All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.8700027 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Chantilly ( 9- 5, 81.3) 13-18 322 A Westfield ( 6-12, 75.2) 8- 7 326 N Robinson (16- 6, 85.2) 8-12 328 H Centreville ( 3- 9, 75.2) 10- 6 329 N Battlefield (18- 4, 83.9) 1-15 404 H Langley (16- 5, 84.8) 7-13 409 H Washington-Liberty (11- 6, 79.4) 9- 8 412 H South County ( 9- 9, 74.9) 9- 8 414 H Woodson (11- 9, 76.9) 13- 4 423 A Herndon ( 8- 4, 80.7) 12-11 425 A Marshall ( 3- 9, 68.2) 14- 1 429 A Wakefield HS ( 5-10, 69.7) 18-10 501 H Yorktown (12- 9, 80.4) 6-13 506 H Gainesville (15- 5, 78.3) 17- 6 509 A Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 5-12 514 H Wakefield HS ( 5-10, 69.7) 18- 6 519 A Yorktown (12- 9, 80.4) 11-12 523 A Oakton (14- 6, 81.6) 4-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Chantilly 13-18 -5 -3 -1.83 322 A Westfield 8- 7 1 2 -1.85 326 N Robinson 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.34 328 H Centreville 10- 6 4 4 -0.41 329 N Battlefield 1-15 -14 -4 - -2.01 404 H Langley 7-13 -6 -5 -0.83 409 H Washington-Liberty 9- 8 1 0 0.76 412 H South County 9- 8 1 4 - -3.75 414 H Woodson 13- 4 9 2 ++ 4.25 423 A Herndon 12-11 1 -2 + 3.64 425 A Marshall 14- 1 13 9 0.00 429 A Wakefield HS 18-10 8 8 0.00 501 H Yorktown 6-13 -7 0 --- -6.24 506 H Gainesville 17- 6 11 1 ++ 5.61 509 A Madison 5-12 -7 -7 0.00 514 H Wakefield HS 18- 6 12 10 0.00 519 A Yorktown 11-12 -1 -2 1.32 523 A Oakton 4-11 -7 -3 - -3.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Yorktown 6-13 -7 0 --- -6.24 329 N Battlefield 1-15 -14 -4 - -2.01 412 H South County 9- 8 1 4 - -3.75 523 A Oakton 4-11 -7 -3 - -3.47OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Woodson 13- 4 9 2 ++ 4.25 506 H Gainesville 17- 6 11 1 ++ 5.61 326 N Robinson 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.34 423 A Herndon 12-11 1 -2 + 3.64
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 78.87 Power Rank................. 38 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 54.85 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 28 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6920 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 14 RPI Rating............... .5761 RPI Rank................... 36 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 104 Selection sum ........... 118 Selection Rank ............ 33 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -115. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 83 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -80. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 68 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3