All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.3600006 home-field advantage = -1.06 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Columbia ( 5-13, 79.1) 18- 4 401 A Ridgewood (13- 6, 89.8) 4- 5 404 H Iona Prep (14- 6, 93.1) 5-13 408 H Westfield (18- 6, 91.8) 5-13 412 A Glen Ridge (16- 8, 84.9) 12-10 414 H West Essex Regional (12- 7, 83.6) 6-10 419 A Livingston (11- 9, 83.5) 6- 7 422 A Bernards ( 8-12, 85.3) 12- 9 424 A Summit (18- 4, 93.4) 2-12 426 H Bergen Catholic (12-11, 88.9) 3-11 430 H Delbarton (19- 3, 95.7) 3-10 503 H Nutley ( 9-10, 68.5) 12- 1 505 H Glen Ridge (16- 8, 84.9) 11- 1 507 A Seton Hall Prep (19- 3, 96.4) 2-12 514 H James Caldwell (12-10, 86.7) 11- 6 517 H Seton Hall Prep (19- 3, 96.4) 4-18 522 H Montclair Kimberley Ac (12- 8, 80.8) 10- 1 529 H Sayreville (11- 7, 70.8) 17- 3 602 A Livingston (11- 9, 83.5) 17-14 605 A Westfield (18- 6, 91.8) 4-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Columbia 18- 4 14 8 0.00 401 A Ridgewood 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.45 404 H Iona Prep 5-13 -8 -5 n/a 408 H Westfield 5-13 -8 -4 - -2.60 412 A Glen Ridge 12-10 2 0 1.62 414 H West Essex Regional 6-10 -4 3 --- -7.78 419 A Livingston 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.83 422 A Bernards 12- 9 3 0 + 3.02 424 A Summit 2-12 -10 -8 0.00 426 H Bergen Catholic 3-11 -8 -1 -- -5.48 430 H Delbarton 3-10 -7 -8 0.00 503 H Nutley 12- 1 11 18 0.00 505 H Glen Ridge 11- 1 10 2 ++ 4.50 507 A Seton Hall Prep 2-12 -10 -11 0.00 514 H James Caldwell 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.29 517 H Seton Hall Prep 4-18 -14 -8 0.00 522 H Montclair Kimberley Ac 10- 1 9 6 0.35 529 H Sayreville 17- 3 14 16 0.00 602 A Livingston 17-14 3 1 1.17 605 A Westfield 4-18 -14 -6 -0.48UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H West Essex Regional 6-10 -4 3 --- -7.78 426 H Bergen Catholic 3-11 -8 -1 -- -5.48 408 H Westfield 5-13 -8 -4 - -2.60 419 A Livingston 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.83OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Glen Ridge 11- 1 10 2 ++ 4.50 514 H James Caldwell 11- 6 5 0 ++ 4.29 401 A Ridgewood 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.45 422 A Bernards 12- 9 3 0 + 3.02
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 86.36 Power Rank................. 25 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 70.46 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6490 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 35 RPI Rating............... .5952 RPI Rank................... 35 Champ. Probability ...... 2.0 Championship Rank ......... 11 Selection sum ........... 131 Selection Rank ............ 37 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -75. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 55 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 61 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -10.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0