Merrimack
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 91.4191Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A Nashua North ( 1-17, 82.5) 18- 6 417 H Pinkerton Academy (15- 2, 96.5) 3- 6 421 A Keene-Monadnock ( 3-12, 84.0) 10- 1 424 H Bishop Guertin (15- 0, 99.9) 3-16 425 A Dover ( 9-11, 87.6) 9- 6 428 H Londonderry (10- 8, 90.5) 8- 9 502 A Nashua South ( 8-11, 86.2) 8- 0 505 A Goffstown ( 9- 7, 88.2) 8- 1 507 A Exeter HS (11- 6, 94.3) 1-12 508 H Windham ( 6-10, 87.1) 10- 5 512 A Concord ( 8-10, 88.3) 8- 2 516 A Souhegan ( 4-13, 83.6) 12- 4 519 H Bedford (13- 3, 96.0) 2-16 521 H Salem ( 5-10, 85.1) 12- 0 528 A Manchester Memorial- ( 3-12, 84.6) 9- 4 609 A Exeter HS (11- 6, 94.3) 7-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
414 A Nashua North 18- 6 12 9 0.00
417 H Pinkerton Academy 3- 6 -3 -5 1.71
421 A Keene-Monadnock 10- 1 9 7 0.00
424 H Bishop Guertin 3-16 -13 -8 0.00
425 A Dover 9- 6 3 3 -0.48
428 H Londonderry 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.26
502 A Nashua South 8- 0 8 5 0.19
505 A Goffstown 8- 1 7 3 + 2.11
507 A Exeter HS 1-12 -11 -3 -1.77
508 H Windham 10- 5 5 5 0.30
512 A Concord 8- 2 6 3 + 2.30
516 A Souhegan 12- 4 8 7 0.00
519 H Bedford 2-16 -14 -4 -0.81
521 H Salem 12- 0 12 7 0.00
528 A Manchester Memorial- 9- 4 5 6 0.00
609 A Exeter HS 7-10 -3 -3 0.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Londonderry 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 A Goffstown 8- 1 7 3 + 2.11 512 A Concord 8- 2 6 3 + 2.30 |
Merrimack Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvirne | Merrimack | Merrimack 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford | ||
| Bishop Brady | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Bishop Guertin | Bishop Guertin | Bishop Guertin | ||
| Bow | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Campbell | Merrimack | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Coe-Brown | Coe-Brown | Coe-Brown | ||
| Concord | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| ConVal | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Derryfield | Derryfield | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Derryfield | |
| Dover | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Exeter HS | Exeter HS | Exeter HS | ||
| Gilford | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Goffstown | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Hanover | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Hollis-Brookline | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) | Merrimack | |
| Hopkinton | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Inter-Lakes-Moultonb | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| John Stark | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Kearsarge | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Keene-Monadnock | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Kennett | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Kingswood | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Laconia | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Lebanon | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Londonderry | Londonderry | Londonderry | ||
| Manchester Memorial- | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Merrimack Valley | Merrimack | Merrimack 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Milford | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Nashua North | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Nashua South | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Oyster River-Newmark | Merrimack | Merrimack 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Pelham | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Pembroke Academy | Merrimack | Merrimack 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Pinkerton Academy | Pinkerton Academy | Pinkerton Academy | ||
| Plymouth Regional | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Portsmouth | Portsmouth | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Portsmouth | |
| Salem | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Souhegan | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Spaulding | Merrimack | Merrimack 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | Merrimack | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Stevens | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Timberlane | Merrimack | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Trinity Manchester | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Windham | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Winnacunnet | Merrimack | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Merrimack |
PowerWise = 38
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.30
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Nashua North ( 1-17, 82.5) 18- 6 -17.43 9.17 0.38 1.02 9.72
0 H Pinkerton Acad (15- 2, 96.5) 3- 6 -3.40 23.20 -0.38 1.02 -3.84
0 A Keene-Monadnoc ( 3-12, 84.0) 10- 1 -15.85 10.74 0.38 1.02 11.33
0 H Bishop Guertin (15- 0, 99.9) 3-16 -0.00 26.60 -0.38 1.02 -0.38
0 A Dover ( 9-11, 87.6) 9- 6 -12.34 14.26 0.38 1.02 14.91
0 H Londonderry (10- 8, 90.5) 8- 9 -9.36 17.23 -0.38 1.02 -9.92
0 A Nashua South ( 8-11, 86.2) 8- 0 -13.67 12.93 0.38 1.02 13.55
0 A Goffstown ( 9- 7, 88.2) 8- 1 -11.75 14.85 0.38 1.02 15.51
0 A Exeter HS (11- 6, 94.3) 1-12 -5.63 20.96 0.38 1.02 -5.35
0 H Windham ( 6-10, 87.1) 10- 5 -12.80 13.79 -0.38 1.02 13.67
0 A Concord ( 8-10, 88.3) 8- 2 -11.56 15.04 0.38 1.02 15.70
0 A Souhegan ( 4-13, 83.6) 12- 4 -16.33 10.27 0.38 1.02 10.84
0 H Bedford (13- 3, 96.0) 2-16 -3.91 22.68 -0.38 1.02 -4.37
0 H Salem ( 5-10, 85.1) 12- 0 -14.76 11.83 -0.38 1.02 11.67
0 A Manchester Mem ( 3-12, 84.6) 9- 4 -15.25 11.34 0.38 1.02 11.94
0 A Exeter HS (11- 6, 94.3) 7-10 -5.63 20.96 0.38 1.02 -5.35
------
99.61
|
winning pts = 128.8340 losing points = -29.2227
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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