---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:47 PDT

safe3step boys Notre Dame Prep II 1
  
Notre Dame Prep II    
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 83.6431

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 204 H Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 8- 9 206 H Desert Vista II (11- 4, 86.1) 5- 8 213 H Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 6- 8 221 H West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 1- 9 225 A Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 0-12 304 A Salpointe Catholic ( 4-12, 83.1) 7- 6 307 A Catalina Foothills ( 9- 5, 85.0) 7- 6 319 H Catalina Foothills ( 9- 5, 85.0) 4- 5 325 A Cactus Shadows ( 4-11, 82.0) 6- 2 401 H Salpointe Catholic ( 4-12, 83.1) 5-10 407 A Desert Vista II (11- 4, 86.1) 5- 4 408 A Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 8- 6 411 H Cactus Shadows ( 4-11, 82.0) 12- 2 416 A West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 2- 3

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   204 H Cactus                  8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.00
   206 H Desert Vista II         5- 8      -3    -2          -0.62
   213 H Brophy Prep II          6- 8      -2    -2           0.13
   221 H West Valley             1- 9      -8    -2    -     -2.62
   225 A Brophy Prep II          0-12     -12    -2    -     -2.63
   304 A Salpointe Catholic      7- 6       1     0           0.54
   307 A Catalina Foothills      7- 6       1    -1    +      2.48
   319 H Catalina Foothills      4- 5      -1    -1           0.24
   325 A Cactus Shadows          6- 2       4     2    +      2.44
   401 H Salpointe Catholic      5-10      -5     1    --    -5.71
   407 A Desert Vista II         5- 4       1    -3    +      3.62
   408 A Cactus                  8- 6       2     2           0.25
   411 H Cactus Shadows         12- 2      10     2    +      3.19
   416 A West Valley             2- 3      -1    -3           1.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Salpointe Catholic      5-10      -5     1    --    -5.71
   204 H Cactus                  8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.00
   221 H West Valley             1- 9      -8    -2    -     -2.62
   225 A Brophy Prep II          0-12     -12    -2    -     -2.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Catalina Foothills      7- 6       1    -1    +      2.48
   325 A Cactus Shadows          6- 2       4     2    +      2.44
   407 A Desert Vista II         5- 4       1    -3    +      3.62
   411 H Cactus Shadows         12- 2      10     2    +      3.19

Notre Dame Prep II Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Arcadia Arcadia tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Arcadia
Boulder Creek Boulder Creek   Boulder Creek
Brophy Prep Brophy Prep   Brophy Prep
Brophy Prep II Brophy Prep II Brophy Prep II  
Cactus Notre Dame Prep II Notre Dame Prep II   4- 5 vs 2- 4
Cactus Shadows Notre Dame Prep II Notre Dame Prep II  
Catalina Foothills Catalina Foothills insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 3) Catalina Foothills
Chandler Chandler insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chandler
Corona del Sol Corona del Sol insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Corona del Sol
Desert Vista Desert Vista   Desert Vista
Desert Vista II Desert Vista II insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 5- 1) Desert Vista II
Higley Higley   Higley
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oro Valley Oro Valley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Oro Valley
Pinnacle Pinnacle insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) Pinnacle
Salpointe Catholic Notre Dame Prep II Notre Dame Prep II   4- 5 vs 0- 6
Scottsdale Scottsdale tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Scottsdale
West Valley West Valley West Valley  

PowerWise = 3


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Cactus          ( 3-13, 81.8)     8- 9      -18.13       1.00      -0.12         0.98           -17.84
   0 H Desert Vista I  (11- 4, 86.1)     5- 8      -13.76       4.37      -0.12         0.98           -13.57
   0 H Brophy Prep II  ( 9- 5, 85.9)     6- 8      -14.01       4.13      -0.12         0.98           -13.81
   0 H West Valley     (10- 7, 86.1)     1- 9      -13.76       4.37      -0.12         0.98           -13.57
   0 A Brophy Prep II  ( 9- 5, 85.9)     0-12      -14.01       4.13       0.12         0.98           -13.57
   0 A Salpointe Cath  ( 4-12, 83.1)     7- 6      -16.84       1.29       0.12         0.98             1.39
   0 A Catalina Footh  ( 9- 5, 85.0)     7- 6      -14.90       3.23       0.12         0.98             3.28
   0 H Catalina Footh  ( 9- 5, 85.0)     4- 5      -14.90       3.23      -0.12         0.98           -14.68
   0 A Cactus Shadows  ( 4-11, 82.0)     6- 2      -17.94       1.00       0.12         0.98             1.10
   0 H Salpointe Cath  ( 4-12, 83.1)     5-10      -16.84       1.29      -0.12         0.98           -16.58
   0 A Desert Vista I  (11- 4, 86.1)     5- 4      -13.76       4.37       0.12         0.98             4.40
   0 A Cactus          ( 3-13, 81.8)     8- 6      -18.13       1.00       0.12         0.98             1.10
   0 H Cactus Shadows  ( 4-11, 82.0)    12- 2      -17.94       1.00      -0.12         0.98             0.86
   0 A West Valley     (10- 7, 86.1)     2- 3      -13.76       4.37       0.12         0.98           -13.33
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -104.83

winning pts = 12.1195 losing points = -116.9493

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------