Collins
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 78.4175Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Shelby County ( 6-12, 76.1) 8- 6 305 H Male ( 4-10, 75.2) 10- 0 313 A Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 12- 4 318 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 12- 7 321 H Christian Academy-Lo ( 9- 5, 86.6) 3-11 324 H Oldham County ( 0-10, 67.9) 20- 1 409 A South Oldham (12- 3, 96.6) 0-20 415 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 7- 7, 79.4) 9-15 417 A Atherton ( 8- 4, 80.4) 5- 7 419 A North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 5-14 421 A Shelby County ( 6-12, 76.1) 12- 5 423 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 1- 7 426 H Covington Catholic ( 6- 9, 81.5) 4-12 430 A Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 5-19 509 N North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 3-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 H Shelby County 8- 6 2 3 -1.07
305 H Male 10- 0 10 4 1.06
313 A Scott County 12- 4 8 5 0.00
318 H Lafayette 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.80
321 H Christian Academy-Lo 3-11 -8 -7 0.00
324 H Oldham County 20- 1 19 11 0.00
409 A South Oldham 0-20 -20 -19 0.00
415 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.26
417 A Atherton 5- 7 -2 -3 0.70
419 A North Oldham 5-14 -9 -7 0.00
421 A Shelby County 12- 5 7 2 + 3.44
423 H Tates Creek 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.01
426 H Covington Catholic 4-12 -8 -2 - -2.71
430 A Lexington Christian 5-19 -14 -8 0.00
509 N North Oldham 3-10 -7 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 H Tates Creek 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.01 415 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.26 426 H Covington Catholic 4-12 -8 -2 - -2.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Lafayette 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.80 421 A Shelby County 12- 5 7 2 + 3.44 |
Collins Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Anderson County | Anderson County | ||
| Atherton | Atherton | Atherton | ||
| Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Bluegrass | Bluegrass | Bluegrass | ||
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bowling Green | |
| Bryan Station | Collins | Collins 3- 3 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Central Hardin | Collins | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Collins | |
| Christian Academy-Lo | Christian Academy-Lo | Christian Academy-Lo | ||
| Cooper | Cooper | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) | Cooper | |
| Covington Catholic | Covington Catholic | Covington Catholic | ||
| DeSales | Collins | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Collins | |
| Dixie Heights | Dixie Heights | Dixie Heights 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Great Crossing | Collins | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Collins | |
| Greenwood | Greenwood | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Greenwood | |
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lafayette | Collins | Collins | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | ||
| Louisville Collegiat | Louisville Collegiat | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Louisville Collegiat | |
| Male | Collins | Collins | ||
| North Hardin | Collins | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Collins | |
| North Oldham | North Oldham | North Oldham | ||
| Oldham County | Collins | Collins | ||
| Owensboro | Collins | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Collins | |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Ryle | Ryle | Ryle 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Sayre | Sayre | Sayre 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Scott County | Collins | Collins | ||
| Shelby County | Collins | Collins | ||
| South Oldham | South Oldham | South Oldham | ||
| South Warren | South Warren | South Warren | ||
| St Henry | Collins | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Collins | |
| St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | St Xavier Louisville | |
| Tates Creek | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Walton-Verona | Collins | Collins 4- 4 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County 5- 1 vs 1- 5 |
PowerWise = 13
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Shelby County ( 6-12, 76.1) 8- 6 -23.80 8.19 -0.75 0.91 6.75
0 H Male ( 4-10, 75.2) 10- 0 -24.67 7.31 -0.75 0.91 5.96
0 A Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 12- 4 -27.44 4.54 0.75 0.91 4.81
0 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 12- 7 -18.93 13.05 -0.75 0.91 11.17
0 H Christian Acad ( 9- 5, 86.6) 3-11 -13.25 18.73 -0.75 0.91 -12.72
0 H Oldham County ( 0-10, 67.9) 20- 1 -31.98 1.00 -0.75 0.91 0.23
0 A South Oldham (12- 3, 96.6) 0-20 -3.31 28.68 0.75 0.91 -2.32
0 A Paul Laurence ( 7- 7, 79.4) 9-15 -20.49 11.49 0.75 0.91 -17.92
0 A Atherton ( 8- 4, 80.4) 5- 7 -19.54 12.45 0.75 0.91 -17.05
0 A North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 5-14 -15.38 16.60 0.75 0.91 -13.28
0 A Shelby County ( 6-12, 76.1) 12- 5 -23.80 8.19 0.75 0.91 8.11
0 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 1- 7 -20.74 11.24 -0.75 0.91 -19.51
0 H Covington Cath ( 6- 9, 81.5) 4-12 -18.44 13.54 -0.75 0.91 -17.42
0 A Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 5-19 -14.24 17.75 0.75 0.91 -12.24
0 N North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 3-10 -15.38 16.60 -0.00 0.91 -13.97
------
-89.42
|
winning pts = 37.0214 losing points = -126.4455
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------