List of boy Div 17 Morgan School List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Hall                    3-12      -9    -6          -0.46
   408 H Old Lyme                9- 6       3     4          -1.35
   410 A North Branford          5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.96
   419 A Waterford               2-12     -10    -4    -     -2.17
   424 A Cromwell               23- 0      23    18           0.00
   429 H North Branford          6-14      -8    -4    -     -2.32
   501 H Haddam-Killingworth     4-15     -11   -11           0.00
   503 A Branford               12-10       2    -1    +      3.95
   505 A Valley Regional        10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.11
   509 H Old Saybrook            5-18     -13    -7           0.00
   510 H Jonathan Law           15- 5      10     4    +      2.46
   513 A Old Lyme                5- 2       3     3          -0.07
   514 H Cromwell               20- 3      17    19           0.00
   519 A Haddam-Killingworth     1-17     -16   -12           0.00
   520 A Old Saybrook            5-14      -9    -8           0.00
   523 H Valley Regional        11-18      -7    -1    --    -5.17
   530 A Stonington              8- 5       3     0    +      3.46
   604 A New Fairfield           0-18     -18   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Valley Regional        11-18      -7    -1    --    -5.17
   419 A Waterford               2-12     -10    -4    -     -2.17
   429 H North Branford          6-14      -8    -4    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Valley Regional        10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.11
   410 A North Branford          5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.96
   503 A Branford               12-10       2    -1    +      3.95
   510 H Jonathan Law           15- 5      10     4    +      2.46
   530 A Stonington              8- 5       3     0    +      3.46



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 65.79 Power Rank.................    62
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 39.30 SOS (PR) Rank..............    61
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6299 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    28
 RPI Rating............... .4963 RPI Rank...................    49
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    54
 Selection sum ...........   133 Selection Rank ............    43
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -200. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    66
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -165. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    56
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   8.0 Ave Defensive Goals .......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3