Morse/Boothbay
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 86.3034Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 A Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 13-14 422 H Brewer ( 4- 4, 83.1) 12- 4 428 A Lincoln Academy ( 4- 8, 82.0) 9-10 501 H Camden Hills Regiona ( 6- 8, 82.3) 19-13 503 A Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 83.9) 15- 8 506 H Maranacook-Winthrop (10- 4, 88.1) 11-20 510 A Freeport (11- 4, 92.6) 7-11 512 H Bangor ( 6- 8, 82.5) 8- 3 514 H Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 83.9) 11- 7 516 A MCI-Nokomis ( 0- 8, 74.9) 24- 8 519 A Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 22-13 521 H Lawrence/Winslow ( 2- 7, 78.8) 21- 7 530 H Greely ( 6- 5, 89.8) 9-16 604 A Messalonskee (13- 4, 93.1) 7-19 613 N Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 A Mount Ararat 13-14 -1 1 - -2.21
422 H Brewer 12- 4 8 4 1.05
428 A Lincoln Academy 9-10 -1 4 -- -4.53
501 H Camden Hills Regiona 19-13 6 5 0.23
503 A Erskine Academy 15- 8 7 2 + 3.38
506 H Maranacook-Winthrop 11-20 -9 -1 - -3.98
510 A Freeport 7-11 -4 -7 1.00
512 H Bangor 8- 3 5 5 0.42
514 H Erskine Academy 11- 7 4 3 0.90
516 A MCI-Nokomis 24- 8 16 11 0.00
519 A Gardiner Area 22-13 9 -1 ++ 5.64
521 H Lawrence/Winslow 21- 7 14 8 0.00
530 H Greely 9-16 -7 -3 - -2.24
604 A Messalonskee 7-19 -12 -8 0.00
613 N Oak Hill 8-12 -4 -2 -1.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Lincoln Academy 9-10 -1 4 -- -4.53 418 A Mount Ararat 13-14 -1 1 - -2.21 506 H Maranacook-Winthrop 11-20 -9 -1 - -3.98 530 H Greely 9-16 -7 -3 - -2.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 A Gardiner Area 22-13 9 -1 ++ 5.64 503 A Erskine Academy 15- 8 7 2 + 3.38 |
Morse/Boothbay Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| Biddeford | Morse/Boothbay | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Morse/Boothbay | |
| Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | ||
| Brewer | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Camden Hills Regiona | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cape Elizabeth | |
| Cheverus | Cheverus | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cheverus | |
| Cony | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Deering | Deering | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Deering | |
| Edward Little | Edward Little | Edward Little 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Erskine Academy | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| Falmouth | Falmouth | Falmouth | ||
| Freeport | Freeport | Freeport | ||
| Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Fryeburg Academy | |
| Gardiner Area | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| Gorham | Gorham | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Gorham | |
| Gray/New Gloucester/ | Morse/Boothbay | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Morse/Boothbay | |
| Greely | Greely | Greely | ||
| Hampden Academy | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Houlton/Hogdon | Morse/Boothbay | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Morse/Boothbay | |
| John Bapst Memorial | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Kennebunk | |
| Lake Region | Lake Region | Lake Region | ||
| Lawrence/Winslow | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| Lewiston | Morse/Boothbay | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Morse/Boothbay | |
| Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Maranacook-Winthrop | Maranacook-Winthrop | Maranacook-Winthrop | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Marshwood | |
| Massabesic | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| MCI-Nokomis | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| Messalonskee | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Mount Blue | Morse/Boothbay | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Morse/Boothbay | |
| Noble/Sanford | Noble/Sanford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Noble/Sanford | |
| North Yarmouth Acade | North Yarmouth Acade | North Yarmouth Acade 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Oak Hill | Oak Hill | Oak Hill | ||
| Oxford Hills | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay 3- 3 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Portland | Portland | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Portland | |
| Scarborough | Scarborough | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Scarborough | |
| South Portland | South Portland | South Portland | ||
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | ||
| Traip Academy | Morse/Boothbay | Morse/Boothbay | ||
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | Waynflete School | ||
| Wells | Wells | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Wells | |
| Westbrook | Morse/Boothbay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Morse/Boothbay | |
| Windham | Windham | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Windham | |
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| York | York | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | York |
PowerWise = 19
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 13-14 -15.54 12.90 0.74 0.87 -12.83
0 H Brewer ( 4- 4, 83.1) 12- 4 -16.80 11.64 -0.74 0.87 9.45
0 A Lincoln Academ ( 4- 8, 82.0) 9-10 -17.87 10.57 0.74 0.87 -14.84
0 H Camden Hills R ( 6- 8, 82.3) 19-13 -17.62 10.82 -0.74 0.87 8.73
0 A Erskine Academ ( 8- 7, 83.9) 15- 8 -15.96 12.48 0.74 0.87 11.46
0 H Maranacook-Win (10- 4, 88.1) 11-20 -11.84 16.60 -0.74 0.87 -10.90
0 A Freeport (11- 4, 92.6) 7-11 -7.29 21.15 0.74 0.87 -5.68
0 H Bangor ( 6- 8, 82.5) 8- 3 -17.43 11.01 -0.74 0.87 8.90
0 H Erskine Academ ( 8- 7, 83.9) 11- 7 -15.96 12.48 -0.74 0.87 10.18
0 A MCI-Nokomis ( 0- 8, 74.9) 24- 8 -25.04 3.41 0.74 0.87 3.59
0 A Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 22-13 -13.70 14.75 0.74 0.87 13.42
0 H Lawrence/Winsl ( 2- 7, 78.8) 21- 7 -21.07 7.37 -0.74 0.87 5.75
0 H Greely ( 6- 5, 89.8) 9-16 -10.09 18.35 -0.74 0.87 -9.39
0 A Messalonskee (13- 4, 93.1) 7-19 -6.77 21.67 0.74 0.87 -5.23
0 N Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 8-12 -11.32 17.12 -0.00 0.87 -9.81
------
2.80
|
winning pts = 71.4738 losing points = -68.6766
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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