Northwest Catholic
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 82.7031Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 H Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 8- 9 410 H Newington ( 5-12, 79.9) 14- 5 414 A Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 17- 5 421 A Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 4-12 424 H Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 4-11 426 H Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 7-11 430 H Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 2-19 502 A St Paul Catholic (11- 7, 77.5) 10- 5 505 A South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 16-12 508 H Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 9- 8 510 A St Bernard-Wheeler ( 9- 7, 81.7) 8-11 512 A East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 10-14 513 H Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 12- 8 515 A Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 11- 6 523 H Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 5-16 524 H Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 17-12 604 A Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 5-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
407 H Suffield 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.31
410 H Newington 14- 5 9 3 1.69
414 A Lewis Mills 17- 5 12 3 + 2.29
421 A Simsbury 4-12 -8 -4 -1.27
424 H Conard 4-11 -7 -6 0.00
426 H Bacon Academy 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.07
430 H Glastonbury 2-19 -17 -12 0.00
502 A St Paul Catholic 10- 5 5 5 0.29
505 A South Windsor 16-12 4 2 1.54
508 H Avon HS 9- 8 1 3 -1.99
510 A St Bernard-Wheeler 8-11 -3 1 - -3.57
512 A East Catholic 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.20
513 H Farmington 12- 8 4 0 + 3.81
515 A Hall 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.48
523 H Southington 5-16 -11 -5 -0.12
524 H Wethersfield 17-12 5 2 + 2.71
604 A Simsbury 5-15 -10 -4 -1.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H Bacon Academy 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.07 407 H Suffield 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.31 510 A St Bernard-Wheeler 8-11 -3 1 - -3.57 512 A East Catholic 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Hall 11- 6 5 0 ++ 5.48 414 A Lewis Mills 17- 5 12 3 + 2.29 513 H Farmington 12- 8 4 0 + 3.81 524 H Wethersfield 17-12 5 2 + 2.71 |
Northwest Catholic Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | ||
| Berlin | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 6- 1 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Brien McMahon | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Bunnell-Stratford | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Canton | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Capital-Classical Pr | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Danbury | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Ellington | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Enfield | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| EO Smith | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Farmington | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Fitch Groton | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Hamden | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Holy Cross | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Immaculate Danbury | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Lakeview United | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ledyard-Griswold | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Lewis Mills | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Lyman Hall | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Maloney-Platt | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Masuk | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Middletown | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Montville | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Morgan School | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | New Milford | |
| Newington | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwest Catholic | |
| North Haven | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwich Tech | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Old Lyme | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Saybrook | |
| Pomperaug | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| RHAM | RHAM | insuffient: ( 6- 4)( 7- 3) | RHAM | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville Co-op | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Rocky Hill | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| South Windsor | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | ||
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph Trumbull | |
| St Paul Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Suffield | Suffield | Suffield | ||
| Tolland | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 6- 1 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Waterford | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Watertown | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| West Haven | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Westhill | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Wilbur Cross | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Wilton | Wilton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wilton | |
| Windsor | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Wolcott | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Woodstock Academy | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Xavier | Xavier | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Xavier |
PowerWise = 58
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 8- 9 -18.04 22.22 -0.47 1.00 -18.52
0 H Newington ( 5-12, 79.9) 14- 5 -20.03 20.22 -0.47 1.00 19.76
0 A Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 17- 5 -20.38 19.88 0.47 1.00 20.36
0 A Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 4-12 -13.94 26.31 0.47 1.00 -13.48
0 H Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 4-11 -10.26 30.00 -0.47 1.00 -10.74
0 H Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 7-11 -16.79 23.47 -0.47 1.00 -17.27
0 H Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 2-19 -4.61 35.64 -0.47 1.00 -5.09
0 A St Paul Cathol (11- 7, 77.5) 10- 5 -22.38 17.87 0.47 1.00 18.36
0 A South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 16-12 -20.13 20.13 0.47 1.00 20.61
0 H Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 9- 8 -19.72 20.54 -0.47 1.00 20.08
0 A St Bernard-Whe ( 9- 7, 81.7) 8-11 -18.24 22.02 0.47 1.00 -17.78
0 A East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 10-14 -16.87 23.39 0.47 1.00 -16.41
0 H Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 12- 8 -16.92 23.34 -0.47 1.00 22.88
0 A Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 11- 6 -17.19 23.07 0.47 1.00 23.56
0 H Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 5-16 -11.84 28.41 -0.47 1.00 -12.32
0 H Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 17-12 -19.02 21.24 -0.47 1.00 20.78
0 A Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 5-15 -13.94 26.31 0.47 1.00 -13.48
------
41.29
|
winning pts = 166.3799 losing points = -125.0880
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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