Messalonskee
W-L: (13- 4) PR = 93.1270Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 A Brunswick (10- 6, 91.7) 10-11 422 H Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 16- 5 425 A Greely ( 6- 5, 89.8) 11- 7 428 H Hampden Academy ( 0-11, 78.6) 24- 0 430 H Lewiston ( 7- 8, 84.8) 12- 1 502 A Cape Elizabeth ( 9- 6, 95.3) 5- 9 506 A Camden Hills Regiona ( 6- 8, 82.3) 14- 1 509 H Yarmouth (12- 3, 97.0) 7-17 513 A Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 15- 0 516 H Gorham ( 6- 8, 89.3) 17- 2 519 H Hampden Academy ( 0-11, 78.6) 24- 0 523 H Mount Blue ( 4- 5, 83.8) 18- 5 529 A Bangor ( 6- 8, 82.5) 19- 1 603 A Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 18- 3 604 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 19- 7 613 H Kennebunk (10- 4, 91.7) 12-10 618 A Yarmouth (12- 3, 97.0) 6- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 A Brunswick 10-11 -1 1 -1.67
422 H Gardiner Area 16- 5 11 8 0.00
425 A Greely 11- 7 4 3 1.42
428 H Hampden Academy 24- 0 24 15 0.00
430 H Lewiston 12- 1 11 9 0.00
502 A Cape Elizabeth 5- 9 -4 -3 -1.04
506 A Camden Hills Regiona 14- 1 13 10 0.00
509 H Yarmouth 7-17 -10 -3 -1.85
513 A Mount Ararat 15- 0 15 8 0.00
516 H Gorham 17- 2 15 5 0.45
519 H Hampden Academy 24- 0 24 15 0.00
523 H Mount Blue 18- 5 13 10 0.00
529 A Bangor 19- 1 18 10 0.00
603 A Oak Hill 18- 3 15 4 1.19
604 H Morse/Boothbay 19- 7 12 8 0.00
613 H Kennebunk 12-10 2 2 -0.14
618 A Yarmouth 6- 9 -3 -5 1.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Messalonskee Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Biddeford | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bonny Eagle | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Brewer | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Camden Hills Regiona | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | ||
| Cheverus | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Cony | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Deering | Messalonskee | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Edward Little | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Erskine Academy | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Falmouth | Falmouth | Falmouth 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Freeport | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Fryeburg Academy | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Messalonskee | |
| Gardiner Area | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Gorham | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Gray/New Gloucester/ | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Messalonskee | |
| Greely | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Hampden Academy | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Houlton/Hogdon | Messalonskee | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Messalonskee | |
| John Bapst Memorial | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kennebunk | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Lake Region | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Lawrence/Winslow | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lewiston | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Lincoln Academy | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Maranacook-Winthrop | Messalonskee | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Messalonskee | |
| Marshwood | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Massabesic | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| MCI-Nokomis | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Morse/Boothbay | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Mount Ararat | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Mount Blue | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Noble/Sanford | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Messalonskee | |
| North Yarmouth Acade | Messalonskee | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Oak Hill | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Oxford Hills | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 7- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Portland | Messalonskee | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Messalonskee | |
| Scarborough | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Messalonskee | |
| South Portland | South Portland | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | South Portland | |
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Traip Academy | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Waynflete School | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Wells | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Westbrook | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Windham | Messalonskee | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth | ||
| York | York | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | York |
PowerWise = 42
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Brunswick (10- 6, 91.7) 10-11 -8.18 20.26 0.74 0.81 -6.05
0 H Gardiner Area ( 8- 8, 86.2) 16- 5 -13.70 14.75 -0.74 0.81 11.38
0 A Greely ( 6- 5, 89.8) 11- 7 -10.09 18.35 0.74 0.81 15.51
0 H Hampden Academ ( 0-11, 78.6) 24- 0 -21.33 7.11 -0.74 0.81 5.17
0 H Lewiston ( 7- 8, 84.8) 12- 1 -15.11 13.33 -0.74 0.81 10.23
0 A Cape Elizabeth ( 9- 6, 95.3) 5- 9 -4.55 23.89 0.74 0.81 -3.10
0 A Camden Hills R ( 6- 8, 82.3) 14- 1 -17.62 10.82 0.74 0.81 9.39
0 H Yarmouth (12- 3, 97.0) 7-17 -2.88 25.56 -0.74 0.81 -2.94
0 A Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 15- 0 -15.54 12.90 0.74 0.81 11.08
0 H Gorham ( 6- 8, 89.3) 17- 2 -10.58 17.86 -0.74 0.81 13.91
0 H Hampden Academ ( 0-11, 78.6) 24- 0 -21.33 7.11 -0.74 0.81 5.17
0 H Mount Blue ( 4- 5, 83.8) 18- 5 -16.14 12.31 -0.74 0.81 9.40
0 A Bangor ( 6- 8, 82.5) 19- 1 -17.43 11.01 0.74 0.81 9.55
0 A Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 18- 3 -11.32 17.12 0.74 0.81 14.51
0 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 19- 7 -13.60 14.84 -0.74 0.81 11.46
0 H Kennebunk (10- 4, 91.7) 12-10 -8.17 20.27 -0.74 0.81 15.87
0 A Yarmouth (12- 3, 97.0) 6- 9 -2.88 25.56 0.74 0.81 -1.74
------
128.80
|
winning pts = 142.6273 losing points = -13.8269
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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