Morgan School
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 78.1273Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 3-12 408 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 9- 6 410 A North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 5- 8 419 A Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 2-12 424 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 23- 0 429 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 6-14 501 H Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 4-15 503 A Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 12-10 505 A Valley Regional (10- 9, 79.3) 10- 8 509 H Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 5-18 510 H Jonathan Law ( 5-11, 74.5) 15- 5 513 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 5- 2 514 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 20- 3 519 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 1-17 520 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 5-14 523 H Valley Regional (10- 9, 79.3) 11-18 530 A Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 8- 5 604 A New Fairfield (20- 2, 90.5) 0-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Hall 3-12 -9 -4 -0.89
408 H Old Lyme 9- 6 3 4 -0.88
410 A North Branford 5- 8 -3 -4 0.80
419 A Waterford 2-12 -10 -2 - -2.96
424 A Cromwell 23- 0 23 14 0.00
429 H North Branford 6-14 -8 -3 - -2.14
501 H Haddam-Killingworth 4-15 -11 -8 0.00
503 A Branford 12-10 2 -1 + 3.03
505 A Valley Regional 10- 8 2 -2 + 3.69
509 H Old Saybrook 5-18 -13 -5 -0.25
510 H Jonathan Law 15- 5 10 4 0.95
513 A Old Lyme 5- 2 3 3 0.06
514 H Cromwell 20- 3 17 15 0.00
519 A Haddam-Killingworth 1-17 -16 -9 0.00
520 A Old Saybrook 5-14 -9 -6 0.00
523 H Valley Regional 11-18 -7 -1 -- -4.25
530 A Stonington 8- 5 3 0 + 2.80
604 A New Fairfield 0-18 -18 -13 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 H Valley Regional 11-18 -7 -1 -- -4.25 419 A Waterford 2-12 -10 -2 - -2.96 429 H North Branford 6-14 -8 -3 - -2.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Branford 12-10 2 -1 + 3.03 505 A Valley Regional 10- 8 2 -2 + 3.69 530 A Stonington 8- 5 3 0 + 2.80 |
Morgan School Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Avon HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Avon HS | |
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Bacon Academy | |
| Berlin | Morgan School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Bethel | Bethel | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bristol Co-Op | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Brookfield | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | Morgan School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Canton | |
| Capital-Classical Pr | Morgan School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Danbury | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Enfield | Enfield | ||
| EO Smith | Morgan School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Farmington | |
| Fitch Groton | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Morgan School | |
| Foran | Foran | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glastonbury | |
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Hamden | |
| Holy Cross | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Immaculate Danbury | Morgan School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Lakeview United | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Ledyard-Griswold | Morgan School | Morgan School 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Morgan School | |
| Maloney-Platt | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Masuk | |
| Middletown | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Montville | Morgan School | Morgan School 3- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New Milford | New Milford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Milford | |
| Newington | Newington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| North Haven | Morgan School | Morgan School 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Morgan School | |
| Norwich Tech | Morgan School | Morgan School 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Morgan School | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | ||
| Old Lyme | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Pomperaug | |
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Rocky Hill | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Somers | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southington | |
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Suffield | Suffield | Suffield | ||
| Tolland | Morgan School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Morgan School | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Valley Regional | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Valley Regional | |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Morgan School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Morgan School | |
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| West Haven | Morgan School | Morgan School 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Westhill | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Weston | Weston | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wethersfield | |
| Wilbur Cross | Morgan School | Morgan School 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Wolcott | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Morgan School | |
| Xavier | Xavier | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Xavier |
PowerWise = 38
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 3-12 -17.19 23.07 -0.47 0.95 -16.69
0 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 9- 6 -25.18 15.07 -0.47 0.95 13.79
0 A North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 5- 8 -18.44 21.81 0.47 0.95 -16.98
0 A Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 2-12 -20.20 20.05 0.47 0.95 -18.65
0 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 23- 0 -36.37 3.88 0.47 0.95 4.12
0 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 6-14 -18.44 21.81 -0.47 0.95 -17.88
0 H Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 4-15 -13.74 26.52 -0.47 0.95 -13.43
0 A Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 12-10 -21.22 19.04 0.47 0.95 18.44
0 A Valley Regiona (10- 9, 79.3) 10- 8 -20.55 19.70 0.47 0.95 19.07
0 H Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 5-18 -16.54 23.71 -0.47 0.95 -16.08
0 H Jonathan Law ( 5-11, 74.5) 15- 5 -25.35 14.90 -0.47 0.95 13.64
0 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 5- 2 -25.18 15.07 0.47 0.95 14.69
0 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 20- 3 -36.37 3.88 -0.47 0.95 3.22
0 A Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 1-17 -13.74 26.52 0.47 0.95 -12.53
0 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 5-14 -16.54 23.71 0.47 0.95 -15.19
0 H Valley Regiona (10- 9, 79.3) 11-18 -20.55 19.70 -0.47 0.95 -19.87
0 A Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 8- 5 -22.45 17.81 0.47 0.95 17.28
0 A New Fairfield (20- 2, 90.5) 0-18 -9.38 30.87 0.47 0.95 -8.42
------
-51.47
|
winning pts = 104.2456 losing points = -155.7112
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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