---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Monacan 1
  
Monacan               
W-L: ( 9- 9) PR = 82.4570

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Clover Hill ( 2-12, 74.1) 13- 4 321 H Eastern View ( 0-13, 72.3) 12- 2 326 H Cosby (18- 2, 93.4) 4-15 409 A Midlothian ( 7- 9, 86.5) 4-15 414 H James River (10- 7, 85.9) 8-14 415 H Highland Springs ( 1-11, 73.9) 15- 4 416 A Manchester (12- 3, 86.1) 3-17 421 H Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 19- 7 423 H Clover Hill ( 2-12, 74.1) 20- 1 425 A Western Albemarle (14- 5, 86.7) 8-12 430 A Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 13- 3 505 A Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 9- 7 509 H Midlothian ( 7- 9, 86.5) 4-10 512 H Manchester (12- 3, 86.1) 8- 9 522 H Patrick Henry Ashla ( 5- 9, 79.3) 10- 4 527 A James Monroe (11- 3, 81.0) 11- 9 529 H Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 4-18 606 N Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 9-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Clover Hill            13- 4       9     8           0.00
   321 H Eastern View           12- 2      10    11           0.00
   326 H Cosby                   4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   409 A Midlothian              4-15     -11    -5          -0.34
   414 H James River             8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.17
   415 H Highland Springs       15- 4      11     9           0.00
   416 A Manchester              3-17     -14    -4          -0.72
   421 H Powhatan               19- 7      12     6           0.00
   423 H Clover Hill            20- 1      19     9           0.00
   425 A Western Albemarle       8-12      -4    -5           0.89
   430 A Powhatan               13- 3      10     5           0.15
   505 A Mills Godwin            9- 7       2     2          -0.25
   509 H Midlothian              4-10      -6    -3          -1.56
   512 H Manchester              8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.06
   522 H Patrick Henry  Ashla   10- 4       6     4           1.23
   527 A James Monroe           11- 9       2     1           1.13
   529 H Atlee                   4-18     -14    -8           0.00
   606 N Meridian                9-19     -10    -5          -0.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H James River             8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Manchester              8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.06

Monacan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Alexandria City
Annandale Monacan   Monacan
Atlee Atlee Atlee  
Battlefield Battlefield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Battlefield
Bayside Monacan   Monacan
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Brooke Point   Brooke Point
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Monacan   Monacan
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Monacan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Monacan
Christchurch Christchurch insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Christchurch
Christiansburg Monacan   Monacan
Clover Hill Monacan Monacan  
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby Cosby  
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Monacan   Monacan
Culpeper County Monacan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Monacan
Deep Run Deep Run Deep Run   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Dominion Dominion insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Eastern View Monacan Monacan  
EC Glass EC Glass tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) EC Glass
Edison Monacan   Monacan
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Monacan   Monacan
Fauquier Monacan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Monacan
First Colonial Monacan   Monacan
Fishburne Military A Monacan   Monacan
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Monacan Monacan   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Forest Park Monacan   Monacan
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Monacan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monacan
Fredericksburg Acade Monacan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Monacan
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gainesville
Gar-field Monacan   Monacan
Glen Allen Glen Allen tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Goochland
Grafton LC Monacan   Monacan
Grassfield LC Monacan   Monacan
Green Run Monacan   Monacan
Handley Handley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Handley
Hanover Hanover insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield   Hayfield
Heritage Leesburg Monacan   Monacan
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Monacan   Monacan
Hidden Valley Monacan   Monacan
Highland School Monacan   Monacan
Highland Springs Monacan Monacan  
Hylton Monacan   Monacan
Independence Independence insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Independence
James Monroe Monacan Monacan  
James River James River James River  
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jefferson Forest
John Champe Monacan   Monacan
Justice Monacan   Monacan
Kellam Kellam insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kellam
Kempsville Monacan   Monacan
Kettle Run Monacan tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Monacan
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Monacan   Monacan
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Monacan   Monacan
Liberty Bealeton Monacan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Monacan
Lightridge Lightridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Monacan   Monacan
Loudoun County Loudoun County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Monacan   Monacan
Madison Madison insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Madison
Manchester Manchester Manchester  
Marshall Monacan   Monacan
Massaponax Monacan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Monacan
Matoaca Monacan Monacan   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Monacan Monacan   6- 2 vs 4- 4
Menchville LC Monacan   Monacan
Meridian Meridian Meridian  
Midlothian Midlothian Midlothian  
Mills Godwin Monacan Monacan  
Monticello Monticello insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Monticello
Mount Vernon Monacan   Monacan
Mountain View Monacan   Monacan
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Monacan   Monacan
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Monacan   Monacan
Norfolk Collegiate Monacan   Monacan
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Monacan   Monacan
Northern VA Home Sch Monacan   Monacan
Oakton Oakton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oakton
Ocean Lakes Monacan   Monacan
Orange County Monacan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Monacan
Osbourn Monacan   Monacan
Osbourn Park Monacan   Monacan
Park View Monacan   Monacan
Patrick Henry Ashla Monacan Monacan  
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Monacan   Monacan
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Monacan   Monacan
Powhatan Monacan Monacan  
Princess Anne Monacan   Monacan
Riverbend Monacan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Monacan
Riverside Riverside insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Riverside
Robinson Robinson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Robinson
Rock Ridge Monacan   Monacan
Rockbridge County Monacan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monacan
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem Salem   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Salem Virginia Beach Monacan   Monacan
Seton School Monacan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monacan
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Monacan   Monacan
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Monacan   Monacan
Steward School Monacan   Monacan
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Monacan   Monacan
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Monacan   Monacan
Tandem Friends Monacan   Monacan
Thomas Dale Monacan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Monacan
Thomas Jefferson Monacan   Monacan
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Monacan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monacan
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Monacan   Monacan
Unity Reed Monacan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Monacan
Veritas School Monacan   Monacan
Virginia Academy Monacan   Monacan
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Monacan   Monacan
Wakefield School Monacan   Monacan
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Monacan   Monacan
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Monacan   Monacan
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 83


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Clover Hill     ( 2-12, 74.1)    13- 4      -25.82       9.18       0.61         0.77             7.59
   0 H Eastern View    ( 0-13, 72.3)    12- 2      -27.61       7.39      -0.61         0.77             5.25
   0 H Cosby           (18- 2, 93.4)     4-15       -6.53      28.47      -0.61         0.77            -5.53
   0 A Midlothian      ( 7- 9, 86.5)     4-15      -13.40      21.60       0.61         0.77            -9.91
   0 H James River     (10- 7, 85.9)     8-14      -14.01      21.00      -0.61         0.77           -11.32
   0 H Highland Sprin  ( 1-11, 73.9)    15- 4      -25.99       9.01      -0.61         0.77             6.51
   0 A Manchester      (12- 3, 86.1)     3-17      -13.78      21.23       0.61         0.77           -10.20
   0 H Powhatan        ( 2-14, 77.0)    19- 7      -22.91      12.09      -0.61         0.77             8.90
   0 H Clover Hill     ( 2-12, 74.1)    20- 1      -25.82       9.18      -0.61         0.77             6.64
   0 A Western Albema  (14- 5, 86.7)     8-12      -13.16      21.84       0.61         0.77            -9.72
   0 A Powhatan        ( 2-14, 77.0)    13- 3      -22.91      12.09       0.61         0.77             9.84
   0 A Mills Godwin    ( 5-11, 79.6)     9- 7      -20.30      14.70       0.61         0.77            11.86
   0 H Midlothian      ( 7- 9, 86.5)     4-10      -13.40      21.60      -0.61         0.77           -10.85
   0 H Manchester      (12- 3, 86.1)     8- 9      -13.78      21.23      -0.61         0.77           -11.14
   0 H Patrick Henry   ( 5- 9, 79.3)    10- 4      -20.60      14.40      -0.61         0.77            10.68
   0 A James Monroe    (11- 3, 81.0)    11- 9      -18.92      16.08       0.61         0.77            12.93
   0 H Atlee           (10- 9, 90.9)     4-18       -9.04      25.96      -0.61         0.77            -7.47
   0 N Meridian        (13- 6, 87.1)     9-19      -12.81      22.19      -0.00         0.77            -9.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -5.87

winning pts = 80.2013 losing points = -86.0710

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------