---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:58 PDT

safe3step boys Nauset 1
  
Nauset                
W-L: (17- 5) PR = 94.9041

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 A Mansfield (20- 2, 98.1) 16-17 404 H King Philip Regional (15- 5, 94.2) 11- 9 410 H Marthas Vineyard ( 5-13, 85.8) 16- 3 412 A Scituate (19- 5, 95.8) 11-14 415 A Nantucket (15- 6, 91.4) 15- 7 417 H Falmouth HS (18- 6, 94.8) 4- 9 419 H Burlington (11- 9, 92.3) 14- 8 422 A Central Catholic ( 5-13, 91.4) 12- 7 424 A Billerica Memorial (20- 1, 99.4) 7-19 429 A Barnstable ( 8-10, 87.7) 16- 6 503 H Bridgewater-Raynham ( 9-10, 89.6) 14- 5 505 A Marthas Vineyard ( 5-13, 85.8) 13- 2 508 H Nantucket (15- 6, 91.4) 7- 4 510 H Milton HS ( 9-11, 88.9) 12- 4 513 A Falmouth HS (18- 6, 94.8) 8- 7 515 H Barnstable ( 8-10, 87.7) 18- 5 520 H Pope Francis Prep ( 4-10, 83.1) 18- 7 523 A Sandwich ( 9-11, 89.6) 15- 4 602 H Montachusett RVT (11- 7, 83.4) 20- 6 605 H Hanover ( 8-12, 89.4) 20-14 607 H Nashoba Regional (15- 6, 92.7) 16-10 611 N Falmouth HS (18- 6, 94.8) 3-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Mansfield              16-17      -1    -4    +      2.82
   404 H King Philip Regional   11- 9       2     1           0.65
   410 H Marthas Vineyard       16- 3      13    10           0.00
   412 A Scituate               11-14      -3    -2          -1.48
   415 A Nantucket              15- 7       8     3    +      2.16
   417 H Falmouth HS             4- 9      -5     1    --    -5.78
   419 H Burlington             14- 8       6     3           1.80
   422 A Central Catholic       12- 7       5     3    +      2.16
   424 A Billerica Memorial      7-19     -12    -5           0.00
   429 A Barnstable             16- 6      10     7           0.00
   503 H Bridgewater-Raynham    14- 5       9     6           0.00
   505 A Marthas Vineyard       13- 2      11     8           0.00
   508 H Nantucket               7- 4       3     4          -1.11
   510 H Milton HS              12- 4       8     7           0.00
   513 A Falmouth HS             8- 7       1     0           1.49
   515 H Barnstable             18- 5      13     8           0.00
   520 H Pope Francis Prep      18- 7      11    12           0.00
   523 A Sandwich               15- 4      11     5           0.29
   602 H Montachusett RVT       20- 6      14    12           0.00
   605 H Hanover                20-14       6     6           0.00
   607 H Nashoba Regional       16-10       6     3    +      2.18
   611 N Falmouth HS             3-14     -11     0    --    -5.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Falmouth HS             4- 9      -5     1    --    -5.78
   611 N Falmouth HS             3-14     -11     0    --    -5.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Mansfield              16-17      -1    -4    +      2.82
   415 A Nantucket              15- 7       8     3    +      2.16
   422 A Central Catholic       12- 7       5     3    +      2.16
   607 H Nashoba Regional       16-10       6     3    +      2.18

Nauset Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Nauset insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Nauset
Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Acton Boxborough
Agawam Nauset tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nauset
Algonquin Nauset tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Nauset
Amesbury Nauset   Nauset
Amherst-Pelham Reg Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Nauset
AMSA Charter Nauset tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Nauset
Andover HS Andover HS tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Andover HS
Apponequet Regional Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Archbishop Williams Nauset   Nauset
Arlington Catholic Nauset   Nauset
Arlington HS Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Ashland Nauset   Nauset
Assabet Valley RVT Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Attleboro Nauset insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Nauset
Auburn Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Barnstable Nauset Nauset  
Bay Path RVT Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Bedford Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Belchertown Nauset   Nauset
Bellingham Nauset   Nauset
Belmont Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Beverly Nauset   Nauset
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial  
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Nauset   Nauset
Bishop Stang Nauset   Nauset
Blackstone Valley RV Nauset   Nauset
Blue Hills RVT Nauset   Nauset
Boston College HS Boston College HS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Boston College HS
Boston Latin School Nauset Nauset   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bourne Nauset   Nauset
Braintree Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Bridgewater-Raynham Nauset Nauset  
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Nauset   Nauset
Brookline Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Burlington Nauset Nauset  
Cambridge Rindge-Lat Nauset   Nauset
Canton Nauset Nauset   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Cape Cod Academy Nauset   Nauset
Cape Cod Tech Nauset   Nauset
Cardinal Spellman Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Catholic Memorial Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Central Catholic Nauset Nauset  
Chelmsford Nauset Nauset   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Chicopee Comprehensi Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Cohasset Nauset insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 2) Nauset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Nauset   Nauset
Dartmouth Nauset Nauset   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Dedham Nauset   Nauset
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg Nauset   Nauset
Doherty Memorial Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Dover-Sherborn Nauset tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset
Dracut Nauset tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Nauset
Duxbury Duxbury insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
East Longmeadow Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Essex Tech Nauset   Nauset
Fairhaven Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Falmouth Academy Nauset   Nauset
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS Falmouth HS  
Foxborough Nauset Nauset   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Framingham Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Franklin Nauset tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nauset
Gloucester Nauset   Nauset
Grafton Nauset tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Nauset
Granby Nauset   Nauset
Greater Lowell RVT Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Greater New Bedford Nauset   Nauset
Groton-Dunstable Reg Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Nauset
Hamilton-Wenham Regi Nauset   Nauset
Hanover Nauset Nauset  
Haverhill Nauset   Nauset
Hingham Hingham insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Hingham
Holliston Nauset   Nauset
Hoosac Valley Nauset   Nauset
Hopkinton Nauset Nauset   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Hudson Nauset   Nauset
Hull Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Ipswich Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
King Philip Regional Nauset Nauset  
Lenox/Lee Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Leominster Nauset tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Nauset
Lexington Nauset Nauset   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lincoln-Sudbury Regi
Littleton Nauset   Nauset
Longmeadow Longmeadow insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 1) Longmeadow
Lowell Nauset   Nauset
Lowell Catholic Nauset   Nauset
Lunenburg Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Lynn Classical-Engli Nauset   Nauset
Lynnfield Nauset   Nauset
Malden Nauset   Nauset
Malden Catholic Nauset   Nauset
Manchester-Essex Reg Nauset   Nauset
Mansfield Mansfield Mansfield  
Marblehead Nauset   Nauset
Marshfield Marshfield tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Nauset Nauset  
Masconomet Nauset   Nauset
Mashpee Nauset Nauset   2- 0 vs 0- 2
McCann Technical Nauset   Nauset
Medfield Medfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Medfield
Medford Nauset   Nauset
Medway Nauset   Nauset
Melrose Nauset insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Nauset
Methuen Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Middleborough Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Milford Nauset insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Nauset
Milton HS Nauset Nauset  
Minnechaug Regional Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Minuteman Regional Nauset   Nauset
Monomoy Regional Nauset Nauset   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Monson Nauset   Nauset
Montachusett RVT Nauset Nauset  
Mount Greylock Regio Nauset   Nauset
Mystic Valley Charte Nauset   Nauset
Nantucket Nauset Nauset  
Nashoba Regional Nauset Nauset  
Nashoba Valley Tech Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Natick Nauset tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Nauset
Needham Nauset tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nauset
New Bedford Nauset   Nauset
Newburyport Nauset   Nauset
Newton North Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Newton South Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Nipmuc Regional Nauset   Nauset
North Andover Nauset insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Nauset
North Attleboro Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nauset
North Middlesex Nauset tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Nauset
North Quincy Co-op Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nauset
North Reading Nauset   Nauset
Northampton Nauset   Nauset
Northeast Metro RVT Nauset   Nauset
Norton Nauset   Nauset
Norwell Norwell insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) Norwell
Norwood Nauset   Nauset
Oakmont Regional Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Nauset
Old Colony RVT Nauset   Nauset
Old Rochester Region Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Nauset
Oliver Ames Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nauset
Peabody Vets Memoria Nauset   Nauset
Pembroke Nauset insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Nauset
Pentucket Regional Nauset   Nauset
Pittsfield Nauset   Nauset
Plymouth North Nauset insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Nauset
Plymouth South Nauset insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) Nauset
Pope Francis Prep Nauset Nauset  
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Reading Memorial
Revere Nauset   Nauset
Rockland Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Salem Nauset   Nauset
Sandwich Nauset Nauset  
Saugus Nauset   Nauset
Scituate Scituate Scituate  
Seekonk Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Sharon Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nauset
Shawsheen Valley RVT Nauset insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) Nauset
Shepherd Hill Nauset   Nauset
Shrewsbury Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Nauset
Silver Lake Nauset insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) Nauset
Smith VoTech Nauset   Nauset
Somerset Berkley Nauset   Nauset
Somerville Nauset   Nauset
South Hadley Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
South Shore RVT Nauset   Nauset
Southeastern RVT Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Springfield Central Nauset   Nauset
St Bernards Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
St John Paul II Nauset Nauset   2- 1 vs 0- 2
St Johns Prep Danver St Johns Prep Danver   St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
St Marys Lynn Nauset   Nauset
St Marys Westfield Nauset   Nauset
Stoneham Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Stoughton Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nauset
Sturgis Charter East Nauset   Nauset
Swampscott Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Tantasqua Regional Nauset tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Nauset
Taunton Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nauset
Tech Boston Academy Nauset   Nauset
Tewksbury Memorial Nauset tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset
Tri-County RVT Nauset   Nauset
Triton Regional Nauset   Nauset
Tyngsborough Nauset   Nauset
Upper Cape Cod RVT Nauset   Nauset
Wachusett Regional Nauset insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Nauset
Wahconah Nauset   Nauset
Wakefield Memorial Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Walpole Walpole tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Walpole
Waltham Nauset   Nauset
Watertown Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Wayland Nauset   Nauset
Wellesley Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
West Springfield Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset
Westborough Nauset   Nauset
Westfield Nauset tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Nauset
Westford Academy Westford Academy tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Westford Academy
Weston Nauset   Nauset
Westport Nauset   Nauset
Westwood Westwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westwood
Weymouth Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Whitman-Hanson Nauset Nauset   6- 2 vs 0- 7
Whittier RVT Nauset   Nauset
Wilmington Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Winchester Winchester tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winchester
Winthrop Nauset   Nauset
Woburn Memorial Nauset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset
Xaverian Brothers Xaverian Brothers   Xaverian Brothers

PowerWise = 188


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Mansfield       (20- 2, 98.1)    16-17       -1.81      30.73       0.63         0.82            -0.96
   0 H King Philip Re  (15- 5, 94.2)    11- 9       -5.71      26.83      -0.63         0.82            21.49
   0 H Marthas Vineya  ( 5-13, 85.8)    16- 3      -14.12      18.42      -0.63         0.82            14.59
   0 A Scituate        (19- 5, 95.8)    11-14       -4.11      28.43       0.63         0.82            -2.85
   0 A Nantucket       (15- 6, 91.4)    15- 7       -8.47      24.07       0.63         0.82            20.26
   0 H Falmouth HS     (18- 6, 94.8)     4- 9       -5.14      27.40      -0.63         0.82            -4.74
   0 H Burlington      (11- 9, 92.3)    14- 8       -7.57      24.97      -0.63         0.82            19.97
   0 A Central Cathol  ( 5-13, 91.4)    12- 7       -8.47      24.07       0.63         0.82            20.26
   0 A Billerica Memo  (20- 1, 99.4)     7-19       -0.49      32.05       0.63         0.82            -0.12
   0 A Barnstable      ( 8-10, 87.7)    16- 6      -12.19      20.35       0.63         0.82            17.21
   0 H Bridgewater-Ra  ( 9-10, 89.6)    14- 5      -10.28      22.26      -0.63         0.82            17.74
   0 A Marthas Vineya  ( 5-13, 85.8)    13- 2      -14.12      18.42       0.63         0.82            15.63
   0 H Nantucket       (15- 6, 91.4)     7- 4       -8.47      24.07      -0.63         0.82            19.22
   0 H Milton HS       ( 9-11, 88.9)    12- 4      -11.02      21.52      -0.63         0.82            17.13
   0 A Falmouth HS     (18- 6, 94.8)     8- 7       -5.14      27.40       0.63         0.82            22.99
   0 H Barnstable      ( 8-10, 87.7)    18- 5      -12.19      20.35      -0.63         0.82            16.17
   0 H Pope Francis P  ( 4-10, 83.1)    18- 7      -16.76      15.78      -0.63         0.82            12.43
   0 A Sandwich        ( 9-11, 89.6)    15- 4      -10.34      22.20       0.63         0.82            18.73
   0 H Montachusett R  (11- 7, 83.4)    20- 6      -16.52      16.02      -0.63         0.82            12.62
   0 H Hanover         ( 8-12, 89.4)    20-14      -10.55      22.00      -0.63         0.82            17.52
   0 H Nashoba Region  (15- 6, 92.7)    16-10       -7.18      25.36      -0.63         0.82            20.28
   0 N Falmouth HS     (18- 6, 94.8)     3-14       -5.14      27.40      -0.00         0.82            -4.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       291.37

winning pts = 304.2643 losing points = -12.8922

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------