Manchester Valley
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 86.9639Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 H Dulaney ( 9- 6, 87.5) 11- 9 327 H Winters Mill ( 7- 7, 82.3) 5- 4 401 H Middletown (12- 4, 87.3) 9- 6 403 A Liberty ( 8- 8, 84.5) 16- 4 408 A South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 8- 1 410 H Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 8- 9 415 H Century (10- 6, 89.0) 7-15 417 A Francis Scott Key ( 2-10, 80.3) 21- 5 422 H Franklin ( 6- 7, 83.3) 23-13 424 A Linganore (13- 3, 87.6) 7- 8 428 A Oakdale ( 4-10, 81.5) 12- 5 429 A Oakdale ( 4-10, 81.5) 12- 5 501 A Hereford (11- 5, 89.5) 8-11 509 H Century (10- 6, 89.0) 7-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 H Dulaney 11- 9 2 0 + 2.09
327 H Winters Mill 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.00
401 H Middletown 9- 6 3 0 + 2.93
403 A Liberty 16- 4 12 2 + 3.00
408 A South Carroll 8- 1 7 3 + 2.39
410 H Westminster 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.52
415 H Century 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.37
417 A Francis Scott Key 21- 5 16 6 0.00
422 H Franklin 23-13 10 4 0.93
424 A Linganore 7- 8 -1 -1 0.11
428 A Oakdale 12- 5 7 5 0.02
429 A Oakdale 12- 5 7 5 0.02
501 A Hereford 8-11 -3 -3 -0.05
509 H Century 7-10 -3 -2 -1.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Winters Mill 5- 4 1 5 -- -4.00 410 H Westminster 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.52 415 H Century 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Dulaney 11- 9 2 0 + 2.09 401 H Middletown 9- 6 3 0 + 2.93 403 A Liberty 16- 4 12 2 + 3.00 408 A South Carroll 8- 1 7 3 + 2.39 |
Manchester Valley Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Concordia Prep | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Friends | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Garrett County LC | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Georgetown Day | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manchester Valley | |
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Jemicy School | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Mount Carmel | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Salisbury School | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| St James | St James | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | St James | |
| St Johns Catholic Pr | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Worcester Prep | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Aberdeen | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Academy for College | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Annapolis | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Arundel | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Atholton | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Baltimore Polytechni | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Bel Air | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Bladensburg | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Blair | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Blake | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Boonsboro | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Bowie | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Manchester Valley | |
| Calvert | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Cambridge SD | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Carver A&T | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Catoctin | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Manchester Valley | |
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Chopticon | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| City College | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Clarksburg | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | CM Wright | |
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Digital Harbor | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Dulaney | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Dunbar | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Dundalk | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| DuVal | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Eastern Tech | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Manchester Valley | |
| Easton | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Edgewood | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Einstein | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Elkton | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Fallston | |
| Forest Park | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Francis Scott Key | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Franklin | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Frederick | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Friendly | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Gaithersburg | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Glen Burnie | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Manchester Valley | |
| Great Mills | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Guilford Park | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Gwynn Park | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Hammond | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Harford Tech | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Havre De Grace | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Howard | Howard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Howard | |
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Joppatowne | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Kennedy | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Kent County | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kent Island | |
| Kenwood | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| La Plata | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Lackey | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Lake Clifton | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Lansdowne | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Laurel | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Manchester Valley | |
| Long Reach | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Manchester Valley | |
| Magruder | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Mergenthaler | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Middletown | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Milford Mill | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| MJ McDonough | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Mount Hebron | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| National Academy Fou | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| New Town | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| North Caroline | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| North County | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| North Dorchester | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| North East Cecil | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| North Hagerstown | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Harford | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| North Point | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Northeast AA | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Calvert | |
| Northwest | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Northwestern PG | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Northwood | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Oakdale | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Oakland Mills | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Old Mill | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Overlea | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Owings Mills | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Oxon Hill | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Paint Branch | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Parkdale | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Patapsco | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Patterson HS | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Patterson Mill | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Patuxent | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Perry Hall | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Perryville | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Pikesville | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Poolesville | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Randallstown | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Reginald F Lewis | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Reservoir | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Rising Sun | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| River Hill | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Rockville | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Seneca Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Severn Run | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Manchester Valley | |
| South Carroll | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| South Hagerstown | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Sparrows Point | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Springbrook | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| St Charles | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stephen Decatur | |
| Suitland | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Surrattsville | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Thomas Stone | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Tuscarora | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Walkersville | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Manchester Valley | |
| Walt Whitman | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Walter Johnson | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Watkins Mill | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Western STES | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Westlake | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Wicomico | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Wilde Lake | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Winston Churchill | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Winters Mill | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Woodlawn | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Wootton | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| DC International PCS | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Jackson Reed | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley |
PowerWise = 172
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Dulaney ( 9- 6, 87.5) 11- 9 -12.40 23.19 -0.45 0.87 19.71
0 H Winters Mill ( 7- 7, 82.3) 5- 4 -17.59 18.01 -0.45 0.87 15.22
0 H Middletown (12- 4, 87.3) 9- 6 -12.56 23.03 -0.45 0.87 19.58
0 A Liberty ( 8- 8, 84.5) 16- 4 -15.38 20.21 0.45 0.87 17.91
0 A South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 8- 1 -15.99 19.60 0.45 0.87 17.38
0 H Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 8- 9 -14.01 21.58 -0.45 0.87 -12.53
0 H Century (10- 6, 89.0) 7-15 -10.86 24.74 -0.45 0.87 -9.80
0 A Francis Scott ( 2-10, 80.3) 21- 5 -19.63 15.96 0.45 0.87 14.22
0 H Franklin ( 6- 7, 83.3) 23-13 -16.56 19.03 -0.45 0.87 16.11
0 A Linganore (13- 3, 87.6) 7- 8 -12.27 23.32 0.45 0.87 -10.25
0 A Oakdale ( 4-10, 81.5) 12- 5 -18.36 17.23 0.45 0.87 15.32
0 A Oakdale ( 4-10, 81.5) 12- 5 -18.36 17.23 0.45 0.87 15.32
0 A Hereford (11- 5, 89.5) 8-11 -10.43 25.16 0.45 0.87 -8.66
0 H Century (10- 6, 89.0) 7-10 -10.86 24.74 -0.45 0.87 -9.80
------
99.75
|
winning pts = 150.7747 losing points = -51.0290
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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