Monticello
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 88.7972Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 H St Cloud Unified ( 1-13, 80.9) 13- 5 412 A Eagan ( 2-13, 87.7) 4- 9 415 H Buffalo ( 8- 7, 92.4) 3- 5 422 A St Michael-Albertvil ( 7- 9, 90.8) 4- 5 424 H Big Lake/Princeton ( 6- 7, 84.5) 11- 3 425 H Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 8- 7 429 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids ( 8- 6, 87.4) 12- 7 501 H Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 17- 7 506 A Chisago Lakes ( 7- 8, 90.6) 8-13 509 H Rocori ( 8- 7, 84.3) 10- 4 512 H Rogers (10- 4, 92.7) 6-17 515 A Brainerd ( 6- 8, 84.6) 10- 6 520 A Delano/Rockford (11- 3, 89.7) 9-11 529 H Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 13- 5 603 H St Michael-Albertvil ( 7- 9, 90.8) 5-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 H St Cloud Unified 13- 5 8 9 0.00
412 A Eagan 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.32
415 H Buffalo 3- 5 -2 -3 0.89
422 A St Michael-Albertvil 4- 5 -1 -3 1.75
424 H Big Lake/Princeton 11- 3 8 5 0.00
425 H Moorhead 8- 7 1 -5 +++ 6.00
429 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids 12- 7 5 1 ++ 4.30
501 H Becker 17- 7 10 5 0.00
506 A Chisago Lakes 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.50
509 H Rocori 10- 4 6 5 0.00
512 H Rogers 6-17 -11 -3 -1.86
515 A Brainerd 10- 6 4 3 0.51
520 A Delano/Rockford 9-11 -2 -2 -0.32
529 H Becker 13- 5 8 5 0.00
603 H St Michael-Albertvil 5-12 -7 -1 - -3.73
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Eagan 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.32 506 A Chisago Lakes 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.50 603 H St Michael-Albertvil 5-12 -7 -1 - -3.73 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Moorhead 8- 7 1 -5 +++ 6.00 429 A Sartell/Sauk Rapids 12- 7 5 1 ++ 4.30 |
Monticello Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Andover | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Andover | |
| Anoka | Anoka | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Anoka | |
| Becker | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Benilde-St Margarets | Benilde-St Margarets | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Benilde-St Margarets | |
| Big Lake/Princeton | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Blaine | Blaine | Blaine | ||
| Blake School | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Bloomington Jefferso | Bloomington Jefferso | Bloomington Jefferso | ||
| Bloomington Kennedy/ | Monticello | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Brainerd | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Breck School | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Champlin Park | Champlin Park | Champlin Park | ||
| Chanhassen | Chanhassen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chanhassen | |
| Chaska | Chaska | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chaska | |
| Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | ||
| Cloquet/Esko/Carlton | Monticello | Monticello 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cretin-Derham Hall | |
| Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | Delano/Rockford | ||
| Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Duluth Marshall | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Eagan | Eagan | Eagan | ||
| East Ridge | East Ridge | East Ridge | ||
| Eastview/Apple Valle | Eastview/Apple Valle | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Eastview/Apple Valle | |
| Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Edina | Edina | Edina 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Monticello | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Monticello | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Forest Lake | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Grand Rapids/Greenwa | Monticello | Monticello 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Hastings | Hastings | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hastings | |
| Hermantown/Proctor | Monticello | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Holy Angels | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Holy Family Catholic | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Hopkins/St Louis Par | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Monticello | |
| Hutchinson | Monticello | Monticello 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Irondale | Irondale | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Irondale | |
| Lakeville North | Lakeville North | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lakeville North | |
| Lakeville South | Lakeville South | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lakeville South | |
| Mahtomedi | Mahtomedi | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mahtomedi | |
| Mankato United | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Maple Grove | Maple Grove | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Maple Grove | |
| Minneapolis United | Monticello | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Monticello | |
| Minnetonka | Minnetonka | Minnetonka 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Moorhead | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mound Westonka | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Monticello | |
| Mounds View | Mounds View | Mounds View 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Prague | New Prague | New Prague | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northfield | |
| Orono | Orono | Orono 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Osseo/Park Center | Monticello | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Monticello | |
| Owatonna | Owatonna | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Owatonna | |
| Park Cottage Grove | Park Cottage Grove | Park Cottage Grove | ||
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Prior Lake | |
| Providence Academy | Monticello | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Monticello | |
| Robbinsdale Armstron | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Rochester United | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Rocori | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Rogers | Rogers | Rogers | ||
| Rosemount | Rosemount | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rosemount | |
| Roseville | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Sartell/Sauk Rapids | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Shakopee | Shakopee | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Shakopee | |
| Simley | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Southwest Christian | Monticello | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Monticello | |
| Spring Lake Park/Coo | Spring Lake Park/Coo | Spring Lake Park/Coo | ||
| St Cloud Unified | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| St Michael-Albertvil | St Michael-Albertvil | St Michael-Albertvil | ||
| St Paul/Two Rivers | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| St Thomas Academy | St Thomas Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Thomas Academy | |
| Stillwater | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Totino Grace | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| TriMAC Academy | Monticello | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Monticello | |
| Waconia | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Wayzata | Wayzata | Wayzata 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | ||
| Woodbury | Woodbury | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Woodbury |
PowerWise = 34
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St Cloud Unifi ( 1-13, 80.9) 13- 5 -18.99 6.08 -0.74 0.98 5.21
0 A Eagan ( 2-13, 87.7) 4- 9 -12.16 12.91 0.74 0.98 -11.14
0 H Buffalo ( 8- 7, 92.4) 3- 5 -7.47 17.60 -0.74 0.98 -8.01
0 A St Michael-Alb ( 7- 9, 90.8) 4- 5 -9.09 15.98 0.74 0.98 -8.14
0 H Big Lake/Princ ( 6- 7, 84.5) 11- 3 -15.41 9.66 -0.74 0.98 8.69
0 H Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 8- 7 -5.09 19.98 -0.74 0.98 18.76
0 A Sartell/Sauk R ( 8- 6, 87.4) 12- 7 -12.54 12.52 0.74 0.98 12.93
0 H Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 17- 7 -15.54 9.53 -0.74 0.98 8.57
0 A Chisago Lakes ( 7- 8, 90.6) 8-13 -9.35 15.72 0.74 0.98 -8.39
0 H Rocori ( 8- 7, 84.3) 10- 4 -15.61 9.46 -0.74 0.98 8.50
0 H Rogers (10- 4, 92.7) 6-17 -7.22 17.85 -0.74 0.98 -7.76
0 A Brainerd ( 6- 8, 84.6) 10- 6 -15.33 9.73 0.74 0.98 10.21
0 A Delano/Rockfor (11- 3, 89.7) 9-11 -10.16 14.90 0.74 0.98 -9.19
0 H Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 13- 5 -15.54 9.53 -0.74 0.98 8.57
0 H St Michael-Alb ( 7- 9, 90.8) 5-12 -9.09 15.98 -0.74 0.98 -9.58
------
19.23
|
winning pts = 81.4386 losing points = -62.2062
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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