---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Nazareth Academy 1
  
Nazareth Academy      
W-L: ( 6-13) PR = 80.2126

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Fenwick ( 8-11, 84.6) 4-16 322 H Lake Park ( 3-14, 78.7) 7- 5 403 A St Laurence ( 2-13, 76.6) 10- 7 405 H Riverside Brookfield (11- 7, 85.6) 1-13 407 A St Francis (12- 6, 87.0) 1-10 412 A Montini Catholic (10- 5, 86.9) 1-14 417 H Brother Rice ( 7-11, 81.5) 1- 9 422 A Benet Academy (11- 9, 89.2) 0-14 424 A Notre Dame ( 5-15, 83.2) 2-11 426 H St Viator (18- 2, 99.9) 1-22 429 A St Patrick ( 1-17, 72.9) 15- 0 501 A Batavia ( 1-14, 77.2) 5- 0 503 A Immaculate Conceptio ( 3-14, 79.4) 10- 4 506 A Oak Park-River Fores ( 7-11, 86.8) 2-19 508 H Carmel Catholic (13- 7, 87.6) 5-15 513 H Marmion Academy ( 3-13, 78.2) 15- 4 515 H Marist ( 9- 8, 90.4) 3-20 517 H Providence Catholic ( 6- 8, 83.3) 7-15 521 A Mount Carmel (13- 5, 89.1) 2-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Fenwick                 4-16     -12    -4          -1.23
   322 H Lake Park               7- 5       2     2          -0.14
   403 A St Laurence            10- 7       3     3           0.04
   405 H Riverside Brookfield    1-13     -12    -5          -0.20
   407 A St Francis              1-10      -9    -7           0.00
   412 A Montini Catholic        1-14     -13    -7           0.00
   417 H Brother Rice            1- 9      -8    -1    --    -4.36
   422 A Benet Academy           0-14     -14   -10           0.00
   424 A Notre Dame              2-11      -9    -4          -1.37
   426 H St Viator               1-22     -21   -19           0.00
   429 A St Patrick             15- 0      15     7           0.00
   501 A Batavia                 5- 0       5     2    +      2.60
   503 A Immaculate Conceptio   10- 4       6     0    ++     4.80
   506 A Oak Park-River Fores    2-19     -17    -7           0.00
   508 H Carmel Catholic         5-15     -10    -7           0.00
   513 H Marmion Academy        15- 4      11     3    +      2.38
   515 H Marist                  3-20     -17   -10           0.00
   517 H Providence Catholic     7-15      -8    -2    -     -2.52
   521 A Mount Carmel            2-14     -12   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Brother Rice            1- 9      -8    -1    --    -4.36
   517 H Providence Catholic     7-15      -8    -2    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Immaculate Conceptio   10- 4       6     0    ++     4.80
   501 A Batavia                 5- 0       5     2    +      2.60
   513 H Marmion Academy        15- 4      11     3    +      2.38

Nazareth Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andrew-Sandburg-Stag Andrew-Sandburg-Stag tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Andrew-Sandburg-Stag
Antioch Antioch insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Antioch
Barrington Barrington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Barrington
Batavia Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Benet Academy Benet Academy Benet Academy  
Boylan Catholic Boylan Catholic tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Boylan Catholic
Brother Rice Brother Rice Brother Rice  
Buffalo Grove Buffalo Grove   Buffalo Grove
Burlington Central Burlington Central tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Burlington Central
Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Cary Grove Cary Grove   Cary Grove
Conant Conant tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Conant
Crystal Lake Central Crystal Lake Central   Crystal Lake Central
Crystal Lake South Crystal Lake South tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Crystal Lake South
Deerfield Deerfield   Deerfield
DePaul Prep DePaul Prep DePaul Prep  10- 1 vs 2- 9
Downers Grove Downers Grove Downers Grove   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Dundee-Crown Nazareth Academy   Nazareth Academy
Dunlap Dunlap   Dunlap
Elk Grove Nazareth Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nazareth Academy
Evanston Township Evanston Township Evanston Township   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Fenwick Fenwick Fenwick  
Fremd Fremd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Fremd
Geneva Geneva tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Geneva
Glenbard North Glenbard North insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Glenbard North
Glenbard West Glenbard West insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Glenbard West
Glenbrook North Glenbrook North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Glenbrook North
Glenbrook South Glenbrook South Glenbrook South   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Grant Community Grant Community insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grant Community
Grayslake Co-op Grayslake Co-op   Grayslake Co-op
Hampshire Hampshire tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hampshire
Hersey Hersey   Hersey
Highland Park Highland Park insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Highland Park
Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Hoffman Estates Hoffman Estates insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Hoffman Estates
Homewood Flossmoor Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Nazareth Academy
Huntley Huntley   Huntley
Immaculate Conceptio Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Jacobs Jacobs tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Jacobs
Kaneland Kaneland tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Kaneland
Kenwood Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Nazareth Academy
Lake Forest Academy Lake Forest Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Forest Academy
Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Forest HS
Lake Park Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Lake Zurich Lake Zurich insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Zurich
Lakes Community Lakes Community   Lakes Community
Lane Tech Lane Tech tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lane Tech
Latin School Latin School insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) Latin School
Lemont Lemont Lemont   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Libertyville Libertyville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Libertyville
Lincoln Park Nazareth Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nazareth Academy
Lincoln-Way Lincoln-Way Lincoln-Way   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lockport Township Lockport Township insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Lockport Township
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Loyola Academy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lyons Township Lyons Township Lyons Township   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Maine South Maine South Maine South   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Marian Central Catho Marian Central Catho   Marian Central Catho
Marist Marist Marist  
Marmion Academy Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
McHenry McHenry tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McHenry
Minooka Minooka insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Minooka
Montini Catholic Montini Catholic Montini Catholic  
Mount Carmel Mount Carmel Mount Carmel  
Mundelein Mundelein   Mundelein
Naperville Central Naperville Central tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Naperville Central
Naperville North Naperville North insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Naperville North
Neuqua Valley Neuqua Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Neuqua Valley
New Trier New Trier insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) New Trier
Normal Community Normal Community   Normal Community
Northside College Pr Nazareth Academy   Nazareth Academy
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame  
Oak Forest Oak Forest Oak Forest   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Oak Park-River Fores Oak Park-River Fores Oak Park-River Fores  
Palatine Nazareth Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nazareth Academy
Plainfield North Plainfield North tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Plainfield North
Prairie Ridge Prairie Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Prairie Ridge
Prospect Prospect insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Prospect
Providence Catholic Providence Catholic Providence Catholic  
Riverside Brookfield Riverside Brookfield Riverside Brookfield  
Rolling Meadows Rolling Meadows   Rolling Meadows
Schaumburg Schaumburg insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Schaumburg
South Elgin South Elgin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Elgin
St Charles East St Charles East St Charles East   4- 1 vs 2- 3
St Charles North St Charles North tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) St Charles North
St Francis St Francis St Francis  
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   4- 1 vs 1- 4
St Laurence Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
St Patrick Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
St Rita St Rita St Rita   4- 2 vs 1- 5
St Viator St Viator St Viator  
Stevenson Stevenson tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Stevenson
Taft HS Nazareth Academy tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Nazareth Academy
Timothy Christian Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Vernon Hills Vernon Hills tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Vernon Hills
Warren Township Warren Township insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Warren Township
Washington Washington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Washington
Waubonsie-Metea Co-O Waubonsie-Metea Co-O insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Waubonsie-Metea Co-O
Wauconda Wauconda tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wauconda
Wheaton Academy Wheaton Academy Wheaton Academy   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Wheaton North Wheaton North tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Wheaton North
Wheaton South Wheaton South tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Wheaton South
Wheeling Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Whitney Young Whitney Young tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Whitney Young
York York York   3- 1 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 16


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.71

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Fenwick         ( 8-11, 84.6)     4-16      -15.30      14.26      -0.62         0.93           -14.84
   0 H Lake Park       ( 3-14, 78.7)     7- 5      -21.21       8.35      -0.62         0.93             7.21
   0 A St Laurence     ( 2-13, 76.6)    10- 7      -23.27       6.29       0.62         0.93             6.44
   0 H Riverside Broo  (11- 7, 85.6)     1-13      -14.27      15.29      -0.62         0.93           -13.88
   0 A St Francis      (12- 6, 87.0)     1-10      -12.91      16.65       0.62         0.93           -11.46
   0 A Montini Cathol  (10- 5, 86.9)     1-14      -12.96      16.60       0.62         0.93           -11.51
   0 H Brother Rice    ( 7-11, 81.5)     1- 9      -18.43      11.13      -0.62         0.93           -17.76
   0 A Benet Academy   (11- 9, 89.2)     0-14      -10.71      18.85       0.62         0.93            -9.41
   0 A Notre Dame      ( 5-15, 83.2)     2-11      -16.68      12.88       0.62         0.93           -14.97
   0 H St Viator       (18- 2, 99.9)     1-22       -0.00      29.56      -0.62         0.93            -0.58
   0 A St Patrick      ( 1-17, 72.9)    15- 0      -27.01       2.55       0.62         0.93             2.96
   0 A Batavia         ( 1-14, 77.2)     5- 0      -22.71       6.85       0.62         0.93             6.96
   0 A Immaculate Con  ( 3-14, 79.4)    10- 4      -20.50       9.06       0.62         0.93             9.02
   0 A Oak Park-River  ( 7-11, 86.8)     2-19      -13.06      16.50       0.62         0.93           -11.60
   0 H Carmel Catholi  (13- 7, 87.6)     5-15      -12.32      17.24      -0.62         0.93           -12.07
   0 H Marmion Academ  ( 3-13, 78.2)    15- 4      -21.69       7.87      -0.62         0.93             6.76
   0 H Marist          ( 9- 8, 90.4)     3-20       -9.50      20.06      -0.62         0.93            -9.44
   0 H Providence Cat  ( 6- 8, 83.3)     7-15      -16.59      12.97      -0.62         0.93           -16.04
   0 A Mount Carmel    (13- 5, 89.1)     2-14      -10.78      18.78       0.62         0.93            -9.47
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -113.67

winning pts = 39.3530 losing points = -153.0228

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------