Natick
W-L: (14- 6) PR = 92.0154Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Wayland ( 2-14, 85.6) 11- 2 401 H Brookline ( 5-13, 86.3) 17- 3 403 A Foxborough ( 5-14, 88.2) 15- 4 408 H Framingham ( 4-14, 86.9) 12- 2 410 A Newton North (10- 9, 90.7) 6- 7 414 H Weymouth ( 2-16, 84.6) 20- 5 417 H Wellesley (11-10, 91.7) 6- 8 423 H Bridgewater-Raynham ( 9-10, 89.6) 8- 4 426 A Concord-Carlisle (17- 4, 95.5) 9-15 429 A Milton HS ( 9-11, 88.9) 11- 7 501 A Braintree ( 3-15, 82.7) 15- 1 506 A Needham (12- 8, 93.8) 7-13 508 A Brookline ( 5-13, 86.3) 17- 8 510 H Dover-Sherborn (14- 6, 91.7) 7- 6 513 A Framingham ( 4-14, 86.9) 10- 5 515 H Newton North (10- 9, 90.7) 11- 7 520 H Walpole (17- 4, 96.0) 6-14 523 A Wellesley (11-10, 91.7) 10- 9 602 H Newton North (10- 9, 90.7) 12-11 604 A Lincoln-Sudbury Regi (12- 4, 98.1) 6-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
329 H Wayland 11- 2 9 7 0.00
401 H Brookline 17- 3 14 6 0.00
403 A Foxborough 15- 4 11 3 1.79
408 H Framingham 12- 2 10 6 0.00
410 A Newton North 6- 7 -1 1 -1.73
414 H Weymouth 20- 5 15 8 0.00
417 H Wellesley 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.00
423 H Bridgewater-Raynham 8- 4 4 3 0.97
426 A Concord-Carlisle 9-15 -6 -4 -0.84
429 A Milton HS 11- 7 4 3 1.49
501 A Braintree 15- 1 14 9 0.00
506 A Needham 7-13 -6 -2 - -2.59
508 A Brookline 17- 8 9 5 0.00
510 H Dover-Sherborn 7- 6 1 1 0.09
513 A Framingham 10- 5 5 5 0.49
515 H Newton North 11- 7 4 2 + 2.00
520 H Walpole 6-14 -8 -3 -1.62
523 A Wellesley 10- 9 1 0 1.27
602 H Newton North 12-11 1 2 -1.00
604 A Lincoln-Sudbury Regi 6-10 -4 -7 1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Wellesley 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.00 506 A Needham 7-13 -6 -2 - -2.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 H Newton North 11- 7 4 2 + 2.00 |
Natick Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abington | Natick | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Natick | |
| Acton Boxborough | Acton Boxborough | Acton Boxborough 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Agawam | Natick | Natick | ||
| Algonquin | Algonquin | Algonquin | ||
| Amesbury | Natick | Natick | ||
| Amherst-Pelham Reg | Natick | Natick | ||
| AMSA Charter | Natick | Natick | ||
| Andover HS | Andover HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Andover HS | |
| Apponequet Regional | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Archbishop Williams | Natick | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Natick | |
| Arlington Catholic | Natick | Natick | ||
| Arlington HS | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Ashland | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Assabet Valley RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Attleboro | Natick | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Natick | |
| Auburn | Natick | Natick | ||
| Barnstable | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Bay Path RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bedford | Natick | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Natick | |
| Belchertown | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bellingham | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Belmont | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Natick | |
| Beverly | Natick | Natick | ||
| Billerica Memorial | Billerica Memorial | Billerica Memorial 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bishop Feehan | Bishop Feehan | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Bishop Feehan | |
| Bishop Fenwick | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bishop Stang | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Blackstone Valley RV | Natick | Natick | ||
| Blue Hills RVT | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Boston College HS | Boston College HS | Boston College HS | ||
| Boston Latin School | Natick | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Natick | |
| Bourne | Natick | Natick | ||
| Braintree | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bridgewater-Raynham | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bristol-Plymouth RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Brookline | Natick | Natick | ||
| Burlington | Burlington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Burlington | |
| Cambridge Rindge-Lat | Natick | Natick 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Canton | Natick | tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) | Natick | |
| Cape Cod Academy | Natick | Natick | ||
| Cape Cod Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Cardinal Spellman | Natick | Natick | ||
| Catholic Memorial | Catholic Memorial | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 3) | Catholic Memorial | |
| Central Catholic | Natick | Natick | ||
| Chelmsford | Natick | Natick | ||
| Chicopee Comprehensi | Natick | Natick | ||
| Cohasset | Cohasset | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cohasset | |
| Concord-Carlisle | Concord-Carlisle | Concord-Carlisle | ||
| Danvers | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dartmouth | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Dedham | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Dennis-Yarmouth Regi | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dighton-Rehoboth Reg | Natick | Natick | ||
| Doherty Memorial | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dover-Sherborn | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dracut | Dracut | Dracut | ||
| Duxbury | Duxbury | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Duxbury | |
| East Bridgewater | Natick | Natick | ||
| East Longmeadow | Natick | Natick | ||
| Essex Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Fairhaven | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Falmouth Academy | Natick | Natick | ||
| Falmouth HS | Falmouth HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Falmouth HS | |
| Foxborough | Natick | Natick | ||
| Framingham | Natick | Natick | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Franklin | |
| Gloucester | Natick | Natick | ||
| Grafton | Natick | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Natick | |
| Granby | Natick | Natick | ||
| Greater Lowell RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Greater New Bedford | Natick | Natick | ||
| Groton-Dunstable Reg | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hamilton-Wenham Regi | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hanover | Natick | Natick | ||
| Haverhill | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hingham | Hingham | Hingham 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Holliston | Natick | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Natick | |
| Hoosac Valley | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hopkinton | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Hudson | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hull | Natick | Natick | ||
| Ipswich | Natick | Natick | ||
| King Philip Regional | King Philip Regional | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | King Philip Regional | |
| Lenox/Lee | Natick | Natick | ||
| Leominster | Natick | Natick | ||
| Lexington | Natick | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) | Natick | |
| Lincoln-Sudbury Regi | Lincoln-Sudbury Regi | Lincoln-Sudbury Regi | ||
| Littleton | Natick | Natick | ||
| Longmeadow | Longmeadow | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Longmeadow | |
| Lowell | Natick | Natick | ||
| Lowell Catholic | Natick | Natick | ||
| Lunenburg | Natick | Natick | ||
| Lynn Classical-Engli | Natick | Natick | ||
| Lynnfield | Natick | Natick | ||
| Malden | Natick | Natick | ||
| Malden Catholic | Natick | Natick | ||
| Manchester-Essex Reg | Natick | Natick | ||
| Mansfield | Mansfield | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mansfield | |
| Marblehead | Natick | Natick | ||
| Marshfield | Marshfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Marshfield | |
| Marthas Vineyard | Natick | Natick | ||
| Masconomet | Natick | Natick | ||
| Mashpee | Natick | Natick | ||
| McCann Technical | Natick | Natick | ||
| Medfield | Medfield | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Medfield | |
| Medford | Natick | Natick | ||
| Medway | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Melrose | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Methuen | Natick | Natick | ||
| Middleborough | Natick | Natick | ||
| Milford | Natick | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Natick | |
| Milton HS | Natick | Natick | ||
| Minnechaug Regional | Minnechaug Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Minnechaug Regional | |
| Minuteman Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Monomoy Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Monson | Natick | Natick | ||
| Montachusett RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Mount Greylock Regio | Natick | Natick | ||
| Mystic Valley Charte | Natick | Natick | ||
| Nantucket | Natick | Natick | ||
| Nashoba Regional | Nashoba Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Nashoba Regional | |
| Nashoba Valley Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Nauset | Nauset | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Nauset | |
| Needham | Needham | Needham | ||
| New Bedford | Natick | Natick | ||
| Newburyport | Newburyport | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newburyport | |
| Newton North | Natick | Natick | ||
| Newton South | Natick | Natick 5- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Nipmuc Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| North Andover | North Andover | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Andover | |
| North Attleboro | Natick | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Natick | |
| North Middlesex | Natick | Natick | ||
| North Quincy Co-op | Natick | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Natick | |
| North Reading | Natick | Natick | ||
| Northampton | Natick | Natick | ||
| Northeast Metro RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Norton | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Norwell | Norwell | Norwell | ||
| Norwood | Natick | Natick 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Oakmont Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Old Colony RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Old Rochester Region | Natick | Natick | ||
| Oliver Ames | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Peabody Vets Memoria | Natick | Natick | ||
| Pembroke | Natick | Natick | ||
| Pentucket Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Pittsfield | Natick | Natick | ||
| Plymouth North | Natick | Natick | ||
| Plymouth South | Plymouth South | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Plymouth South | |
| Pope Francis Prep | Natick | Natick | ||
| Reading Memorial | Reading Memorial | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Reading Memorial | |
| Revere | Natick | Natick | ||
| Rockland | Natick | Natick | ||
| Salem | Natick | Natick | ||
| Sandwich | Natick | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Natick | |
| Saugus | Natick | Natick | ||
| Scituate | Scituate | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) | Scituate | |
| Seekonk | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Sharon | Sharon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sharon | |
| Shawsheen Valley RVT | Shawsheen Valley RVT | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Shawsheen Valley RVT | |
| Shepherd Hill | Natick | Natick | ||
| Shrewsbury | Natick | Natick | ||
| Silver Lake | Natick | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Natick | |
| Smith VoTech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Somerset Berkley | Natick | Natick | ||
| Somerville | Natick | Natick | ||
| South Hadley | Natick | Natick | ||
| South Shore RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Southeastern RVT | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Springfield Central | Natick | Natick | ||
| St Bernards | Natick | Natick | ||
| St John Paul II | Natick | Natick | ||
| St Johns Prep Danver | St Johns Prep Danver | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | St Johns Prep Danver | |
| St Johns Shrewsbury | Natick | Natick | ||
| St Marys Lynn | Natick | Natick | ||
| St Marys Westfield | Natick | Natick | ||
| Stoneham | Natick | Natick | ||
| Stoughton | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Sturgis Charter East | Natick | Natick | ||
| Swampscott | Natick | Natick | ||
| Tantasqua Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Taunton | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Tech Boston Academy | Natick | Natick | ||
| Tewksbury Memorial | Natick | Natick | ||
| Tri-County RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Triton Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Tyngsborough | Natick | Natick | ||
| Upper Cape Cod RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wachusett Regional | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Wahconah | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wakefield Memorial | Wakefield Memorial | Wakefield Memorial | ||
| Walpole | Walpole | Walpole | ||
| Waltham | Natick | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) | Natick | |
| Watertown | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wayland | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wellesley | Natick | tied - ( 6- 3) ( 6- 2) | Natick | |
| West Springfield | Natick | Natick | ||
| Westborough | Natick | Natick | ||
| Westfield | Natick | Natick | ||
| Westford Academy | Westford Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Westford Academy | |
| Weston | Weston | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Weston | |
| Westport | Natick | Natick | ||
| Westwood | Westwood | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Westwood | |
| Weymouth | Natick | Natick | ||
| Whitman-Hanson | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Whittier RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wilmington | Natick | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Natick | |
| Winchester | Winchester | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Winchester | |
| Winthrop | Natick | Natick | ||
| Woburn Memorial | Natick | Natick | ||
| Xaverian Brothers | Xaverian Brothers | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Xaverian Brothers |
PowerWise = 170
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Wayland ( 2-14, 85.6) 11- 2 -14.32 18.22 -0.63 0.90 15.87
0 H Brookline ( 5-13, 86.3) 17- 3 -13.58 18.96 -0.63 0.90 16.53
0 A Foxborough ( 5-14, 88.2) 15- 4 -11.73 20.81 0.63 0.90 19.35
0 H Framingham ( 4-14, 86.9) 12- 2 -13.03 19.51 -0.63 0.90 17.04
0 A Newton North (10- 9, 90.7) 6- 7 -9.25 23.29 0.63 0.90 -7.77
0 H Weymouth ( 2-16, 84.6) 20- 5 -15.28 17.26 -0.63 0.90 15.00
0 H Wellesley (11-10, 91.7) 6- 8 -8.25 24.29 -0.63 0.90 -8.01
0 H Bridgewater-Ra ( 9-10, 89.6) 8- 4 -10.28 22.26 -0.63 0.90 19.51
0 A Concord-Carlis (17- 4, 95.5) 9-15 -4.36 28.18 0.63 0.90 -3.36
0 A Milton HS ( 9-11, 88.9) 11- 7 -11.02 21.52 0.63 0.90 19.99
0 A Braintree ( 3-15, 82.7) 15- 1 -17.19 15.35 0.63 0.90 14.42
0 A Needham (12- 8, 93.8) 7-13 -6.11 26.43 0.63 0.90 -4.94
0 A Brookline ( 5-13, 86.3) 17- 8 -13.58 18.96 0.63 0.90 17.68
0 H Dover-Sherborn (14- 6, 91.7) 7- 6 -8.16 24.38 -0.63 0.90 21.43
0 A Framingham ( 4-14, 86.9) 10- 5 -13.03 19.51 0.63 0.90 18.18
0 H Newton North (10- 9, 90.7) 11- 7 -9.25 23.29 -0.63 0.90 20.45
0 H Walpole (17- 4, 96.0) 6-14 -3.87 28.67 -0.63 0.90 -4.06
0 A Wellesley (11-10, 91.7) 10- 9 -8.25 24.29 0.63 0.90 22.49
0 H Newton North (10- 9, 90.7) 12-11 -9.25 23.29 -0.63 0.90 20.45
0 A Lincoln-Sudbur (12- 4, 98.1) 6-10 -1.83 30.71 0.63 0.90 -1.08
------
229.16
|
winning pts = 258.3938 losing points = -29.2337
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------