---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys North East Cecil 1
  
North East Cecil      
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 76.7825

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.1) 7-11 325 A Rising Sun ( 9- 4, 81.4) 9-20 326 A Kent County ( 5- 9, 77.4) 4- 8 328 H Joppatowne ( 1-13, 71.1) 21-14 331 H Elkton ( 3-10, 74.8) 10-14 403 H Perryville ( 3- 8, 77.6) 11-19 414 A Edgewood ( 2-11, 70.4) 15- 1 415 A Perryville ( 3- 8, 77.6) 17-13 423 H Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 12-11 424 A Aberdeen ( 7- 8, 78.1) 11- 8 428 H Tome School ( 2- 2, 77.9) 11-18 501 A Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 6-11 509 H Perryville ( 3- 8, 77.6) 18-11 512 A Rising Sun ( 9- 4, 81.4) 6-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H North Harford           7-11      -4    -7           1.00
   325 A Rising Sun              9-20     -11    -5           0.00
   326 A Kent County             4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.89
   328 H Joppatowne             21-14       7     6           0.00
   331 H Elkton                 10-14      -4     2    ---   -6.47
   403 H Perryville             11-19      -8     0    --    -4.67
   414 A Edgewood               15- 1      14     6           0.00
   415 A Perryville             17-13       4    -1    ++     5.22
   423 H Harford Tech           12-11       1    -2    +      2.65
   424 A Aberdeen               11- 8       3    -2    ++     4.71
   428 H Tome School            11-18      -7    -1    --    -4.36
   501 A Harford Tech            6-11      -5    -3    -     -2.46
   509 H Perryville             18-11       7     0    ++     5.33
   512 A Rising Sun              6-18     -12    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Elkton                 10-14      -4     2    ---   -6.47
   403 H Perryville             11-19      -8     0    --    -4.67
   428 H Tome School            11-18      -7    -1    --    -4.36
   326 A Kent County             4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.89
   501 A Harford Tech            6-11      -5    -3    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Perryville             17-13       4    -1    ++     5.22
   424 A Aberdeen               11- 8       3    -2    ++     4.71
   509 H Perryville             18-11       7     0    ++     5.33
   423 H Harford Tech           12-11       1    -2    +      2.65

North East Cecil Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Annapolis Area Chris   Annapolis Area Chris
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Bishop McNamara North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit North East Cecil   North East Cecil
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Georgetown Day   Georgetown Day
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Glenelg Country   Glenelg Country
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Gunston School   Gunston School
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School North East Cecil   North East Cecil
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Key School   Key School
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Maret   Maret
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Mercersburg Academy   Mercersburg Academy
Mount Carmel North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr St Johns Catholic Pr   St Johns Catholic Pr
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti St Vincent Pallotti   St Vincent Pallotti
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School Tome School  
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen North East Cecil North East Cecil  
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Atholton   Atholton
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Bel Air tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 1) Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Blake   Blake
Bohemia Manor Bohemia Manor   Bohemia Manor
Boonsboro Boonsboro   Boonsboro
Bowie North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Calvert Calvert   Calvert
Cambridge SD Cambridge SD insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cambridge SD
Carver A&T North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) City College
Clarksburg Clarksburg   Clarksburg
CM Wright CM Wright CM Wright   5- 0 vs 3- 4
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Digital Harbor North East Cecil insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) North East Cecil
Dr Henry Wise North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Dundalk Dundalk   Dundalk
DuVal North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Easton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Easton
Edgewood North East Cecil North East Cecil  
Edmondson-Westside North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Einstein Einstein   Einstein
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Elkton Elkton Elkton  
Fairmont Heights North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Fallston Fallston insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Frederick Douglass B Frederick Douglass B   Frederick Douglass B
Frederick Douglass P North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Great Mills Great Mills   Great Mills
Guilford Park North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Gwynn Park North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Hammond North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Harford Tech Harford Tech tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   6- 1 vs 4- 5
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) JM Bennett
Joppatowne North East Cecil North East Cecil  
Kennedy North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Kent County Kent County Kent County  
Kent Island Kent Island insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kent Island
Kenwood North East Cecil tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) North East Cecil
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Lake Clifton North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Lansdowne North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Laurel North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Long Reach   Long Reach
Magruder North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Mergenthaler North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Middletown Middletown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Middletown
Milford Mill North East Cecil   North East Cecil
MJ McDonough North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town North East Cecil   North East Cecil
North Caroline North Caroline insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester North East Cecil tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North East Cecil
North Hagerstown North East Cecil   North East Cecil
North Harford North Harford North Harford  
North Point North Point   North Point
Northeast AA Northeast AA tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Northwest   Northwest
Northwestern PG North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Northwood North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills Oakland Mills   Oakland Mills
Old Mill Old Mill   Old Mill
Overlea North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Owings Mills North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Oxon Hill North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Paint Branch North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Parkdale North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Parkside Parkside insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Patterson HS North East Cecil tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North East Cecil
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) Patterson Mill
Patuxent Patuxent   Patuxent
Perry Hall Perry Hall insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Perry Hall
Perryville North East Cecil North East Cecil  
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville   Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Reginald F Lewis North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery   Richard Montgomery
Rising Sun Rising Sun Rising Sun  
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Severn Run Severn Run   Severn Run
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown North East Cecil   North East Cecil
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Southern AA   Southern AA
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Sparrows Point
Springbrook North East Cecil   North East Cecil
St Charles St Charles   St Charles
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stephen Decatur
Suitland North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Wicomico North East Cecil tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North East Cecil
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll North East Cecil   North East Cecil
DC International PCS North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PowerWise = 65


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H North Harford   ( 9- 5, 84.1)     7-11      -15.79      19.81      -0.45         0.87           -14.07
   0 A Rising Sun      ( 9- 4, 81.4)     9-20      -18.52      17.07       0.45         0.87           -15.67
   0 A Kent County     ( 5- 9, 77.4)     4- 8      -22.46      13.14       0.45         0.87           -19.08
   0 H Joppatowne      ( 1-13, 71.1)    21-14      -28.80       6.79      -0.45         0.87             5.50
   0 H Elkton          ( 3-10, 74.8)    10-14      -25.14      10.45      -0.45         0.87           -22.18
   0 H Perryville      ( 3- 8, 77.6)    11-19      -22.34      13.25      -0.45         0.87           -19.75
   0 A Edgewood        ( 2-11, 70.4)    15- 1      -29.48       6.11       0.45         0.87             5.69
   0 A Perryville      ( 3- 8, 77.6)    17-13      -22.34      13.25       0.45         0.87            11.87
   0 H Harford Tech    ( 4- 9, 78.9)    12-11      -21.02      14.57      -0.45         0.87            12.25
   0 A Aberdeen        ( 7- 8, 78.1)    11- 8      -21.85      13.74       0.45         0.87            12.30
   0 H Tome School     ( 2- 2, 77.9)    11-18      -22.03      13.57      -0.45         0.87           -19.48
   0 A Harford Tech    ( 4- 9, 78.9)     6-11      -21.02      14.57       0.45         0.87           -17.83
   0 H Perryville      ( 3- 8, 77.6)    18-11      -22.34      13.25      -0.45         0.87            11.10
   0 A Rising Sun      ( 9- 4, 81.4)     6-18      -18.52      17.07       0.45         0.87           -15.67
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -85.03

winning pts = 58.7035 losing points = -143.7383

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------