---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Mt Carmel 1
  
Mt Carmel             
W-L: (13- 6) PR = 80.8218

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 A Grossmont ( 1-18, 74.4) 8- 1 301 H Temecula Valley (13- 5, 83.6) 8-11 303 H Mission Hills ( 8- 9, 78.8) 11- 5 307 A Chaparral (11-10, 80.8) 5-12 314 A San Diego (10-10, 76.0) 10- 4 317 A Valley Center ( 7-11, 77.9) 20-17 319 H Preuss School (13- 5, 73.7) 17- 1 321 A El Capitan (10- 9, 80.7) 12- 7 325 A Fallbrook ( 3-15, 73.4) 15- 1 326 H University City (12- 7, 78.9) 7- 8 401 A Westview (12- 6, 82.7) 9-11 421 H Foothills Christian ( 5-14, 70.6) 17- 1 423 H Mission Hills ( 8- 9, 78.8) 9- 4 425 A Canyon Crest (13- 4, 81.0) 4-11 428 A Rancho Buena Vista (11- 5, 74.6) 12- 4 430 H Sage Creek ( 0-14, 68.2) 23- 1 502 A Pacific Ridge ( 9- 7, 77.7) 14-10 506 H Rancho Bernardo ( 4-13, 78.1) 10- 3 509 A Helix Charter (15- 4, 82.5) 7-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Grossmont               8- 1       7     6           0.00
   301 H Temecula Valley         8-11      -3    -2          -0.54
   303 H Mission Hills          11- 5       6     2    +      2.62
   307 A Chaparral               5-12      -7     0    --    -4.67
   314 A San Diego              10- 4       6     4           0.57
   317 A Valley Center          20-17       3     3           0.39
   319 H Preuss School          17- 1      16     7           0.00
   321 A El Capitan             12- 7       5     0    ++     5.27
   325 A Fallbrook              15- 1      14     7           0.00
   326 H University City         7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.24
   401 A Westview                9-11      -2    -2           0.19
   421 H Foothills Christian    17- 1      16    11           0.00
   423 H Mission Hills           9- 4       5     2    +      2.62
   425 A Canyon Crest            4-11      -7     0    --    -4.51
   428 A Rancho Buena Vista     12- 4       8     6           0.00
   430 H Sage Creek             23- 1      22    13           0.00
   502 A Pacific Ridge          14-10       4     3           1.23
   506 H Rancho Bernardo        10- 3       7     3           1.94
   509 A Helix Charter           7-11      -4    -2          -1.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Chaparral               5-12      -7     0    --    -4.67
   425 A Canyon Crest            4-11      -7     0    --    -4.51
   326 H University City         7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A El Capitan             12- 7       5     0    ++     5.27
   303 H Mission Hills          11- 5       6     2    +      2.62
   423 H Mission Hills           9- 4       5     2    +      2.62

Mt Carmel Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Acalanes   Acalanes
Alhambra Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Amador Valley Amador Valley   Amador Valley
Archie Williams Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Bay School Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Bentley School Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Berean Christian Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Berkeley Berkeley   Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Bishop ODowd   Bishop ODowd
Branson Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
California California   California
Campolindo Campolindo   Campolindo
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Casa Grande Casa Grande   Casa Grande
Clayton Valley Chart Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
College Park Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
De LaSalle De LaSalle   De LaSalle
Dougherty Valley Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Drew Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Dublin Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Foothill Pleasanton Foothill Pleasanton   Foothill Pleasanton
George Washington SF Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Granada Granada   Granada
Head-Royce Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Justin Siena Justin Siena   Justin Siena
Las Lomas Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Lick Wilmerding Lick Wilmerding   Lick Wilmerding
Livermore Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Lowell Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Marin Academy Marin Academy   Marin Academy
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic   Marin Catholic
Miramonte Miramonte   Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Napa Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Newark Memorial Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Northgate Northgate   Northgate
Novato Novato   Novato
Petaluma Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Piedmont Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate   Rancho Cotate
Redwood Redwood   Redwood
San Marin San Marin   San Marin
San Rafael Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
San Ramon Valley San Ramon Valley   San Ramon Valley
Sonoma Academy Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Sonoma Valley Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
St Vincent de Paul Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Stuart Hall Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Tamalpais Tamalpais   Tamalpais
Terra Linda Terra Linda   Terra Linda
University SF University SF   University SF
Urban School Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Vintage Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Washington Fremont Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Windsor Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Birmingham Charter Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
El Camino Real Chart Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
North Valley Militar Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Palisades Charter Palisades Charter   Palisades Charter
University Los Angel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Aptos Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Aragon Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty   Archbishop Mitty
Archbishop Riordan Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep   Bellarmine Prep
Burlingame Burlingame   Burlingame
Carlmont Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Carmel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Christopher Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Gunn Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Harbor Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Hillsdale Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Hollister-San Benito Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Latino College Prep Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Leland Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Live Oak Live Oak   Live Oak
Los Altos Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Los Gatos Los Gatos   Los Gatos
Menlo School Menlo School   Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton   Menlo-Atherton
Monte Vista Christia Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Monterey Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Pacific Grove Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Palma Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Palo Alto Palo Alto   Palo Alto
Pioneer Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Priory Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Sacred Heart Cathedr Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep   Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Salinas   Salinas
Santa Cruz Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Saratoga Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Scotts Valley Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Sequoia Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Serra San Mateo Serra San Mateo   Serra San Mateo
Sobrato Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Soquel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
St Francis-Mtn View St Francis-Mtn View   St Francis-Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School   Stevenson School
Valley Christian Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Woodside Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Agoura Agoura   Agoura
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel   Aliso Niguel
Beckman Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Beverly Hills Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Brentwood School Brentwood School   Brentwood School
Calabasas Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Canyon Canyon   Canyon
Capistrano Valley Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Castaic Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Cate School Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Centennial Centennial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Centennial
Chaminade Prep Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Chaparral Chaparral Chaparral  
Compton Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Corona Corona insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Corona
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   Corona Del Mar
Crean Lutheran Crean Lutheran   Crean Lutheran
Crescenta Valley Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Crespi Crespi   Crespi
Culver City Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Damien Mt Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mt Carmel
Dana Hills Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos   Dos Pueblos
Downey Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Edison Edison   Edison
El Dorado El Dorado   El Dorado
El Modena Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
El Segundo El Segundo   El Segundo
Eleanor Roosevelt Mt Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mt Carmel
Esperanza Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana   Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Grace Brethren Grace Brethren   Grace Brethren
Great Oak Mt Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Mt Carmel
Hart Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake   Harvard-Westlake
Hemet Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Heritage Christian Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Heritage HS Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach   Huntington Beach
Irvine Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   JSerra Catholic
King King insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) King
La Canada Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Laguna Hills Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Lakewood Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Liberty Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Linfield Christian Linfield Christian insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Linfield Christian
Long Beach Poly Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos   Los Alamitos
Loyola Los Angeles Loyola Los Angeles   Loyola Los Angeles
Lynwood Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana   Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Mira Costa Mira Costa   Mira Costa
Mission Viejo Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Murrieta Mesa Mt Carmel tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mt Carmel
Murrieta Valley Mt Carmel tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mt Carmel
Newbury Park Newbury Park   Newbury Park
Newport Harbor Newport Harbor   Newport Harbor
Norco Mt Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mt Carmel
Northwood Mt Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mt Carmel
Notre Dame Sherman Notre Dame Sherman   Notre Dame Sherman
Oak Park Oak Park   Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian   Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran   Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes   Palos Verdes
Peninsula Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Portola Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Redondo Union Redondo Union   Redondo Union
Riverside Poly Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
San Clemente San Clemente   San Clemente
San Juan Hills San Juan Hills insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Santa Barbara Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Santa Margarita Cath Santa Margarita Cath   Santa Margarita Cath
Santa Monica Santa Monica   Santa Monica
Santiago Santiago tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Santiago
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Segerstrom Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Servite Servite   Servite
Sierra Canyon Sierra Canyon   Sierra Canyon
Simi Royal Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Simi Valley Simi Valley   Simi Valley
St Francis-La Canada St Francis-La Canada   St Francis-La Canada
St John Bosco St John Bosco   St John Bosco
St Margarets Episcop St Margarets Episcop   St Margarets Episcop
Temecula Valley Temecula Valley Temecula Valley  
Tesoro Tesoro insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tesoro
Thacher School Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills   Trabuco Hills
University Irvine University Irvine   University Irvine
Valencia Santa Clari Valencia Santa Clari   Valencia Santa Clari
Viewpoint School Viewpoint School   Viewpoint School
Village Christian Village Christian   Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Ranch West Ranch   West Ranch
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Woodbridge Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Woodrow Wilson Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Yorba Linda Yorba Linda   Yorba Linda
Army-Navy Academy Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Canyon Crest Canyon Crest Canyon Crest  
Canyon Hills Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Carlsbad Carlsbad tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Carlsbad
Castle Park Mt Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mt Carmel
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Classical Academy Mt Carmel insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) Mt Carmel
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Del Norte Del Norte insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Del Norte
Eastlake Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   3- 0 vs 0- 3
El Capitan Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
Fallbrook Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
Foothills Christian Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
Francis Parker Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Granite Hills Granite Hills insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Granite Hills
Grossmont Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
Helix Charter Helix Charter Helix Charter  
Hilltop Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   3- 0 vs 0- 3
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon   La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS La Jolla CDS insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS La Jolla HS La Jolla HS   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lincoln San Diego Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mar Vista Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mater Dei Chula Vist Mt Carmel insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Mt Carmel
Mira Mesa Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mission Bay Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mission Hills Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
Monte Vista Spring V Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Morse Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Olympian Mt Carmel tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mt Carmel
Otay Ranch Mt Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mt Carmel
Pacific Ridge Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
Patrick Henry Mt Carmel tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Mt Carmel
Point Loma Point Loma Point Loma   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Poway Poway insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Poway
Preuss School Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
Rancho Bernardo Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
Rancho Buena Vista Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
Sage Creek Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
San Diego Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
San Dieguito San Dieguito San Dieguito  10- 1 vs 6- 5
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) San Marcos SD
San Ysidro Mt Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mt Carmel
Santa Fe Christian Santa Fe Christian   Santa Fe Christian
Santana Santana tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Santana
Scripps Ranch Scripps Ranch tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Scripps Ranch
St Augustine St Augustine tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Augustine
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
University City University City University City  
Valhalla Mt Carmel insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Mt Carmel
Valley Center Mt Carmel Mt Carmel  
West Hills Mt Carmel insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 4) Mt Carmel
Westview Westview Westview  
Bear River Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Bella Vista Bella Vista   Bella Vista
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers   Christian Brothers
Davis Davis   Davis
Del Oro Del Oro   Del Oro
Folsom Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Granite Bay Granite Bay   Granite Bay
Grant Union Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Jesuit Sacramento Jesuit Sacramento   Jesuit Sacramento
Lincoln Stockton Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Lincoln Sacramento Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Nevada Union Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge   Oak Ridge
Oakmont Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Rio Americano Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Rocklin Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Roseville Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
St Marys Stockton St Marys Stockton tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) St Marys Stockton
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago   Vista del Lago
West Park West Park   West Park
Whitney Whitney   Whitney
Woodcreek Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel

PowerWise = 154


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Grossmont       ( 1-18, 74.4)     8- 1      -25.49      14.66       0.36         0.88            13.14
   0 H Temecula Valle  (13- 5, 83.6)     8-11      -16.25      23.89      -0.36         0.88           -14.54
   0 H Mission Hills   ( 8- 9, 78.8)    11- 5      -21.10      19.04      -0.36         0.88            16.35
   0 A Chaparral       (11-10, 80.8)     5-12      -19.11      21.03       0.36         0.88           -16.41
   0 A San Diego       (10-10, 76.0)    10- 4      -23.86      16.28       0.36         0.88            14.56
   0 A Valley Center   ( 7-11, 77.9)    20-17      -22.04      18.10       0.36         0.88            16.15
   0 H Preuss School   (13- 5, 73.7)    17- 1      -26.17      13.97      -0.36         0.88            11.91
   0 A El Capitan      (10- 9, 80.7)    12- 7      -19.17      20.97       0.36         0.88            18.67
   0 A Fallbrook       ( 3-15, 73.4)    15- 1      -26.52      13.62       0.36         0.88            12.23
   0 H University Cit  (12- 7, 78.9)     7- 8      -20.96      19.18      -0.36         0.88           -18.66
   0 A Westview        (12- 6, 82.7)     9-11      -17.24      22.90       0.36         0.88           -14.78
   0 H Foothills Chri  ( 5-14, 70.6)    17- 1      -29.27      10.87      -0.36         0.88             9.20
   0 H Mission Hills   ( 8- 9, 78.8)     9- 4      -21.10      19.04      -0.36         0.88            16.35
   0 A Canyon Crest    (13- 4, 81.0)     4-11      -18.94      21.20       0.36         0.88           -16.27
   0 A Rancho Buena V  (11- 5, 74.6)    12- 4      -25.34      14.80       0.36         0.88            13.27
   0 H Sage Creek      ( 0-14, 68.2)    23- 1      -31.69       8.45      -0.36         0.88             7.08
   0 A Pacific Ridge   ( 9- 7, 77.7)    14-10      -22.21      17.93       0.36         0.88            16.01
   0 H Rancho Bernard  ( 4-13, 78.1)    10- 3      -21.78      18.36      -0.36         0.88            15.75
   0 A Helix Charter   (15- 4, 82.5)     7-11      -17.42      22.72       0.36         0.88           -14.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        85.09

winning pts = 180.6832 losing points = -95.5917

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------