  
Stonington New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Suffield New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Tolland New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Trumbull New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Valley Regional New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) New Fairfield
Vinal/Goodwin Tech New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Waterford New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Watertown New Fairfield   New Fairfield
West Haven New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
Westhill New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Weston New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Wethersfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Wilbur Cross New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Wilton Wilton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilton
Windsor New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Wolcott New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Woodstock Academy New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Xavier New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 0 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 86


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Simsbury        ( 8-10, 86.0)    13- 7      -13.94      26.31      -0.47         0.77            19.98
   0 H Joel Barlow     (15- 5, 89.2)     2- 5      -10.66      29.60      -0.47         0.77            -8.60
   0 A Notre Dame-Fai  ( 1-15, 67.9)    16- 0      -31.96       8.29       0.47         0.77             6.78
   0 A Weston          ( 9-10, 83.9)    14- 6      -15.97      24.29       0.47         0.77            19.14
   0 H New Milford     ( 9- 9, 83.8)    15- 4      -16.07      24.19      -0.47         0.77            18.33
   0 A Staples         (13- 3, 99.4)     3-16       -0.54      39.72       0.47         0.77            -0.05
   0 H Bethel          (13- 7, 85.4)    14- 3      -14.49      25.76      -0.47         0.77            19.55
   0 H Pomperaug       ( 5-11, 79.7)    20- 2      -20.23      20.02      -0.47         0.77            15.11
   0 A Newtown         (13- 7, 85.1)    11- 1      -14.78      25.47       0.47         0.77            20.06
   0 H Brookfield      (12- 8, 84.9)    13- 4      -14.98      25.27      -0.47         0.77            19.17
   0 A Daniel Hand     (13- 8, 89.0)    15- 5      -10.94      29.31       0.47         0.77            23.03
   0 H Masuk           ( 8-10, 81.5)    12- 3      -18.35      21.90      -0.47         0.77            16.57
   0 A Immaculate  Da  ( 6-10, 76.4)    25- 5      -23.51      16.75       0.47         0.77            13.32
   0 A Bunnell-Stratf  ( 3-13, 72.4)    18- 1      -27.50      12.76       0.47         0.77            10.23
   0 H Brookfield      (12- 8, 84.9)    13- 2      -14.98      25.27      -0.47         0.77            19.17
   0 H Trumbull        ( 9- 8, 87.7)    12- 5      -12.24      28.02      -0.47         0.77            21.30
   0 H Newtown         (13- 7, 85.1)    13- 6      -14.78      25.47      -0.47         0.77            19.33
   0 A Joel Barlow     (15- 5, 89.2)     4- 2      -10.66      29.60       0.47         0.77            23.25
   0 H Morgan School   ( 8-10, 78.1)    18- 0      -21.77      18.48      -0.47         0.77            13.92
   0 H Granby Memoria  (13- 6, 82.8)    16- 5      -17.06      23.20      -0.47         0.77            17.57
   0 N Haddam-Killing  (19- 2, 86.2)     5- 4      -13.74      26.52      -0.00         0.77            20.50
   0 N Somers          (20- 2, 86.8)    14- 4      -13.11      27.14      -0.00         0.77            20.99
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       348.66

winning pts = 357.3181 losing points = -8.6554

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------