All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.1699982 home-field advantage = -0.63 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 68.7) 9- 8 418 A Essex Junction ( 9- 9, 72.4) 16- 8 423 A Harwood Union (12- 1, 72.8) 10- 8 428 H Champlain Valley Union (13- 5, 74.4) 10- 7 430 A Bellows Free Academy-S ( 0-15, 63.5) 15- 1 502 H Rutland (10- 6, 70.2) 14- 6 503 H South Burlington (12- 5, 72.1) 9-10 506 H Middlebury Union (14- 4, 73.6) 8- 9 513 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 68.7) 12- 9 516 A South Burlington (12- 5, 72.1) 10- 8 520 H Essex Junction ( 9- 9, 72.4) 14-17 522 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 73.6) 9- 7 523 H Bellows Free Academy-S ( 0-15, 63.5) 16- 3 527 A Colchester ( 2-11, 59.1) 1- 0 528 H Burr and Burton Academ ( 9- 8, 71.3) 13-10 530 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 73.6) 9-10 606 H Essex Junction ( 9- 9, 72.4) 10- 5 612 H South Burlington (12- 5, 72.1) 18- 9 615 N Champlain Valley Union (13- 5, 74.4) 7-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Rice Memorial 9- 8 1 4 - -3.85 418 A Essex Junction 16- 8 8 1 ++ 5.85 423 A Harwood Union 10- 8 2 0 1.24 428 H Champlain Valley Union 10- 7 3 0 + 2.56 430 A Bellows Free Academy-S 15- 1 14 10 0.00 502 H Rutland 14- 6 8 4 + 2.40 503 H South Burlington 9-10 -1 2 - -3.66 506 H Middlebury Union 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.18 513 H Rice Memorial 12- 9 3 6 - -3.11 516 A South Burlington 10- 8 2 1 0.60 520 H Essex Junction 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.41 522 A Middlebury Union 9- 7 2 0 + 2.08 523 H Bellows Free Academy-S 16- 3 13 11 0.00 528 H Burr and Burton Academ 13-10 3 3 -0.51 530 A Middlebury Union 9-10 -1 0 -0.92 606 H Essex Junction 10- 5 5 2 + 2.59 612 H South Burlington 18- 9 9 2 ++ 4.34 615 N Champlain Valley Union 7-15 -8 0 --- -6.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 615 N Champlain Valley Union 7-15 -8 0 --- -6.81 520 H Essex Junction 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.41 412 A Rice Memorial 9- 8 1 4 - -3.85 503 H South Burlington 9-10 -1 2 - -3.66 506 H Middlebury Union 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.18 513 H Rice Memorial 12- 9 3 6 - -3.11OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Essex Junction 16- 8 8 1 ++ 5.85 612 H South Burlington 18- 9 9 2 ++ 4.34 428 H Champlain Valley Union 10- 7 3 0 + 2.56 502 H Rutland 14- 6 8 4 + 2.40 522 A Middlebury Union 9- 7 2 0 + 2.08 606 H Essex Junction 10- 5 5 2 + 2.59
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 74.17 Power Rank................. 2 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 42.10 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7179 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6178 RPI Rank................... 2 Champ. Probability ...... 19.0 Championship Rank ......... 1 Selection sum ........... 5 Selection Rank ............ 1 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 230. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 210. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 2 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0