Mount Ararat
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 84.3583Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 14-13 422 A Fryeburg Academy ( 5- 7, 88.4) 10-17 429 H Edward Little ( 8- 7, 84.2) 4- 6 505 A Mount Blue ( 4- 5, 83.8) 11-12 506 A Lewiston ( 7- 8, 84.8) 7- 4 509 A Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 8-15 513 H Messalonskee (13- 4, 93.1) 0-15 515 A Lincoln Academy ( 4- 8, 82.0) 8- 4 522 A Marshwood ( 3-11, 87.7) 10-16 525 H Freeport (11- 4, 92.6) 3-15 528 H Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 83.9) 10- 9 530 H Cony ( 4-10, 81.0) 16- 4 603 A Brunswick (10- 6, 91.7) 4-15 607 H Oxford Hills ( 5- 9, 83.0) 9- 8 610 N Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 H Morse/Boothbay 14-13 1 -1 + 2.21
422 A Fryeburg Academy 10-17 -7 -5 -0.20
429 H Edward Little 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.85
505 A Mount Blue 11-12 -1 0 -0.85
506 A Lewiston 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.17
509 A Gardiner Area 8-15 -7 -3 - -2.41
513 H Messalonskee 0-15 -15 -8 0.00
515 A Lincoln Academy 8- 4 4 2 + 2.41
522 A Marshwood 10-16 -6 -4 -0.90
525 H Freeport 3-15 -12 -8 0.00
528 H Erskine Academy 10- 9 1 1 -0.16
530 H Cony 16- 4 12 4 0.86
603 A Brunswick 4-15 -11 -8 0.00
607 H Oxford Hills 9- 8 1 2 -1.11
610 N Gardiner Area 4- 7 -3 -2 -1.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Edward Little 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.85 509 A Gardiner Area 8-15 -7 -3 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A Lewiston 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.17 418 H Morse/Boothbay 14-13 1 -1 + 2.21 515 A Lincoln Academy 8- 4 4 2 + 2.41 |
Mount Ararat Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Mount Ararat | insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 5) | Mount Ararat | |
| Biddeford | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Ararat | |
| Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Bonny Eagle | |
| Brewer | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Camden Hills Regiona | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cheverus | Cheverus | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cheverus | |
| Cony | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Deering | Deering | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Deering | |
| Edward Little | Edward Little | Edward Little | ||
| Erskine Academy | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Falmouth | Falmouth | Falmouth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Freeport | Freeport | Freeport | ||
| Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | ||
| Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | ||
| Gorham | Gorham | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Gorham | |
| Gray/New Gloucester/ | Gray/New Gloucester/ | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Gray/New Gloucester/ | |
| Greely | Greely | Greely 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Hampden Academy | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Houlton/Hogdon | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| John Bapst Memorial | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Kennebunk | |
| Lake Region | Lake Region | Lake Region | ||
| Lawrence/Winslow | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lewiston | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Lincoln Academy | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Maranacook-Winthrop | Maranacook-Winthrop | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 6- 1) | Maranacook-Winthrop | |
| Marshwood | Marshwood | Marshwood | ||
| Massabesic | Massabesic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Massabesic | |
| MCI-Nokomis | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Messalonskee | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Morse/Boothbay | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Mount Blue | Mount Blue | Mount Blue | ||
| Noble/Sanford | Noble/Sanford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Noble/Sanford | |
| North Yarmouth Acade | North Yarmouth Acade | North Yarmouth Acade 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Oak Hill | Oak Hill | Oak Hill 7- 2 vs 5- 4 | ||
| Oxford Hills | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Portland | Portland | Portland 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Scarborough | Scarborough | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Scarborough | |
| South Portland | South Portland | South Portland 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Traip Academy | Mount Ararat | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mount Ararat | |
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | Waynflete School | ||
| Wells | Wells | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Wells | |
| Westbrook | Mount Ararat | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mount Ararat | |
| Windham | Windham | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Windham | |
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| York | York | York 3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
PowerWise = 17
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 14-13 -13.60 14.84 -0.74 0.87 12.22
0 A Fryeburg Acade ( 5- 7, 88.4) 10-17 -11.48 16.96 0.74 0.87 -9.31
0 H Edward Little ( 8- 7, 84.2) 4- 6 -15.65 12.79 -0.74 0.87 -14.21
0 A Mount Blue ( 4- 5, 83.8) 11-12 -16.14 12.31 0.74 0.87 -13.34
0 A Lewiston ( 7- 8, 84.8) 7- 4 -15.11 13.33 0.74 0.87 12.19
0 A Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 8-15 -13.70 14.75 0.74 0.87 -11.23
0 H Messalonskee (13- 4, 93.1) 0-15 -6.77 21.67 -0.74 0.87 -6.51
0 A Lincoln Academ ( 4- 8, 82.0) 8- 4 -17.87 10.57 0.74 0.87 9.81
0 A Marshwood ( 3-11, 87.7) 10-16 -12.19 16.26 0.74 0.87 -9.92
0 H Freeport (11- 4, 92.6) 3-15 -7.29 21.15 -0.74 0.87 -6.96
0 H Erskine Academ ( 8- 7, 83.9) 10- 9 -15.96 12.48 -0.74 0.87 10.18
0 H Cony ( 4-10, 81.0) 16- 4 -18.94 9.50 -0.74 0.87 7.59
0 A Brunswick (10- 6, 91.7) 4-15 -8.18 20.26 0.74 0.87 -6.45
0 H Oxford Hills ( 5- 9, 83.0) 9- 8 -16.92 11.52 -0.74 0.87 9.35
0 N Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 4- 7 -13.70 14.75 -0.00 0.87 -11.87
------
-28.46
|
winning pts = 61.3337 losing points = -89.7943
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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