---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:10 PDT

safe3step boys Moravian Academy 1
  
Moravian Academy      
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 86.5231

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Saucon Valley ( 2-14, 79.6) 15- 4 320 H Pleasant Valley ( 3-15, 81.1) 17- 3 325 A Parkland (16- 5, 90.0) 12-19 327 H Nazareth Area (13- 7, 85.9) 17- 8 401 A Bethlehem Catholic ( 0-14, 74.4) 19- 1 403 H Liberty Bethlehem ( 6-12, 83.5) 12- 4 408 A Freedom Bethlehem ( 7-10, 84.8) 12-13 410 H Allentown Central Ca (19- 4, 89.7) 6-15 415 A Easton Area (19- 1, 91.8) 6-18 422 A Emmaus ( 9-10, 84.8) 12-10 424 A Northampton Area ( 6-12, 81.2) 15- 5 429 H Southern Lehigh (10- 9, 85.9) 5- 7 501 A Northwestern Lehigh (11- 8, 85.4) 7-13 506 A Southern Lehigh (10- 9, 85.9) 8- 4 508 H Saucon Valley ( 2-14, 79.6) 18-11 513 H Northwestern Lehigh (11- 8, 85.4) 10- 8 520 N Northwestern Lehigh (11- 8, 85.4) 10- 7 522 N Allentown Central Ca (19- 4, 89.7) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Saucon Valley          15- 4      11     7           0.00
   320 H Pleasant Valley        17- 3      14     6           0.00
   325 A Parkland               12-19      -7    -4          -1.29
   327 H Nazareth Area          17- 8       9     1    ++     4.13
   401 A Bethlehem Catholic     19- 1      18    12           0.00
   403 H Liberty  Bethlehem     12- 4       8     3           1.80
   408 A Freedom Bethlehem      12-13      -1     2    -     -2.53
   410 H Allentown Central Ca    6-15      -9    -3    -     -2.07
   415 A Easton Area             6-18     -12    -5           0.00
   422 A Emmaus                 12-10       2     2           0.47
   424 A Northampton Area       15- 5      10     5           0.00
   429 H Southern Lehigh         5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.83
   501 A Northwestern Lehigh     7-13      -6     1    --    -5.90
   506 A Southern Lehigh         8- 4       4     0    +      3.58
   508 H Saucon Valley          18-11       7     7           0.00
   513 H Northwestern Lehigh    10- 8       2     1           0.69
   520 N Northwestern Lehigh    10- 7       3     1           1.90
   522 N Allentown Central Ca    8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Northwestern Lehigh     7-13      -6     1    --    -5.90
   408 A Freedom Bethlehem      12-13      -1     2    -     -2.53
   410 H Allentown Central Ca    6-15      -9    -3    -     -2.07
   429 H Southern Lehigh         5- 7      -2     1    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Nazareth Area          17- 8       9     1    ++     4.13
   506 A Southern Lehigh         8- 4       4     0    +      3.58
   522 N Allentown Central Ca    8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.13

Moravian Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Academy New Church Academy New Church insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Academy New Church
AIM Academy Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Allentown Central Ca Allentown Central Ca Allentown Central Ca  
Archbishop Carroll Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Archbishop Ryan Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Archbishop Wood Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Avon Grove Avon Grove   Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Bayard Rustin Bayard Rustin   Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic Moravian Academy Moravian Academy  
Bishop Shanahan Bishop Shanahan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Bonner-Prendergast Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Boyertown Moravian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moravian Academy
Cardinal OHara Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Central Bucks East Central Bucks East tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Central Bucks East
Central Bucks South Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Central Bucks West Central Bucks West tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Central Bucks West
Central Philadelphia Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Cheltenham Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Church Farm School Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Coatesville Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Conestoga Conestoga   Conestoga
Conwell Egan Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Council Rock North Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Council Rock South Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Delaware Valley Frie Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Devon Prep Devon Prep   Devon Prep
Downingtown East Downingtown East   Downingtown East
Downingtown West Downingtown West   Downingtown West
Easton Area Easton Area Easton Area  
Emmaus Moravian Academy Moravian Academy  
Episcopal Academy Episcopal Academy   Episcopal Academy
Father Judge Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Frankford Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Freedom Bethlehem Freedom Bethlehem Freedom Bethlehem  
Garnet Valley Garnet Valley   Garnet Valley
George School Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
George Washington George Washington   George Washington
Germantown Academy Germantown Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Germantown Academy
Great Valley Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Harriton Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Hatboro-Horsham Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Haverford HS Haverford HS   Haverford HS
Haverford School Haverford School   Haverford School
Hill School Hill School   Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Interboro Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Jack Barrack Academy Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Kennett Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
La Salle College La Salle College   La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Liberty Bethlehem Moravian Academy Moravian Academy  
Lower Merion Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Malvern Prep Malvern Prep   Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown Marple Newtown   Marple Newtown
Masterman Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Mastery Charter Nort Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Methacton Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Nazareth Area Moravian Academy Moravian Academy  
Neshaminy Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
New Hope-Solebury Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
North Penn North Penn   North Penn
Northampton Area Moravian Academy Moravian Academy  
Northeast Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Northwestern Lehigh Moravian Academy Moravian Academy  
Olney Charter Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Owen J Roberts Owen J Roberts   Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Parkland Parkland Parkland  
Penn Charter Penn Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn Charter
Penncrest Penncrest   Penncrest
Pennridge Pennridge tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 1) Pennridge
Pennsbury Pennsbury   Pennsbury
Perkiomen School Perkiomen School   Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley Perkiomen Valley   Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Pleasant Valley Moravian Academy Moravian Academy  
Plymouth-Whitemarsh Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Pope John Paul II Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Pottsgrove Moravian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moravian Academy
Quakertown Moravian Academy Moravian Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Radnor Radnor   Radnor
Ridley Ridley   Ridley
Roman Catholic Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Saucon Valley Moravian Academy Moravian Academy  
Shipley School Moravian Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Moravian Academy
Solanco Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Souderton Souderton   Souderton
South Philadelphia Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Southern Lehigh Moravian Academy insuffient: ( 8- 5)( 7- 5) Moravian Academy
Spring-Ford Spring-Ford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Springfield-Delco Springfield-Delco insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut Springside Chestnut   Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep St Josephs Prep   St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Sun Valley Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Truman Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Unionville Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Upper Darby Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Upper Dublin Upper Dublin   Upper Dublin
Upper Merion Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Upper Moreland Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
West Chester East Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
West Chester Henders West Chester Henders   West Chester Henders
West Philadelphia Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Westtown Westtown   Westtown
William Tennent Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Wissahickon Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Baldwin Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Bethel Park Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Butler Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Canon-McMillan Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Cathedral Prep Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Central Catholic Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Chartiers Valley Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Conneaut Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Erie-McDowell Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Fairview Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Fox Chapel Fox Chapel   Fox Chapel
Franklin Regional Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Freeport Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Gateway Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Greensburg Central C Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Hampton Hampton   Hampton
Hempfield Greensburg Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Hickory Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Indiana Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Knoch Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Latrobe Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Mars Area Mars Area tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Moon Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Mount Lebanon Mount Lebanon   Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny North Allegheny   North Allegheny
North Catholic Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
North Hills Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Norwin Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Penn-Trafford Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Peters Township Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Pine Richland Pine Richland tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pine Richland
Plum Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Quaker Valley Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Seton LaSalle Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Sewickley Academy Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Shady Side Academy Shady Side Academy   Shady Side Academy
Shaler Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
South Fayette South Fayette   South Fayette
Taylor Allderdice Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Trinity Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Upper St Clair Upper St Clair   Upper St Clair
West Allegheny Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Winchester Thurston Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Abington Heights Moravian Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Moravian Academy
Bellefonte Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Berks Catholic Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Bishop McDevitt Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Carlisle Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Cedar Cliff Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Cedar Crest Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Central Dauphin Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Central Dauphin East Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Central York Central York insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Central York
Chambersburg Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Cocalico Cocalico   Cocalico
Conestoga Valley Conestoga Valley   Conestoga Valley
Conrad Weiser Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Crestwood Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Cumberland Valley Cumberland Valley   Cumberland Valley
Dallas Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Dallastown Dallastown   Dallastown
Daniel Boone Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Danville Area Moravian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moravian Academy
Delaware Valley Delaware Valley tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Delaware Valley
Delone Catholic Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Dover Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Eastern York Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Elizabethtown Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Ephrata Ephrata   Ephrata
Exeter Township Moravian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Moravian Academy
Garden Spot Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Gettysburg Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Governor Mifflin Moravian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moravian Academy
Hempfield Hempfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hempfield
Hershey Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Kennard-Dale Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Lake-Lehman Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Lakeland Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Lampeter-Strasburg Lampeter-Strasburg   Lampeter-Strasburg
Lancaster CDS Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Lewisburg Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Lower Dauphin Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Manheim Township Manheim Township   Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Mifflin County Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Mifflinburg Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Muhlenberg Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
New Oxford Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
North Pocono Moravian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moravian Academy
Northern York Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Palmyra Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Penn Manor Penn Manor   Penn Manor
Red Land Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Red Lion Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Schuylkill Valley Moravian Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Moravian Academy
Scranton Prep Scranton Prep insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Scranton Prep
Selinsgrove Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
South-Western Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Spring Grove Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
State College State College   State College
Susquehannock Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Trinity HS Trinity HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Trinity HS
Tunkhannock Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Twin Valley Twin Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Twin Valley
Warwick Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
West York Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Wilkes-Barre Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Wilson West Lawn Wilson West Lawn insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Wyoming Seminary Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Wyomissing Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
York Catholic Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
York Suburban Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy

PowerWise = 158


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Saucon Valley   ( 2-14, 79.6)    15- 4      -20.25      14.08       0.20         0.87            12.48
   0 H Pleasant Valle  ( 3-15, 81.1)    17- 3      -18.78      15.55      -0.20         0.87            13.40
   0 A Parkland        (16- 5, 90.0)    12-19       -9.88      24.46       0.20         0.87            -8.45
   0 H Nazareth Area   (13- 7, 85.9)    17- 8      -14.04      20.30      -0.20         0.87            17.55
   0 A Bethlehem Cath  ( 0-14, 74.4)    19- 1      -25.55       8.79       0.20         0.87             7.85
   0 H Liberty  Bethl  ( 6-12, 83.5)    12- 4      -16.37      17.97      -0.20         0.87            15.51
   0 A Freedom Bethle  ( 7-10, 84.8)    12-13      -15.12      19.22       0.20         0.87           -13.02
   0 H Allentown Cent  (19- 4, 89.7)     6-15      -10.25      24.09      -0.20         0.87            -9.13
   0 A Easton Area     (19- 1, 91.8)     6-18       -8.10      26.23       0.20         0.87            -6.90
   0 A Emmaus          ( 9-10, 84.8)    12-10      -15.12      19.22       0.20         0.87            16.96
   0 A Northampton Ar  ( 6-12, 81.2)    15- 5      -18.69      15.65       0.20         0.87            13.84
   0 H Southern Lehig  (10- 9, 85.9)     5- 7      -14.00      20.34      -0.20         0.87           -12.40
   0 A Northwestern L  (11- 8, 85.4)     7-13      -14.48      19.86       0.20         0.87           -12.46
   0 A Southern Lehig  (10- 9, 85.9)     8- 4      -14.00      20.34       0.20         0.87            17.94
   0 H Saucon Valley   ( 2-14, 79.6)    18-11      -20.25      14.08      -0.20         0.87            12.12
   0 H Northwestern L  (11- 8, 85.4)    10- 8      -14.48      19.86      -0.20         0.87            17.16
   0 N Northwestern L  (11- 8, 85.4)    10- 7      -14.48      19.86      -0.00         0.87            17.34
   0 N Allentown Cent  (19- 4, 89.7)     8- 9      -10.25      24.09      -0.00         0.87            -8.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        90.85

winning pts = 162.1557 losing points = -71.3021

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------