Mount Carmel
W-L: ( 1-11) PR = 71.3436Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H FCA LC ( 4- 1, 80.4) 0-10 321 A City College ( 8- 4, 78.0) 4- 9 324 H Loch Raven ( 4-10, 77.2) 0-10 326 A Key School (13- 4, 79.5) 0-14 401 H Beth TFiloh ( 2- 9, 73.4) 6-10 404 A Cristo Rey Jesuit ( 0-10, 66.0) 11- 2 408 A Jemicy School ( 4- 5, 74.2) 5- 6 425 A Glenelg Country (11- 2, 80.5) 2-25 429 H Annapolis Area Chris (11- 3, 81.3) 3-17 502 H Friends ( 4- 8, 76.3) 5-10 505 H Gunston School ( 6- 6, 77.4) 0- 7 507 A Chapelgate Christian ( 5- 7, 74.2) 2-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H FCA LC 0-10 -10 -9 0.00
321 A City College 4- 9 -5 -7 0.00
324 H Loch Raven 0-10 -10 -5 0.00
326 A Key School 0-14 -14 -9 0.00
401 H Beth TFiloh 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.38
404 A Cristo Rey Jesuit 11- 2 9 5 0.14
408 A Jemicy School 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.28
425 A Glenelg Country 2-25 -23 -10 0.00
429 H Annapolis Area Chris 3-17 -14 -10 0.00
502 H Friends 5-10 -5 -4 -0.54
505 H Gunston School 0- 7 -7 -6 0.00
507 A Chapelgate Christian 2-10 -8 -3 -1.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Beth TFiloh 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Jemicy School 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.28 |
Mount Carmel Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishop McNamara | |
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Chapelgate Christian | Chapelgate Christian | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Concordia Prep | |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | FCA LC | FCA LC | ||
| Friends | Friends | Friends | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gerstell Academy | |
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Gunston School | Gunston School | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Indian Creek School | |
| Jemicy School | Jemicy School | Jemicy School | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Maret | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Maret | |
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Sandy Spring Friends | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sandy Spring Friends | |
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | St Vincent Pallotti | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | St Vincent Pallotti | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Tome School | Tome School | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Aberdeen | Aberdeen | ||
| Academy for College | Academy for College | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Academy for College | |
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Atholton | Atholton | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Baltimore Polytechni | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bel Air | |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Bowie | Bowie | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | CH Flowers | CH Flowers | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Chesapeake BC | Chesapeake BC | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Clarksburg | Clarksburg | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Mount Carmel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Carmel | |
| Dr Henry Wise | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Mount Carmel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Carmel | |
| Dundalk | Dundalk | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dundalk | |
| DuVal | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Mount Carmel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Carmel | |
| Edmondson-Westside | Mount Carmel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Carmel | |
| Einstein | Einstein | Einstein | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Elkton | Elkton | Elkton | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Franklin | |
| Frederick | Frederick | Frederick | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | ||
| Great Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Guilford Park | Guilford Park | ||
| Gwynn Park | Gwynn Park | Gwynn Park | ||
| Hammond | Hammond | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hammond | |
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hereford | |
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Kennedy | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | Kent County | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Kenwood | Kenwood | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Lake Clifton | Mount Carmel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Carmel | |
| Lansdowne | Mount Carmel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Carmel | |
| Laurel | Laurel | Laurel | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Magruder | Magruder | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Meade | Meade | ||
| Mergenthaler | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | New Town | New Town | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| North East Cecil | North East Cecil | North East Cecil | ||
| North Hagerstown | North Hagerstown | North Hagerstown | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Northwestern PG | Northwestern PG | ||
| Northwood | Northwood | Northwood | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Owings Mills | Owings Mills | Owings Mills | ||
| Oxon Hill | Oxon Hill | Oxon Hill | ||
| Paint Branch | Paint Branch | Paint Branch | ||
| Parkdale | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Parkville | Parkville | ||
| Patapsco | Patapsco | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patapsco | |
| Patterson HS | Patterson HS | Patterson HS | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Perry Hall | |
| Perryville | Perryville | Perryville | ||
| Pikesville | Pikesville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Pikesville | |
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Mount Carmel | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Mount Carmel | |
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Severn Run | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sparrows Point | |
| Springbrook | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Western STES | Western STES | Western STES | ||
| Westlake | Westlake | Westlake | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| Wicomico | Wicomico | Wicomico | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Woodlawn | Woodlawn | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | ||
| DC International PCS | DC International PCS | DC International PCS | ||
| Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 28
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H FCA LC ( 4- 1, 80.4) 0-10 -19.50 16.09 -0.45 1.01 -20.17
0 A City College ( 8- 4, 78.0) 4- 9 -21.92 13.67 0.45 1.01 -21.72
0 H Loch Raven ( 4-10, 77.2) 0-10 -22.75 12.85 -0.45 1.01 -23.45
0 A Key School (13- 4, 79.5) 0-14 -20.39 15.21 0.45 1.01 -20.16
0 H Beth TFiloh ( 2- 9, 73.4) 6-10 -26.49 9.11 -0.45 1.01 -27.24
0 A Cristo Rey Jes ( 0-10, 66.0) 11- 2 -33.86 1.73 0.45 1.01 2.20
0 A Jemicy School ( 4- 5, 74.2) 5- 6 -25.72 9.88 0.45 1.01 -25.56
0 A Glenelg Countr (11- 2, 80.5) 2-25 -19.37 16.22 0.45 1.01 -19.14
0 H Annapolis Area (11- 3, 81.3) 3-17 -18.55 17.04 -0.45 1.01 -19.21
0 H Friends ( 4- 8, 76.3) 5-10 -23.65 11.94 -0.45 1.01 -24.37
0 H Gunston School ( 6- 6, 77.4) 0- 7 -22.50 13.10 -0.45 1.01 -23.20
0 A Chapelgate Chr ( 5- 7, 74.2) 2-10 -25.68 9.92 0.45 1.01 -25.51
------
-247.53
|
winning pts = 2.2015 losing points = -249.7333
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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