---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:11 PDT

safe3step boys Mountain Crest 1
  
Mountain Crest        
W-L: (11- 9) PR = 88.1372

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Clearfield ( 8-11, 85.0) 9- 4 306 A Desert Hills ( 6-13, 78.1) 18- 5 307 A Crimson Cliffs ( 2-17, 75.4) 12- 0 312 A Spanish Fork (11- 9, 89.2) 10- 9 314 A Jordan ( 6-14, 81.1) 8- 1 321 A West Field (16- 4, 93.9) 4-11 326 H Bear River (15- 5, 91.1) 5-10 328 A Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 7-15 409 H Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 7- 6 411 A Logan ( 2-17, 83.4) 16- 7 416 H Ridgeline ( 6-13, 87.1) 4- 5 423 H West Field (16- 4, 93.9) 2-14 425 A Bear River (15- 5, 91.1) 3-12 430 H Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 8-13 502 A Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 8- 9 507 H Logan ( 2-17, 83.4) 14- 4 509 A Ridgeline ( 6-13, 87.1) 7- 5 513 H Logan ( 2-17, 83.4) 12- 8 515 A Waterford (12- 3, 89.6) 11- 9 517 A Snow Canyon (16- 3, 89.2) 7- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Clearfield              9- 4       5     4           1.34
   306 A Desert Hills           18- 5      13     9           0.00
   307 A Crimson Cliffs         12- 0      12    12           0.00
   312 A Spanish Fork           10- 9       1    -2    +      2.56
   314 A Jordan                  8- 1       7     7           0.00
   321 A West Field              4-11      -7    -6           0.00
   326 H Bear River              5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.57
   328 A Sky View                7-15      -8    -3          -1.74
   409 H Green Canyon            7- 6       1     0           1.36
   411 A Logan                  16- 7       9     4           0.82
   416 H Ridgeline               4- 5      -1     2    -     -2.59
   423 H West Field              2-14     -12    -5           0.00
   425 A Bear River              3-12      -9    -3          -1.52
   430 H Sky View                8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.79
   502 A Green Canyon            8- 9      -1    -1           0.41
   507 H Logan                  14- 4      10     5           0.00
   509 A Ridgeline               7- 5       2     1           1.46
   513 H Logan                  12- 8       4     5          -1.00
   515 A Waterford              11- 9       2    -2    +      3.97
   517 A Snow Canyon             7- 8      -1    -2           0.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Bear River              5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.57
   416 H Ridgeline               4- 5      -1     2    -     -2.59
   430 H Sky View                8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Spanish Fork           10- 9       1    -2    +      2.56
   515 A Waterford              11- 9       2    -2    +      3.97

Mountain Crest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Alta tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Alta
American Fork Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mountain Crest
Bear River Bear River Bear River  
Bingham Bingham insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bingham
Bonneville Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Bountiful Bountiful tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bountiful
Box Elder Box Elder tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) Box Elder
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Brighton
Canyon View Mountain Crest tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Mountain Crest
Cedar Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   5- 3 vs 2- 4
Cedar Valley Cedar Valley insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cedar Valley
Clearfield Mountain Crest Mountain Crest  
Copper Hills Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Corner Canyon Corner Canyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Corner Canyon
Crimson Cliffs Mountain Crest Mountain Crest  
Davis Davis   Davis
Desert Hills Mountain Crest Mountain Crest  
Dixie Mountain Crest tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Mountain Crest
East East insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Fremont Fremont tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Fremont
Green Canyon Green Canyon Green Canyon   4- 1 vs 2- 4
Herriman Herriman tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Herriman
Highland Highland tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Highland
Hillcrest Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   4- 2 vs 1- 4
Hurricane Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   5- 4 vs 1- 6
Jordan Mountain Crest Mountain Crest  
Juan Diego Catholic Juan Diego Catholic insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 2) Juan Diego Catholic
Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho   5- 0 vs 3- 3
Layton Mountain Crest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Lehi Mountain Crest tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Mountain Crest
Logan Mountain Crest Mountain Crest  
Lone Peak Lone Peak tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lone Peak
Maple Mountain Maple Mountain tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Maple Mountain
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge   Mountain Ridge
Mountain View Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Mountain Crest
Northridge Northridge tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Northridge
Olympus Olympus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Olympus
Orem Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Park City Park City   Park City
Payson Payson insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Payson
Pine View Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Pleasant Grove Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Provo Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ridgeline Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) Mountain Crest
Riverton Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Mountain Crest
Roy Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Salem Hills Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Sky View Sky View Sky View  
Skyline Skyline tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Skyline
Skyridge Skyridge tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Skyridge
Snow Canyon Snow Canyon Snow Canyon  
Spanish Fork Mountain Crest Mountain Crest  
Springville Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Syracuse Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mountain Crest
Timpanogos Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mountain Crest
Timpview Timpview insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Timpview
Viewmont Mountain Crest insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mountain Crest
Wasatch Wasatch tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wasatch
Waterford Mountain Crest Mountain Crest  
Weber Weber tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Weber
West Mountain Crest Mountain Crest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Field West Field West Field  
West Jordan Mountain Crest   Mountain Crest
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Woods Cross Woods Cross tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Woods Cross

PowerWise = 32


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Clearfield      ( 8-11, 85.0)     9- 4      -14.90      14.61      -0.53         0.93            13.12
   0 A Desert Hills    ( 6-13, 78.1)    18- 5      -21.77       7.74       0.53         0.93             7.70
   0 A Crimson Cliffs  ( 2-17, 75.4)    12- 0      -24.54       4.97       0.53         0.93             5.12
   0 A Spanish Fork    (11- 9, 89.2)    10- 9      -10.73      18.78       0.53         0.93            17.98
   0 A Jordan          ( 6-14, 81.1)     8- 1      -18.80      10.71       0.53         0.93            10.46
   0 A West Field      (16- 4, 93.9)     4-11       -6.00      23.51       0.53         0.93            -5.10
   0 H Bear River      (15- 5, 91.1)     5-10       -8.81      20.70      -0.53         0.93            -8.69
   0 A Sky View        (13- 7, 90.9)     7-15       -9.03      20.48       0.53         0.93            -7.92
   0 H Green Canyon    (10-10, 89.0)     7- 6      -10.88      18.63      -0.53         0.93            16.86
   0 A Logan           ( 2-17, 83.4)    16- 7      -16.47      13.04       0.53         0.93            12.64
   0 H Ridgeline       ( 6-13, 87.1)     4- 5      -12.83      16.68      -0.53         0.93           -12.44
   0 H West Field      (16- 4, 93.9)     2-14       -6.00      23.51      -0.53         0.93            -6.08
   0 A Bear River      (15- 5, 91.1)     3-12       -8.81      20.70       0.53         0.93            -7.72
   0 H Sky View        (13- 7, 90.9)     8-13       -9.03      20.48      -0.53         0.93            -8.90
   0 A Green Canyon    (10-10, 89.0)     8- 9      -10.88      18.63       0.53         0.93            -9.64
   0 H Logan           ( 2-17, 83.4)    14- 4      -16.47      13.04      -0.53         0.93            11.66
   0 A Ridgeline       ( 6-13, 87.1)     7- 5      -12.83      16.68       0.53         0.93            16.02
   0 H Logan           ( 2-17, 83.4)    12- 8      -16.47      13.04      -0.53         0.93            11.66
   0 A Waterford       (12- 3, 89.6)    11- 9      -10.32      19.20       0.53         0.93            18.37
   0 A Snow Canyon     (16- 3, 89.2)     7- 8      -10.74      18.77       0.53         0.93            -9.51
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        65.57

winning pts = 141.5831 losing points = -76.0100

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------