Mt Mansfield Union
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 99.9000Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 9- 8 418 A Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 16- 8 423 A Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 10- 8 428 H Champlain Valley Uni (13- 5, 99.7) 10- 7 430 A Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 15- 1 502 H Rutland (10- 6, 96.3) 14- 6 503 H South Burlington (12- 5, 98.8) 9-10 506 H Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 8- 9 513 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 12- 9 516 A South Burlington (12- 5, 98.8) 10- 8 520 H Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 14-17 522 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 9- 7 523 H Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 16- 3 527 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 1- 0 528 H Burr and Burton Acad ( 9- 5, 97.8) 13-10 530 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 9-10 606 H Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 10- 5 612 H South Burlington (12- 5, 98.8) 18- 9 615 N Champlain Valley Uni (13- 5, 99.7) 7-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 A Rice Memorial 9- 8 1 4 - -2.83
418 A Essex Junction 16- 8 8 1 ++ 4.16
423 A Harwood Union 10- 8 2 0 1.73
428 H Champlain Valley Uni 10- 7 3 1 + 2.35
430 A Bellows Free Academy 15- 1 14 9 0.00
502 H Rutland 14- 6 8 4 1.00
503 H South Burlington 9-10 -1 1 - -2.48
506 H Middlebury Union 8- 9 -1 1 -1.89
513 H Rice Memorial 12- 9 3 5 -1.66
516 A South Burlington 10- 8 2 1 1.35
520 H Essex Junction 14-17 -3 2 -- -4.67
522 A Middlebury Union 9- 7 2 0 1.94
523 H Bellows Free Academy 16- 3 13 10 0.00
528 H Burr and Burton Acad 13-10 3 3 0.44
530 A Middlebury Union 9-10 -1 0 -1.06
606 H Essex Junction 10- 5 5 2 + 3.33
612 H South Burlington 18- 9 9 1 + 3.52
615 N Champlain Valley Uni 7-15 -8 0 -- -5.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 H Essex Junction 14-17 -3 2 -- -4.67 615 N Champlain Valley Uni 7-15 -8 0 -- -5.23 412 A Rice Memorial 9- 8 1 4 - -2.83 503 H South Burlington 9-10 -1 1 - -2.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Essex Junction 16- 8 8 1 ++ 4.16 428 H Champlain Valley Uni 10- 7 3 1 + 2.35 606 H Essex Junction 10- 5 5 2 + 3.33 612 H South Burlington 18- 9 9 1 + 3.52 |
Mt Mansfield Union Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Burlington | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Burr and Burton Acad | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Champlain Valley Uni | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union 8- 4 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Colchester | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Essex Junction | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Green Mountain Valle | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Hartford Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Harwood Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Lamoille Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Montpelier | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mount Abraham | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Otter Valley Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Randolph Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Rice Memorial | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Rutland | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| South Burlington | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Spaulding | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Stowe | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Woodstock Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union 6- 4 vs 0- 6 |
PowerWise = 27
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 9- 8 -4.24 12.80 0.42 0.74 9.84
0 A Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 16- 8 -1.26 15.79 0.42 0.74 12.06
0 A Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 10- 8 -0.69 16.35 0.42 0.74 12.48
0 H Champlain Vall (13- 5, 99.7) 10- 7 -0.23 16.81 -0.42 0.74 12.20
0 A Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 15- 1 -9.48 7.56 0.42 0.74 5.94
0 H Rutland (10- 6, 96.3) 14- 6 -3.58 13.46 -0.42 0.74 9.71
0 H South Burlingt (12- 5, 98.8) 9-10 -1.06 15.98 -0.42 0.74 -1.10
0 H Middlebury Uni (14- 4, 99.4) 8- 9 -0.47 16.57 -0.42 0.74 -0.66
0 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 12- 9 -4.24 12.80 -0.42 0.74 9.22
0 A South Burlingt (12- 5, 98.8) 10- 8 -1.06 15.98 0.42 0.74 12.20
0 H Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 14-17 -1.26 15.79 -0.42 0.74 -1.24
0 A Middlebury Uni (14- 4, 99.4) 9- 7 -0.47 16.57 0.42 0.74 12.64
0 H Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 16- 3 -9.48 7.56 -0.42 0.74 5.32
0 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 1- 0 -11.23 5.82 0.42 0.74 4.64
0 H Burr and Burto ( 9- 5, 97.8) 13-10 -2.15 14.90 -0.42 0.74 10.77
0 A Middlebury Uni (14- 4, 99.4) 9-10 -0.47 16.57 0.42 0.74 -0.04
0 H Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 10- 5 -1.26 15.79 -0.42 0.74 11.44
0 H South Burlingt (12- 5, 98.8) 18- 9 -1.06 15.98 -0.42 0.74 11.58
0 N Champlain Vall (13- 5, 99.7) 7-15 -0.23 16.81 -0.00 0.74 -0.17
------
136.81
|
winning pts = 140.0307 losing points = -3.2199
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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