Milton
W-L: (12- 4) PR = 95.3660Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 11-10 411 H St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 93.9) 11- 1 423 A Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 15- 1 426 A Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 11- 6 429 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 1- 0 502 A Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 7-10 505 A Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 16- 3 508 H Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 4- 8 510 A Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 14- 4 512 H Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 11-13 520 H Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 17- 4 522 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 14- 9 528 H Bellows Free Academy ( 2-11, 87.4) 18-10 531 H Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 10- 9 604 H St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 93.9) 13- 6 610 A Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 10-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 H Stowe 11-10 1 5 - -3.60
411 H St Johnsbury Academy 11- 1 10 2 + 3.09
423 A Lyndon Institute 15- 1 14 12 0.00
426 A Bellows Free Academy 11- 6 5 5 0.47
502 A Burlington 7-10 -3 1 - -3.52
505 A Stowe 16- 3 13 4 1.23
508 H Harwood Union 4- 8 -4 -3 -0.57
510 A Mount Abraham 14- 4 10 5 0.21
512 H Burlington 11-13 -2 1 - -3.35
520 H Colchester 17- 4 13 7 0.00
522 A Montpelier 14- 9 5 4 0.72
528 H Bellows Free Academy 18-10 8 8 0.00
531 H Hartford Union 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.99
604 H St Johnsbury Academy 13- 6 7 2 + 3.09
610 A Harwood Union 10-16 -6 -4 -0.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Stowe 11-10 1 5 - -3.60 502 A Burlington 7-10 -3 1 - -3.52 512 H Burlington 11-13 -2 1 - -3.35 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H St Johnsbury Academy 11- 1 10 2 + 3.09 531 H Hartford Union 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.99 604 H St Johnsbury Academy 13- 6 7 2 + 3.09 |
Milton Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Milton | Milton | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Milton | Milton | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Milton | Milton 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Burlington | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | ||
| Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Champlain Valley Uni | |
| Colchester | Milton | Milton | ||
| Essex Junction | Essex Junction | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Essex Junction | |
| Green Mountain Valle | Milton | insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) | Milton | |
| Hartford Union | Milton | Milton | ||
| Harwood Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Lamoille Union | Milton | Milton | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Milton | Milton | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Montpelier | Milton | Milton | ||
| Mount Abraham | Milton | Milton | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Milton | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Milton | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Otter Valley Union | Milton | Milton 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Randolph Union | Milton | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Milton | |
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Rice Memorial | |
| Rutland | Rutland | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rutland | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | South Burlington | |
| Spaulding | Milton | Milton 8- 2 vs 3- 7 | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | Milton | Milton | ||
| Stowe | Milton | Milton | ||
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Milton | Milton | ||
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 17
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 11-10 -8.72 8.32 -0.42 0.88 6.99
0 H St Johnsbury A (11- 5, 93.9) 11- 1 -6.03 11.01 -0.42 0.88 9.37
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 15- 1 -17.04 1.00 0.42 0.88 1.25
0 A Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 11- 6 -9.48 7.56 0.42 0.88 7.05
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 1- 0 -17.04 1.00 -0.42 0.88 0.52
0 A Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 7-10 -5.47 11.57 0.42 0.88 -4.47
0 A Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 16- 3 -8.72 8.32 0.42 0.88 7.72
0 H Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 4- 8 -0.69 16.35 -0.42 0.88 -0.98
0 A Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 14- 4 -9.74 7.30 0.42 0.88 6.82
0 H Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 11-13 -5.47 11.57 -0.42 0.88 -5.20
0 H Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 17- 4 -11.23 5.82 -0.42 0.88 4.77
0 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 14- 9 -9.23 7.81 0.42 0.88 7.27
0 H Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 87.4) 18-10 -12.48 4.56 -0.42 0.88 3.66
0 H Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 10- 9 -2.13 14.92 -0.42 0.88 12.81
0 H St Johnsbury A (11- 5, 93.9) 13- 6 -6.03 11.01 -0.42 0.88 9.37
0 A Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 10-16 -0.69 16.35 0.42 0.88 -0.24
------
66.71
|
winning pts = 77.5976 losing points = -10.8865
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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