Middle Creek
W-L: (21- 4) PR = 97.6718Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 15- 5 301 H Northwest Guilford (20- 5, 94.7) 13- 7 308 A Christ School (11- 4, 95.5) 12-14 310 H Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 11- 2 313 H Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 15- 4 315 A Weddington (13- 5, 93.8) 16- 3 317 A Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 16- 5 319 A Cardinal Gibbons (21- 0, 99.9) 7-11 320 A Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 15- 2 325 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 10- 4 328 A Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 8- 7 404 H Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 14- 6 405 A Providence Day ( 7-12, 92.9) 5- 8 408 H Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 18- 1 415 A Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 10- 3 417 A Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 10- 3 423 H Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 17- 3 425 H Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 19- 0 429 A Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 12-11 502 H Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 12- 8 506 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 21- 3 516 H Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 18- 2 520 A Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 18- 1 523 H Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 16- 2 528 A Cardinal Gibbons (21- 0, 99.9) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 A Willow Spring 15- 5 10 9 0.00
301 H Northwest Guilford 13- 7 6 3 1.77
308 A Christ School 12-14 -2 2 - -3.91
310 H Green Hope 11- 2 9 6 0.00
313 H Apex Friendship 15- 4 11 4 1.47
315 A Weddington 16- 3 13 4 1.41
317 A Holly Springs 16- 5 11 4 1.22
319 A Cardinal Gibbons 7-11 -4 -2 -1.50
320 A Cary HS 15- 2 13 18 0.00
325 H Apex 10- 4 6 2 + 2.59
328 A Green Level 8- 7 1 3 - -2.44
404 H Ardrey Kell 14- 6 8 4 1.10
405 A Providence Day 5- 8 -3 4 --- -7.48
408 H Panther Creek 18- 1 17 19 0.00
415 A Apex Friendship 10- 3 7 3 + 2.01
417 A Green Hope 10- 3 7 5 0.00
423 H Holly Springs 17- 3 14 4 0.68
425 H Cary HS 19- 0 19 19 0.00
429 A Apex 12-11 1 2 -0.86
502 H Green Level 12- 8 4 4 0.02
506 A Panther Creek 21- 3 18 18 0.00
516 H Holly Springs 18- 2 16 4 0.68
520 A Broughton 18- 1 17 5 0.27
523 H Apex Friendship 16- 2 14 4 1.47
528 A Cardinal Gibbons 8- 9 -1 -2 1.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Providence Day 5- 8 -3 4 --- -7.48 308 A Christ School 12-14 -2 2 - -3.91 328 A Green Level 8- 7 1 3 - -2.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Apex 10- 4 6 2 + 2.59 415 A Apex Friendship 10- 3 7 3 + 2.01 |
Middle Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Apex Friendship | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Asheville HS | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Asheville School | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Ashley | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Athens Drive | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 6- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Atkins | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Bradford Prep | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Broughton | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Butler | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Cannon School | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Middle Creek | |
| Cape Fear Academy | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Cape Fear HS | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Cary Academy | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Cary Christian | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Cary HS | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Cedar Ridge | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Chapel Hill | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Charlotte Latin | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Clayton | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Cleveland | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Community School-Dav | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Corinth Holders | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Cornerstone Charter | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Croatan | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Cuthbertson | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Davie | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| DH Conley | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| East Chapel Hill | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| East Forsyth | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Enloe | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) | Middle Creek | |
| Fike | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| First Flight | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Garner | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Glenn | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Grays Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Green Hope | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Green Level | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Greensboro Day | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Grimsley | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Havelock | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Heritage | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Hickory | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| High Point Central | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Hoggard | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Holly Springs | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Hough | Middle Creek | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Hunt | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Independence | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Jack Britt | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Jacksonville | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| JF Webb | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| JH Rose | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Jordan | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | Lake Norman HS | |
| Laney | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Leesville Road | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 3) | Middle Creek | |
| Lincoln Charter | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Millbrook | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Mooresville | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mount Tabor | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Myers Park | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Bern | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| New Hanover | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| North Brunswick | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| North Davidson | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| North Lincoln | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Northern Durham | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Northern Guilford | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Northside | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Northwood | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Page | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Panther Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Parkwood | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Patton Morganton | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Pine Forest | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Pinecrest | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Porter Ridge | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Providence | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Queens Grant | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Ragsdale | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Ravenscroft School | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Reagan | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Riverside Durham | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| RJ Reynolds | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Rolesville | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Roxboro Community | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Sanderson | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 3) | Middle Creek | |
| Seaforth | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| South Brunswick | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| South Garner | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| South Iredell | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| South View | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Southern Alamance | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Southlake Christian | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Southwest Guilford | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| St Davids School | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| St Stephens | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Sun Valley | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Swansboro | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| TC Roberson | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Terry Sanford | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Topsail | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Union Pines | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Vance Charter | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Voyager Academy | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middle Creek | |
| Wake Forest | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Wake Prep | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Wakefield | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Walter M Williams | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Watauga | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Weddington | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| West Brunswick | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| West Carteret | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| West Forsyth | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| West Stokes | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Western Alamance | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Western Guilford | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Willow Spring | Middle Creek | Middle Creek |
PowerWise = 141
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 15- 5 -11.91 21.90 0.27 0.72 15.90
0 H Northwest Guil (20- 5, 94.7) 13- 7 -5.18 28.63 -0.27 0.72 20.34
0 A Christ School (11- 4, 95.5) 12-14 -4.41 29.40 0.27 0.72 -2.97
0 H Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 11- 2 -7.96 25.85 -0.27 0.72 18.35
0 H Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 15- 4 -5.48 28.32 -0.27 0.72 20.12
0 A Weddington (13- 5, 93.8) 16- 3 -6.09 27.72 0.27 0.72 20.08
0 A Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 16- 5 -6.28 27.53 0.27 0.72 19.94
0 A Cardinal Gibbo (21- 0, 99.9) 7-11 -0.00 33.81 0.27 0.72 -0.19
0 A Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 15- 2 -20.72 13.08 0.27 0.72 9.58
0 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 10- 4 -4.36 29.45 -0.27 0.72 20.93
0 A Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 8- 7 -5.94 27.87 0.27 0.72 20.19
0 H Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 14- 6 -5.86 27.95 -0.27 0.72 19.85
0 A Providence Day ( 7-12, 92.9) 5- 8 -6.98 26.83 0.27 0.72 -4.81
0 H Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 18- 1 -20.55 13.26 -0.27 0.72 9.32
0 A Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 10- 3 -5.48 28.32 0.27 0.72 20.51
0 A Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 10- 3 -7.96 25.85 0.27 0.72 18.74
0 H Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 17- 3 -6.28 27.53 -0.27 0.72 19.55
0 H Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 19- 0 -20.72 13.08 -0.27 0.72 9.19
0 A Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 12-11 -4.36 29.45 0.27 0.72 21.32
0 H Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 12- 8 -5.94 27.87 -0.27 0.72 19.80
0 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 21- 3 -20.55 13.26 0.27 0.72 9.71
0 H Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 18- 2 -6.28 27.53 -0.27 0.72 19.55
0 A Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 18- 1 -7.23 26.58 0.27 0.72 19.26
0 H Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 16- 2 -5.48 28.32 -0.27 0.72 20.12
0 A Cardinal Gibbo (21- 0, 99.9) 8- 9 -0.00 33.81 0.27 0.72 -0.19
------
364.20
|
winning pts = 372.3613 losing points = -8.1655
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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