Mill Creek
W-L: (16- 3) PR = 91.7221Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A West Forsyth (11- 7, 91.1) 7- 5 213 H Fellowship Christian ( 6- 9, 89.0) 8- 7 217 A Oconee County (13- 4, 87.2) 15- 5 219 H Alpharetta (10- 8, 89.2) 15- 5 304 A Dacula (12- 6, 80.0) 14- 1 306 A Peachtree Ridge ( 1-14, 70.9) 20- 0 312 H Greater Atlanta Chri (13- 7, 89.1) 10- 9 320 H Mountain View ( 8-10, 79.0) 17- 3 324 H Forsyth Central ( 7-10, 81.1) 13- 6 326 H Wesleyan School (15- 4, 95.1) 7-13 328 A Buford (12- 6, 94.5) 8-19 401 A Collins Hill ( 3-14, 73.1) 23- 0 403 H George Walton Academ ( 8- 5, 87.8) 15- 8 416 A North Gwinnett ( 8-11, 85.7) 13- 5 418 H North Oconee (13- 4, 88.3) 12- 6 428 H Duluth ( 7- 9, 74.7) 15- 1 501 A Denmark (13- 4, 89.4) 14- 6 505 A North Paulding (13- 7, 91.1) 11-10 509 H South Forsyth (15- 7, 91.0) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 A West Forsyth 7- 5 2 0 1.95
213 H Fellowship Christian 8- 7 1 3 - -2.30
217 A Oconee County 15- 5 10 4 1.06
219 H Alpharetta 15- 5 10 3 1.95
304 A Dacula 14- 1 13 11 0.00
306 A Peachtree Ridge 20- 0 20 20 0.00
312 H Greater Atlanta Chri 10- 9 1 3 - -2.15
320 H Mountain View 17- 3 14 13 0.00
324 H Forsyth Central 13- 6 7 11 0.00
326 H Wesleyan School 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.16
328 A Buford 8-19 -11 -3 -1.62
401 A Collins Hill 23- 0 23 18 0.00
403 H George Walton Academ 15- 8 7 4 0.53
416 A North Gwinnett 13- 5 8 5 0.00
418 H North Oconee 12- 6 6 4 0.99
428 H Duluth 15- 1 14 18 0.00
501 A Denmark 14- 6 8 2 + 3.25
505 A North Paulding 11-10 1 0 0.94
509 H South Forsyth 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Fellowship Christian 8- 7 1 3 - -2.30 312 H Greater Atlanta Chri 10- 9 1 3 - -2.15 326 H Wesleyan School 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.16 509 H South Forsyth 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Denmark 14- 6 8 2 + 3.25 |
Mill Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allatoona | Allatoona | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Allatoona | |
| Alpharetta | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Archer | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Benedictine Military | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Blessed Trinity | Blessed Trinity | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Blessed Trinity | |
| Bremen | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Brookwood | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 6- 0)( 5- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Buford | Buford | Buford | ||
| Calvary Day | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Cambridge | Cambridge | Cambridge 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Campbell | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Carrollton | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Centennial | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Chamblee Charter | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| Chattahoochee | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| Cherokee | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Cherokee Bluff | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Collins Hill | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Creekview | Mill Creek | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Mill Creek | |
| Dacula | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Dalton | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Darlington | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Decatur | Mill Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| Denmark | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Druid Hills | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Duluth | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Dunwoody | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Dutchtown | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Eagles Landing Chris | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| East Coweta | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| East Forsyth | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| East Paulding | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Effingham County | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Etowah | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Evans | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Fayette County | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Fellowship Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Flowery Branch | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 7- 0 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Forsyth Central | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Gainesville | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| George Walton Academ | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Grayson | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Greater Atlanta Chri | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Greenbrier | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Grovetown | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Harrison | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Hebron Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 9- 0 vs 4- 5 | ||
| Hillgrove | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Holy Innocents | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Islands | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Jackson | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Jackson County | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 7- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Johns Creek | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Johnson Savannah | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Kell | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Kennesaw Mountain | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kings Ridge Christia | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Lakeside-DeKalb | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Lakeside-Evans | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Lambert | Lambert | Lambert 7- 0 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Lanier | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Lassiter | Lassiter | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Lassiter | |
| Lovett | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Marietta | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Mill Creek | |
| Marist | Marist | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Marist | |
| Mays | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| McEachern | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| McIntosh | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Midtown | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Milton | Milton | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Milton | |
| Mount Bethel Christi | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Mount Paran Christia | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Mount Pisgah Christi | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Mill Creek | |
| Mount Vernon Presbyt | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Mountain View | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Newnan | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Norcross | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| North Atlanta | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| North Cobb | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| North Cobb Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| North Forsyth | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| North Gwinnett | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| North Oconee | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| North Paulding | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| North Springs | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Northgate | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| Northview | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Oconee County | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Ola | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Pace Academy | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Parkview | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Peachtree Ridge | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Pope | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Richmond Hill | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| River Ridge | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Riverwood | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Roswell | Roswell | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Roswell | |
| Savannah Christian | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Savannah Country Day | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Seckinger | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Sequoyah | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| South Effingham | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| South Forsyth | South Forsyth | South Forsyth | ||
| Southwest DeKalb | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Sprayberry | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| St Pius X | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Starrs Mill | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mill Creek | |
| Strong Rock Christia | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Trinity Christian | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Union Grove | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Walker School | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Walton | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 3) | Mill Creek | |
| Wesleyan School | Wesleyan School | Wesleyan School | ||
| West Forsyth | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Westminster | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Mill Creek | |
| Wheeler | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Whitefield Academy | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Whitewater | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Woodstock | Mill Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| Woodward Academy | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Mill Creek |
PowerWise = 109
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A West Forsyth (11- 7, 91.1) 7- 5 -8.79 29.87 0.56 0.80 24.27
0 H Fellowship Chr ( 6- 9, 89.0) 8- 7 -10.91 27.75 -0.56 0.80 21.69
0 A Oconee County (13- 4, 87.2) 15- 5 -12.68 25.98 0.56 0.80 21.17
0 H Alpharetta (10- 8, 89.2) 15- 5 -10.67 27.99 -0.56 0.80 21.89
0 A Dacula (12- 6, 80.0) 14- 1 -19.92 18.74 0.56 0.80 15.40
0 A Peachtree Ridg ( 1-14, 70.9) 20- 0 -28.99 9.67 0.56 0.80 8.16
0 H Greater Atlant (13- 7, 89.1) 10- 9 -10.76 27.90 -0.56 0.80 21.81
0 H Mountain View ( 8-10, 79.0) 17- 3 -20.92 17.73 -0.56 0.80 13.70
0 H Forsyth Centra ( 7-10, 81.1) 13- 6 -18.76 19.90 -0.56 0.80 15.43
0 H Wesleyan Schoo (15- 4, 95.1) 7-13 -4.78 33.88 -0.56 0.80 -4.26
0 A Buford (12- 6, 94.5) 8-19 -5.36 33.30 0.56 0.80 -3.83
0 A Collins Hill ( 3-14, 73.1) 23- 0 -26.85 11.81 0.56 0.80 9.87
0 H George Walton ( 8- 5, 87.8) 15- 8 -12.09 26.57 -0.56 0.80 20.75
0 A North Gwinnett ( 8-11, 85.7) 13- 5 -14.23 24.42 0.56 0.80 19.93
0 H North Oconee (13- 4, 88.3) 12- 6 -11.63 27.03 -0.56 0.80 21.12
0 H Duluth ( 7- 9, 74.7) 15- 1 -25.21 13.45 -0.56 0.80 10.29
0 A Denmark (13- 4, 89.4) 14- 6 -10.49 28.17 0.56 0.80 22.92
0 A North Paulding (13- 7, 91.1) 11-10 -8.80 29.86 0.56 0.80 24.27
0 H South Forsyth (15- 7, 91.0) 6- 7 -8.94 29.72 -0.56 0.80 -7.58
------
277.00
|
winning pts = 292.6569 losing points = -15.6608
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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