Nathan Hale
W-L: (10- 2) PR = 92.1352
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
319 A Lincoln ( 3- 6, 87.2) 9- 3
321 H Bainbridge Island (12- 5, 91.3) 7- 6
325 H O'Dea (11- 4, 98.0) 9-13
328 A Franklin ( 0- 3, 87.4) 1- 0
402 H Lincoln ( 3- 6, 87.2) 10- 4
404 H Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 8- 4
408 H Seattle Academy ( 5- 8, 92.0) 17- 9
410 H Ballard (11- 6, 92.5) 3-17
422 H Lakeside ( 5- 7, 89.3) 12- 6
424 A West Seattle ( 3- 7, 83.4) 14- 1
429 A Roosevelt ( 6- 6, 87.5) 9- 6
502 H Arlington ( 3-12, 85.8) 10- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 A Lincoln 9- 3 6 4 0.57
321 H Bainbridge Island 7- 6 1 1 -0.35
325 H O'Dea 9-13 -4 -5 1.00
402 H Lincoln 10- 4 6 5 0.00
404 H Shorecrest 8- 4 4 5 -1.00
408 H Seattle Academy 17- 9 8 1 ++ 4.38
410 H Ballard 3-17 -14 0 -- -5.14
422 H Lakeside 12- 6 6 3 1.66
424 A West Seattle 14- 1 13 8 0.00
429 A Roosevelt 9- 6 3 4 -1.16
502 H Arlington 10- 2 8 7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 H Ballard 3-17 -14 0 -- -5.14
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 H Seattle Academy 17- 9 8 1 ++ 4.38
|
Nathan Hale Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Anacortes |
Nathan Hale |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Archbishop Murphy |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Arlington |
Nathan Hale |
Nathan Hale |
 
| |
Auburn Riverside |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Bainbridge Island |
Nathan Hale |
Nathan Hale |
 
| |
Ballard |
Ballard |
Ballard |
 
|
Bellarmine Prep |
Bellarmine Prep |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Bellarmine Prep |
Bellevue |
Bellevue |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Bellevue |
Bellingham |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Blanchet |
Nathan Hale |
|
Nathan Hale   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Bonney Lake |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Bothell |
Bothell |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Bothell |
Burlington-Edison |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Camas |
Nathan Hale |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Nathan Hale |
Cedarcrest |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Chiawana |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Curtis |
Curtis |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Curtis |
East Valley |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Eastlake |
Eastlake |
|
Eastlake   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Eastside Catholic |
Eastside Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Eastside Catholic |
Emerald Ridge |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Enumclaw |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Franklin |
Nathan Hale |
Nathan Hale |
 
| |
Gig Harbor |
Nathan Hale |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Glacier Peak |
Glacier Peak |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Glacier Peak |
Graham Kapowsin |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Hanford |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Hermiston |
Hermiston |
|
 
| Hermiston |
Inglemoor |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Interlake |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Issaquah |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Jackson |
Nathan Hale |
|
Nathan Hale   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Juanita |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Kamiak |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Kamiakin |
Nathan Hale |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Nathan Hale |
Kennedy Catholic |
Nathan Hale |
|
Nathan Hale   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Klahowya |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Lake Stevens |
Nathan Hale |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Nathan Hale |
Lake Washington |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Lakeside |
Nathan Hale |
Nathan Hale |
 
| |
Liberty |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Lincoln |
Nathan Hale |
Nathan Hale |
 
| |
Lynden |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Marysville Getchell |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Mercer Island |
Monroe |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Mount Si |
Mount Si |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Mount Si |
Mount Vernon |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Mountain View |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Newport |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
North Creek |
Nathan Hale |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Nathan Hale |
North Kitsap |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
O'Dea |
O'Dea |
O'Dea |
 
| |
Olympia |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Orting |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Overlake |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Peninsula |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Providence Classical |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Puyallup |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Redmond |
Nathan Hale |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Nathan Hale |
Richland |
Richland |
|
 
| Richland |
Rogers |
Rogers |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rogers |
Roosevelt |
Nathan Hale |
Nathan Hale |
 
| |
Sammamish |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Seattle Academy |
Nathan Hale |
Nathan Hale |
 
| |
Seattle Prep |
Seattle Prep |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Seattle Prep |
Sedro-Woolley |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Sehome |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Selah |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Shorecrest |
Nathan Hale |
Nathan Hale |
 
| |
Skyline |
Skyline |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Skyline |
Skyview |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Snohomish |
Nathan Hale |
|
tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) |
Nathan Hale |
South Kitsap |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Southridge |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Squalicum |
Nathan Hale |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
Stadium |
Nathan Hale |
|
Nathan Hale   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Stanwood |
Nathan Hale |
|
Nathan Hale   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Sumner |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Tahoma |
Tahoma |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Tahoma |
Union |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Vashon Island |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Walla Walla |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Wenatchee |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
West Seattle |
Nathan Hale |
Nathan Hale |
 
| |
White River |
Nathan Hale |
|
 
| Nathan Hale |
Woodinville |
Nathan Hale |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Nathan Hale |
PowerWise = 70

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lincoln ( 3- 6, 87.2) 9- 3 -12.71 13.09 0.52 0.95 12.86
0 H Bainbridge Isl (12- 5, 91.3) 7- 6 -8.60 17.20 -0.52 0.95 15.77
0 H O'Dea (11- 4, 98.0) 9-13 -1.86 23.94 -0.52 0.95 -2.25
0 A Franklin ( 0- 3, 87.4) 1- 0 -12.49 13.31 0.52 0.95 13.07
0 H Lincoln ( 3- 6, 87.2) 10- 4 -12.71 13.09 -0.52 0.95 11.88
0 H Shorecrest ( 6-12, 87.4) 8- 4 -12.55 13.25 -0.52 0.95 12.03
0 H Seattle Academ ( 5- 8, 92.0) 17- 9 -7.87 17.93 -0.52 0.95 16.46
0 H Ballard (11- 6, 92.5) 3-17 -7.39 18.41 -0.52 0.95 -7.48
0 H Lakeside ( 5- 7, 89.3) 12- 6 -10.58 15.22 -0.52 0.95 13.89
0 A West Seattle ( 3- 7, 83.4) 14- 1 -16.53 9.27 0.52 0.95 9.25
0 A Roosevelt ( 6- 6, 87.5) 9- 6 -12.44 13.35 0.52 0.95 13.11
0 H Arlington ( 3-12, 85.8) 10- 2 -14.12 11.68 -0.52 0.95 10.54
------
119.14
|
winning pts = 128.8627 losing points = -9.7256
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------