Middlebury Union
W-L: (14- 4) PR = 99.4291Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 415 A Woodstock Union ( 7- 9, 96.1) 7- 3 417 H Champlain Valley Uni (13- 5, 99.7) 13- 6 419 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 14- 5 421 H Woodstock Union ( 7- 9, 96.1) 8- 3 428 H Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 14- 2 430 H South Burlington (12- 5, 98.8) 9- 8 503 A Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 9- 5 506 A Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 9- 8 509 H Burr and Burton Acad ( 9- 5, 97.8) 8- 9 513 A Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 11- 3 516 A Champlain Valley Uni (13- 5, 99.7) 8- 6 519 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 11- 4 522 H Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 7- 9 523 A South Burlington (12- 5, 98.8) 4- 9 527 H Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 7- 6 530 H Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 10- 9 606 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 10- 9 611 H Champlain Valley Uni (13- 5, 99.7) 5-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 A Woodstock Union 7- 3 4 3 1.06
417 H Champlain Valley Uni 13- 6 7 0 ++ 4.82
419 A Rice Memorial 14- 5 9 3 1.64
421 H Woodstock Union 8- 3 5 4 1.23
428 H Bellows Free Academy 14- 2 12 9 0.00
430 H South Burlington 9- 8 1 1 -0.01
503 A Essex Junction 9- 5 4 0 + 3.63
506 A Mt Mansfield Union 9- 8 1 -1 1.89
509 H Burr and Burton Acad 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.09
513 A Bellows Free Academy 11- 3 8 9 0.00
516 A Champlain Valley Uni 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.65
519 H Rice Memorial 11- 4 7 4 0.81
522 H Mt Mansfield Union 7- 9 -2 0 -1.94
523 A South Burlington 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.18
527 H Essex Junction 7- 6 1 1 -0.20
530 H Mt Mansfield Union 10- 9 1 0 1.06
606 H Rice Memorial 10- 9 1 4 - -3.19
611 H Champlain Valley Uni 5-12 -7 0 -- -5.18
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 A South Burlington 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.18 611 H Champlain Valley Uni 5-12 -7 0 -- -5.18 509 H Burr and Burton Acad 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.09 606 H Rice Memorial 10- 9 1 4 - -3.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Champlain Valley Uni 13- 6 7 0 ++ 4.82 503 A Essex Junction 9- 5 4 0 + 3.63 516 A Champlain Valley Uni 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.65 |
Middlebury Union Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Middlebury Union | |
| Burlington | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | ||
| Champlain Valley Uni | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Colchester | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union 4- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Essex Junction | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Green Mountain Valle | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Hartford Union | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Harwood Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Lamoille Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Montpelier | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Mount Abraham | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Otter Valley Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Randolph Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Rice Memorial | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Rutland | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union 6- 3 vs 2- 4 | ||
| South Burlington | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 7- 3) ( 7- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Spaulding | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Stowe | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middlebury Union | |
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middlebury Union | |
| Woodstock Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union |
PowerWise = 27
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Woodstock Unio ( 7- 9, 96.1) 7- 3 -3.82 13.22 0.42 0.79 10.71
0 H Champlain Vall (13- 5, 99.7) 13- 6 -0.23 16.81 -0.42 0.79 12.88
0 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 14- 5 -4.24 12.80 0.42 0.79 10.38
0 H Woodstock Unio ( 7- 9, 96.1) 8- 3 -3.82 13.22 -0.42 0.79 10.06
0 H Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 14- 2 -9.48 7.56 -0.42 0.79 5.61
0 H South Burlingt (12- 5, 98.8) 9- 8 -1.06 15.98 -0.42 0.79 12.23
0 A Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 9- 5 -1.26 15.79 0.42 0.79 12.73
0 A Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 9- 8 -0.00 17.04 0.42 0.79 13.71
0 H Burr and Burto ( 9- 5, 97.8) 8- 9 -2.15 14.90 -0.42 0.79 -2.01
0 A Bellows Free A ( 0-15, 90.4) 11- 3 -9.48 7.56 0.42 0.79 6.27
0 A Champlain Vall (13- 5, 99.7) 8- 6 -0.23 16.81 0.42 0.79 13.53
0 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 11- 4 -4.24 12.80 -0.42 0.79 9.73
0 H Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 7- 9 -0.00 17.04 -0.42 0.79 -0.33
0 A South Burlingt (12- 5, 98.8) 4- 9 -1.06 15.98 0.42 0.79 -0.51
0 H Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 7- 6 -1.26 15.79 -0.42 0.79 12.07
0 H Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 10- 9 -0.00 17.04 -0.42 0.79 13.06
0 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 10- 9 -4.24 12.80 -0.42 0.79 9.73
0 H Champlain Vall (13- 5, 99.7) 5-12 -0.23 16.81 -0.42 0.79 -0.51
------
149.34
|
winning pts = 152.7009 losing points = -3.3596
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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