Mount Blue
W-L: ( 4- 5) PR = 83.7648Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 425 A Lewiston ( 7- 8, 84.8) 5- 7 505 H Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 12-11 512 H Oxford Hills ( 5- 9, 83.0) 12- 9 514 H Bangor ( 6- 8, 82.5) 8- 9 516 A Portland (11- 5, 90.4) 8-14 520 H Edward Little ( 8- 7, 84.2) 9- 8 523 A Messalonskee (13- 4, 93.1) 5-18 604 A John Bapst Memorial ( 1- 7, 78.2) 10- 5 611 N Greely ( 6- 5, 89.8) 2-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
425 A Lewiston 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.24
505 H Mount Ararat 12-11 1 0 0.85
512 H Oxford Hills 12- 9 3 2 1.48
514 H Bangor 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.04
516 A Portland 8-14 -6 -7 0.00
520 H Edward Little 9- 8 1 0 0.74
523 A Messalonskee 5-18 -13 -10 0.00
604 A John Bapst Memorial 10- 5 5 5 0.20
611 N Greely 2-12 -10 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 H Bangor 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Mount Blue Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Bangor | Bangor | ||
| Biddeford | Mount Blue | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Blue | |
| Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bonny Eagle | |
| Brewer | Mount Blue | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mount Blue | |
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Camden Hills Regiona | Mount Blue | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mount Blue | |
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cape Elizabeth | |
| Cheverus | Cheverus | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cheverus | |
| Cony | Mount Blue | Mount Blue 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Deering | Deering | Deering 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Edward Little | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Erskine Academy | |
| Falmouth | Falmouth | Falmouth | ||
| Freeport | Freeport | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Freeport | |
| Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Fryeburg Academy | |
| Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Gardiner Area | |
| Gorham | Gorham | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Gorham | |
| Gray/New Gloucester/ | Gray/New Gloucester/ | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Gray/New Gloucester/ | |
| Greely | Greely | Greely | ||
| Hampden Academy | Mount Blue | Mount Blue 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Houlton/Hogdon | Mount Blue | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mount Blue | |
| John Bapst Memorial | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Kennebunk | |
| Lake Region | Lake Region | Lake Region | ||
| Lawrence/Winslow | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Lewiston | Lewiston | Lewiston | ||
| Lincoln Academy | Mount Blue | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Mount Blue | |
| Maranacook-Winthrop | Maranacook-Winthrop | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Maranacook-Winthrop | |
| Marshwood | Marshwood | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Marshwood | |
| Massabesic | Massabesic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Massabesic | |
| MCI-Nokomis | Mount Blue | Mount Blue 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Messalonskee | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Morse/Boothbay | |
| Mount Ararat | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Noble/Sanford | Noble/Sanford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Noble/Sanford | |
| North Yarmouth Acade | North Yarmouth Acade | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Yarmouth Acade | |
| Oak Hill | Oak Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Oak Hill | |
| Oxford Hills | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Portland | Portland | Portland | ||
| Scarborough | Scarborough | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Scarborough | |
| South Portland | South Portland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Portland | |
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | ||
| Traip Academy | Mount Blue | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mount Blue | |
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | Waynflete School | ||
| Wells | Wells | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wells | |
| Westbrook | Mount Blue | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mount Blue | |
| Windham | Windham | Windham 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| York | York | York |
PowerWise = 15
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lewiston ( 7- 8, 84.8) 5- 7 -15.11 13.33 0.74 1.44 -20.76
0 H Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 12-11 -15.54 12.90 -0.74 1.44 17.56
0 H Oxford Hills ( 5- 9, 83.0) 12- 9 -16.92 11.52 -0.74 1.44 15.58
0 H Bangor ( 6- 8, 82.5) 8- 9 -17.43 11.01 -0.74 1.44 -26.25
0 A Portland (11- 5, 90.4) 8-14 -9.50 18.94 0.74 1.44 -12.66
0 H Edward Little ( 8- 7, 84.2) 9- 8 -15.65 12.79 -0.74 1.44 17.40
0 A Messalonskee (13- 4, 93.1) 5-18 -6.77 21.67 0.74 1.44 -8.71
0 A John Bapst Mem ( 1- 7, 78.2) 10- 5 -21.68 6.76 0.74 1.44 10.84
0 N Greely ( 6- 5, 89.8) 2-12 -10.09 18.35 -0.00 1.44 -14.58
------
-21.58
|
winning pts = 61.3839 losing points = -82.9617
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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