New Bern
W-L: (12-10) PR = 85.3031Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 5- 7 228 A Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 6-11 307 H Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 7-10 308 A Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 17- 3 310 H New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 14- 2 312 A Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 22- 7 314 A Corinth Holders ( 7-13, 81.8) 8- 6 319 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 2-15 321 H North Raleigh Christ ( 4-12, 84.3) 6- 5 331 H Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 19-10 402 A First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 11-10 409 H JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 7- 9 416 A Topsail (15- 6, 91.1) 4-15 424 H Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 10- 6 425 A Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 5- 1 426 H Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 7-13 428 A Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 15-10 430 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 6-10 501 A West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 14-12 505 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 11-10 507 A JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 11-14 516 H Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 8-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 A Pinecrest 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.54
228 A Clayton 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.11
307 H Laney 7-10 -3 -8 + 2.00
308 A Swansboro 17- 3 14 6 0.00
310 H New Hanover 14- 2 12 5 0.48
312 A Havelock 22- 7 15 4 0.68
314 A Corinth Holders 8- 6 2 3 -1.21
319 A Croatan 2-15 -13 -9 0.00
321 H North Raleigh Christ 6- 5 1 1 -0.26
331 H Jacksonville 19-10 9 5 0.00
402 A First Flight 11-10 1 -5 +++ 6.00
409 H JH Rose 7- 9 -2 0 -1.67
416 A Topsail 4-15 -11 -6 0.00
424 H Havelock 10- 6 4 5 -0.86
425 A Northside 5- 1 4 2 + 2.32
426 H Jordan 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.26
428 A Jacksonville 15-10 5 5 0.38
430 H First Flight 6-10 -4 -5 0.83
501 A West Carteret 14-12 2 7 - -3.00
505 H Northside 11-10 1 2 -1.22
507 A JH Rose 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.13
516 H Broughton 8-11 -3 -7 + 2.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Clayton 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.11 426 H Jordan 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.26 501 A West Carteret 14-12 2 7 - -3.00 507 A JH Rose 11-14 -3 -1 - -2.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A First Flight 11-10 1 -5 +++ 6.00 307 H Laney 7-10 -3 -8 + 2.00 425 A Northside 5- 1 4 2 + 2.32 516 H Broughton 8-11 -3 -7 + 2.00 |
New Bern Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Apex | |
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ardrey Kell | |
| Arendell Parrott Aca | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Asheville HS | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Asheville School | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 3) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Athens Drive | |
| Atkins | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Bradford Prep | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | New Bern | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | New Bern | |
| Cape Fear HS | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | New Bern | |
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Carrboro | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Carrboro | |
| Cary Academy | Cary Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Cary Christian | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Cary HS | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Cedar Ridge | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Charlotte Catholic | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Charlotte CDS | |
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Clayton | Clayton | ||
| Cleveland | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | New Bern | |
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davie | Davie | Davie | ||
| DH Conley | New Bern | New Bern 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Durham Academy | |
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Eastern Alamance | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Eastern Guilford | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Enloe | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 3) | New Bern | |
| Fike | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | New Bern | |
| First Flight | First Flight | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | First Flight | |
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Fuquay-Varina | |
| Garner | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | New Bern | |
| Glenn | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Grays Creek | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | New Bern | |
| Green Hope | Green Hope | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Green Hope | |
| Green Level | Green Level | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Green Level | |
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Greensboro Day | |
| Grimsley | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Havelock | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hickory | Hickory | Hickory | ||
| High Point Central | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 4) | Hoggard | |
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Independence | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Jack Britt | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Jacksonville | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| JF Webb | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | New Bern | New Bern 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Jordan | Jordan | Jordan | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lincoln Charter | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Millbrook | |
| Mooresville | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Mount Tabor | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Mountain Island Char | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Hanover | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| North Brunswick | New Bern | New Bern 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| North Davidson | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| North Lincoln | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Northern Durham | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | ||
| Northside | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Page | Page | Page | ||
| Panther Creek | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Parkwood | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Patton Morganton | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Pine Forest | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | Pine Lake Prep | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | Pinecrest | ||
| Porter Ridge | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Providence | Providence | Providence | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Queens Grant | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Ravenscroft School | |
| Reagan | Reagan | Reagan | ||
| Riverside Durham | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | New Bern | New Bern 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Roxboro Community | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Sanderson | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | New Bern | |
| Seaforth | Seaforth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Seaforth | |
| South Brunswick | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | New Bern | |
| South Garner | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | New Bern | |
| South Iredell | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| South Mecklenburg | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| South View | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Southeast Alamance | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Southeast Guilford | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Southern Alamance | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | New Bern | |
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| St Davids School | St Davids School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Davids School | |
| St Stephens | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Sun Valley | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Swansboro | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | New Bern | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) | New Bern | |
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | New Bern | |
| Vance Charter | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Voyager Academy | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Wake Forest | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Wake Prep | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Wakefield | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | New Bern | |
| Walter M Williams | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | New Bern | |
| Watauga | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | New Bern | New Bern 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| West Carteret | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| West Forsyth | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| West Stokes | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Western Alamance | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Western Guilford | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 83
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 5- 7 -13.41 20.40 0.27 0.82 -10.71
0 A Clayton (13- 6, 86.9) 6-11 -12.98 20.83 0.27 0.82 -10.36
0 H Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 7-10 -6.75 27.06 -0.27 0.82 -5.72
0 A Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 17- 3 -21.24 12.57 0.27 0.82 10.47
0 H New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 14- 2 -18.84 14.97 -0.27 0.82 11.98
0 A Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 22- 7 -19.19 14.62 0.27 0.82 12.14
0 A Corinth Holder ( 7-13, 81.8) 8- 6 -18.08 15.73 0.27 0.82 13.05
0 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 2-15 -5.52 28.29 0.27 0.82 -4.28
0 H North Raleigh ( 4-12, 84.3) 6- 5 -15.58 18.23 -0.27 0.82 14.64
0 H Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 19-10 -19.49 14.32 -0.27 0.82 11.45
0 A First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 11-10 -9.50 24.31 0.27 0.82 20.04
0 H JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 7- 9 -14.00 19.81 -0.27 0.82 -11.63
0 A Topsail (15- 6, 91.1) 4-15 -8.75 25.06 0.27 0.82 -6.91
0 H Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 10- 6 -19.19 14.62 -0.27 0.82 11.70
0 A Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 5- 1 -16.55 17.26 0.27 0.82 14.29
0 H Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 7-13 -12.59 21.22 -0.27 0.82 -10.48
0 A Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 15-10 -19.49 14.32 0.27 0.82 11.89
0 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 6-10 -9.50 24.31 -0.27 0.82 -7.96
0 A West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 14-12 -22.35 11.46 0.27 0.82 9.56
0 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 11-10 -16.55 17.26 -0.27 0.82 13.85
0 A JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 11-14 -14.00 19.81 0.27 0.82 -11.19
0 H Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 8-11 -7.23 26.58 -0.27 0.82 -6.12
------
69.70
|
winning pts = 155.0591 losing points = -85.3621
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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