---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Northern Durham 1
  
Northern Durham       
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 71.9462

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Wake Forest ( 9- 9, 80.5) 5-16 303 H Roxboro Community ( 4- 8, 73.7) 8- 6 306 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 3-18 311 H Wake Forest ( 9- 9, 80.5) 2-15 313 H Vance Charter ( 1- 9, 70.9) 8- 4 317 A Voyager Academy (10- 9, 76.8) 1-10 326 H Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 1-10 410 A Vance Charter ( 1- 9, 70.9) 4-11 414 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 3-11 416 A Athens Drive (13- 8, 91.1) 1-19 425 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 1-19 428 H Voyager Academy (10- 9, 76.8) 6-12 429 H Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 0-18 502 H Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 80.1) 0-16 506 A East Chapel Hill (13- 8, 88.8) 0-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Wake Forest             5-16     -11    -9           0.00
   303 H Roxboro Community       8- 6       2    -1    +      3.43
   306 A Carrboro                3-18     -15   -14           0.00
   311 H Wake Forest             2-15     -13    -8           0.00
   313 H Vance Charter           8- 4       4     1    +      2.72
   317 A Voyager Academy         1-10      -9    -5           0.00
   326 H Cary HS                 1-10      -9    -7           0.00
   410 A Vance Charter           4-11      -7     1    --    -5.74
   414 A Panther Creek           3-11      -8    -8           0.00
   416 A Athens Drive            1-19     -18   -19           0.00
   425 A Chapel Hill             1-19     -18   -18           0.00
   428 H Voyager Academy         6-12      -6    -5          -0.44
   429 H Jordan                  0-18     -18   -15           0.00
   502 H Riverside Durham        0-16     -16    -8           0.00
   506 A East Chapel Hill        0-13     -13   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Vance Charter           4-11      -7     1    --    -5.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Roxboro Community       8- 6       2    -1    +      3.43
   313 H Vance Charter           8- 4       4     1    +      2.72

Northern Durham Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Bradford Prep   Bradford Prep
Broughton Broughton Broughton   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Butler Butler   Butler
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro Carrboro  
Cary Academy Cary Academy Cary Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cary Christian Cary Christian   Cary Christian
Cary HS Cary HS Cary HS  
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Clayton
Cleveland Cleveland   Cleveland
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter   Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Northern Durham   Northern Durham
Durham Academy Durham Academy Durham Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Eastern Alamance insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Eastern Alamance
Eastern Guilford Northern Durham   Northern Durham
Enloe Enloe tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Enloe
Fike Fike tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fike
First Flight First Flight insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Glenn   Glenn
Grays Creek Grays Creek   Grays Creek
Green Hope Green Hope Green Hope   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Green Level Green Level Green Level   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grimsley
Havelock Havelock   Havelock
Heritage Heritage Heritage   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Northern Durham   Northern Durham
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 0) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs Holly Springs   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Northern Durham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Durham
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Jack Britt tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jack Britt
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Jordan Jordan Jordan  
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek Middle Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Millbrook Millbrook Millbrook   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor   Mount Tabor
Mountain Island Char Northern Durham   Northern Durham
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick   North Brunswick
North Davidson North Davidson   North Davidson
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Raleigh Christ
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northwood
Page Page tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek Panther Creek  
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Pine Forest Northern Durham   Northern Durham
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge   Porter Ridge
Providence Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Ragsdale tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ragsdale
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham Riverside Durham  
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Rolesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rolesville
Roxboro Community Northern Durham Northern Durham  
Sanderson Sanderson Sanderson   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Seaforth Seaforth insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Garner South Garner South Garner   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Iredell Northern Durham   Northern Durham
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Northern Durham Northern Durham   2- 3 vs 0- 2
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford   Southeast Guilford
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford   Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Union Pines
Vance Charter Northern Durham insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Northern Durham
Voyager Academy Voyager Academy Voyager Academy  
Wake Forest Wake Forest Wake Forest  
Wake Prep Wake Prep insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 2) Wake Prep
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Walter M Williams
Watauga Watauga insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Watauga
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Carteret West Carteret   West Carteret
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes West Stokes   West Stokes
Western Alamance Western Alamance   Western Alamance
Western Guilford Western Guilford   Western Guilford
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 10


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Wake Forest     ( 9- 9, 80.5)     5-16      -19.43      14.38       0.27         1.20           -22.90
   0 H Roxboro Commun  ( 4- 8, 73.7)     8- 6      -26.25       7.56      -0.27         1.20             8.72
   0 A Carrboro        ( 7- 9, 85.6)     3-18      -14.27      19.54       0.27         1.20           -16.74
   0 H Wake Forest     ( 9- 9, 80.5)     2-15      -19.43      14.38      -0.27         1.20           -23.55
   0 H Vance Charter   ( 1- 9, 70.9)     8- 4      -28.96       4.84      -0.27         1.20             5.47
   0 A Voyager Academ  (10- 9, 76.8)     1-10      -23.13      10.68       0.27         1.20           -27.32
   0 H Cary HS         ( 7-17, 79.2)     1-10      -20.72      13.08      -0.27         1.20           -25.10
   0 A Vance Charter   ( 1- 9, 70.9)     4-11      -28.96       4.84       0.27         1.20           -34.30
   0 A Panther Creek   ( 2-18, 79.4)     3-11      -20.55      13.26       0.27         1.20           -24.24
   0 A Athens Drive    (13- 8, 91.1)     1-19       -8.76      25.05       0.27         1.20           -10.15
   0 A Chapel Hill     (12- 8, 89.5)     1-19      -10.38      23.43       0.27         1.20           -12.09
   0 H Voyager Academ  (10- 9, 76.8)     6-12      -23.13      10.68      -0.27         1.20           -27.97
   0 H Jordan          (12- 9, 87.3)     0-18      -12.59      21.22      -0.27         1.20           -15.38
   0 H Riverside Durh  ( 9- 8, 80.1)     0-16      -19.75      14.06      -0.27         1.20           -23.94
   0 A East Chapel Hi  (13- 8, 88.8)     0-13      -11.10      22.71       0.27         1.20           -12.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -262.44

winning pts = 14.1822 losing points = -276.6259

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------