---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys New Covenant School 1
  
New Covenant School   
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 82.2742

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Blue Ridge School (13- 3, 97.0) 3-18 327 H Jefferson Forest (14- 3, 89.0) 6-20 401 H North Cross School (11- 7, 88.5) 1-18 405 A Fredericksburg Chris (11- 5, 83.5) 8-10 415 A Virginia Episcopal S ( 5- 9, 83.5) 11-12 422 H Veritas School ( 4- 6, 76.5) 13- 5 429 H Rockingham LC ( 3- 1, 86.6) 2-10 501 H Covenant School ( 9- 7, 86.6) 4-17 506 H Fork Union Military ( 6- 5, 89.9) 9-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Blue Ridge School       3-18     -15   -14           0.00
   327 H Jefferson Forest        6-20     -14    -6           0.00
   401 H North Cross School      1-18     -17    -6           0.00
   405 A Fredericksburg Chris    8-10      -2    -2          -0.20
   415 A Virginia Episcopal S   11-12      -1    -2           0.83
   422 H Veritas School         13- 5       8     6           0.00
   429 H Rockingham LC           2-10      -8    -4          -1.30
   501 H Covenant School         4-17     -13    -4          -1.29
   506 H Fork Union Military     9-14      -5    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

New Covenant School Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School  
Brentsville Brentsville   Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Brooke Point   Brooke Point
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville New Covenant School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Covenant School
Christchurch Christchurch insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Christchurch
Christiansburg New Covenant School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Covenant School
Clover Hill New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School Covenant School  
Cox New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Culpeper County New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View New Covenant School   New Covenant School
EC Glass EC Glass EC Glass   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Edison New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Fauquier New Covenant School   New Covenant School
First Colonial New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Fishburne Military A New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Flint Hill Flint Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Flint Hill
Fluvanna County New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Forest Park New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military Fork Union Military  
Franklin County New Covenant School tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) New Covenant School
Fredericksburg Acade New Covenant School tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) New Covenant School
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris  
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Grassfield LC New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Green Run New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Handley Handley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield   Hayfield
Heritage Leesburg New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Hidden Valley New Covenant School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Covenant School
Highland School New Covenant School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Covenant School
Highland Springs New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Hylton New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe New Covenant School   New Covenant School
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest  
John Champe New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Justice New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Kettle Run New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Liberty Bealeton New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Loudoun County Loudoun County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Manchester   Manchester
Marshall New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Massaponax New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Matoaca New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Menchville LC New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Monacan Monacan   Monacan
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Mount Vernon New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Mountain View New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian New Covenant School tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) New Covenant School
Norfolk Collegiate New Covenant School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Covenant School
North Cross School North Cross School North Cross School  
North Stafford New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Northern VA Home Sch New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Orange County New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Osbourn New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Osbourn Park New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Park View New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Patrick Henry Ashla New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Paul VI
Potomac Falls New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Powhatan New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Princess Anne New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Riverbend New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Rockbridge County New Covenant School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Covenant School
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC Rockingham LC  
Salem Salem Salem   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Salem Virginia Beach New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Seton School New Covenant School tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) New Covenant School
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers St Christophers   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St John Paul the Gre New Covenant School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Covenant School
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Steward School New Covenant School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Covenant School
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Tandem Friends New Covenant School insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) New Covenant School
Thomas Dale New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Thomas Jefferson New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal New Covenant School tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) New Covenant School
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Unity Reed New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Veritas School New Covenant School New Covenant School  
Virginia Academy New Covenant School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Covenant School
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S  
Wakefield HS New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Wakefield School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Woodbridge New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 81


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Blue Ridge Sch  (13- 3, 97.0)     3-18       -2.86      32.14      -0.61         1.55            -5.37
   0 H Jefferson Fore  (14- 3, 89.0)     6-20      -10.85      24.15      -0.61         1.55           -17.76
   0 H North Cross Sc  (11- 7, 88.5)     1-18      -11.43      23.57      -0.61         1.55           -18.65
   0 A Fredericksburg  (11- 5, 83.5)     8-10      -16.44      18.56       0.61         1.55           -24.52
   0 A Virginia Episc  ( 5- 9, 83.5)    11-12      -16.40      18.60       0.61         1.55           -24.46
   0 H Veritas School  ( 4- 6, 76.5)    13- 5      -23.36      11.64      -0.61         1.55            17.09
   0 H Rockingham LC   ( 3- 1, 86.6)     2-10      -13.31      21.69      -0.61         1.55           -21.57
   0 H Covenant Schoo  ( 9- 7, 86.6)     4-17      -13.31      21.70      -0.61         1.55           -21.56
   0 H Fork Union Mil  ( 6- 5, 89.9)     9-14      -10.00      25.00      -0.61         1.55           -16.44
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -133.24

winning pts = 17.0941 losing points = -150.3302

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------