---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:53 PDT

safe3step boys McIntosh 1
  
McIntosh              
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 81.6796

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Pace Academy ( 7- 9, 86.0) 5-15 227 H Ola ( 3-10, 68.5) 20- 3 305 A East Coweta (13- 4, 85.3) 11-13 307 H Chattahoochee ( 4-14, 79.3) 18- 8 310 H Fayette County ( 1-13, 67.8) 17- 1 314 H Kennesaw Mountain ( 6-10, 73.4) 18- 8 318 H Woodward Academy ( 7-11, 83.9) 11-12 319 A Newnan ( 6- 8, 73.7) 14- 4 320 A Dutchtown ( 0- 9, 64.5) 15- 0 324 H Strong Rock Christia ( 6- 4, 77.6) 15- 4 326 A Whitewater (13- 5, 87.1) 9-15 327 H Carrollton ( 9- 8, 82.3) 13-14 404 H Union Grove ( 3-12, 69.5) 25- 1 415 H Midtown (11- 9, 85.8) 7-15 417 H Northgate (12- 6, 83.7) 10-12 418 A Starrs Mill (13- 5, 89.7) 7-15 425 H Lakeside-Evans (11- 1, 85.0) 10-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Pace Academy            5-15     -10    -5          -0.16
   227 H Ola                    20- 3      17    14           0.00
   305 A East Coweta            11-13      -2    -4    +      2.16
   307 H Chattahoochee          18- 8      10     3    +      2.07
   310 H Fayette County         17- 1      16    14           0.00
   314 H Kennesaw Mountain      18- 8      10     9           0.00
   318 H Woodward Academy       11-12      -1    -2           0.71
   319 A Newnan                 14- 4      10     7           0.00
   320 A Dutchtown              15- 0      15    17           0.00
   324 H Strong Rock Christia   15- 4      11     5           0.38
   326 A Whitewater              9-15      -6    -6           0.00
   327 H Carrollton             13-14      -1     0          -0.93
   404 H Union Grove            25- 1      24    13           0.00
   415 H Midtown                 7-15      -8    -4          -1.40
   417 H Northgate              10-12      -2    -1          -0.51
   418 A Starrs Mill             7-15      -8    -9           0.00
   425 H Lakeside-Evans         10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Lakeside-Evans         10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A East Coweta            11-13      -2    -4    +      2.16
   307 H Chattahoochee          18- 8      10     3    +      2.07

McIntosh Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allatoona Allatoona   Allatoona
Alpharetta Alpharetta   Alpharetta
Archer McIntosh McIntosh   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Benedictine Military Benedictine Military insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Benedictine Military
Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity   Blessed Trinity
Bremen McIntosh tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) McIntosh
Brookwood Brookwood tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Brookwood
Buford Buford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Buford
Calvary Day McIntosh   McIntosh
Cambridge Cambridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cambridge
Campbell McIntosh insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) McIntosh
Carrollton Carrollton Carrollton  
Centennial Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Chamblee Charter McIntosh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McIntosh
Chattahoochee McIntosh McIntosh  
Cherokee Cherokee tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cherokee
Cherokee Bluff McIntosh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) McIntosh
Collins Hill McIntosh insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) McIntosh
Creekview Creekview Creekview   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dacula McIntosh   McIntosh
Dalton McIntosh insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) McIntosh
Darlington McIntosh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) McIntosh
Decatur Decatur Decatur   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Denmark Denmark   Denmark
Druid Hills McIntosh   McIntosh
Duluth McIntosh   McIntosh
Dunwoody Dunwoody insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Dunwoody
Dutchtown McIntosh McIntosh  
Eagles Landing Chris McIntosh insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) McIntosh
East Coweta East Coweta East Coweta  
East Forsyth McIntosh   McIntosh
East Paulding McIntosh McIntosh   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Effingham County McIntosh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McIntosh
Etowah Etowah insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Etowah
Evans McIntosh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McIntosh
Fayette County McIntosh McIntosh  
Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Flowery Branch McIntosh   McIntosh
Forsyth Central McIntosh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McIntosh
Gainesville McIntosh   McIntosh
George Walton Academ George Walton Academ insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) George Walton Academ
Grayson McIntosh insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) McIntosh
Greater Atlanta Chri Greater Atlanta Chri Greater Atlanta Chri   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Greenbrier McIntosh tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) McIntosh
Grovetown McIntosh tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) McIntosh
Harrison Harrison   Harrison
Hebron Christian Hebron Christian   Hebron Christian
Hillgrove Hillgrove Hillgrove   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Holy Innocents Holy Innocents tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Holy Innocents
Islands Islands   Islands
Jackson McIntosh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McIntosh
Jackson County McIntosh   McIntosh
Johns Creek Johns Creek Johns Creek   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Johnson Savannah Johnson Savannah   Johnson Savannah
Kell McIntosh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) McIntosh
Kennesaw Mountain McIntosh McIntosh  
Kings Ridge Christia Kings Ridge Christia   Kings Ridge Christia
Lakeside-DeKalb Lakeside-DeKalb insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lakeside-DeKalb
Lakeside-Evans Lakeside-Evans Lakeside-Evans  
Lambert Lambert   Lambert
Lanier McIntosh   McIntosh
Lassiter Lassiter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lassiter
Lovett Lovett Lovett   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Marietta Marietta tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marietta
Marist Marist Marist   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mays McIntosh   McIntosh
McEachern McIntosh McIntosh   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Midtown Midtown Midtown  
Mill Creek Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Milton Milton   Milton
Mount Bethel Christi McIntosh   McIntosh
Mount Paran Christia Mount Paran Christia   Mount Paran Christia
Mount Pisgah Christi McIntosh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) McIntosh
Mount Vernon Presbyt Mount Vernon Presbyt tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mount Vernon Presbyt
Mountain View McIntosh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McIntosh
Newnan McIntosh McIntosh  
Norcross McIntosh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) McIntosh
North Atlanta North Atlanta tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) North Atlanta
North Cobb North Cobb North Cobb   3- 0 vs 1- 2
North Cobb Christian McIntosh McIntosh   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Forsyth North Forsyth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Forsyth
North Gwinnett North Gwinnett   North Gwinnett
North Oconee North Oconee   North Oconee
North Paulding North Paulding tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Paulding
North Springs McIntosh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) McIntosh
Northgate Northgate Northgate  
Northview McIntosh insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) McIntosh
Oconee County Oconee County tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Oconee County
Ola McIntosh McIntosh  
Pace Academy Pace Academy Pace Academy  
Parkview McIntosh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McIntosh
Peachtree Ridge McIntosh   McIntosh
Pope Pope tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pope
Richmond Hill Richmond Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Richmond Hill
River Ridge River Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) River Ridge
Riverwood Riverwood insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Riverwood
Roswell Roswell tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Roswell
Savannah Christian McIntosh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McIntosh
Savannah Country Day Savannah Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Savannah Country Day
Seckinger McIntosh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) McIntosh
Sequoyah Sequoyah tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sequoyah
South Effingham McIntosh   McIntosh
South Forsyth South Forsyth South Forsyth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Southwest DeKalb McIntosh tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) McIntosh
Sprayberry McIntosh insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) McIntosh
St Pius X St Pius X St Pius X   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Starrs Mill Starrs Mill Starrs Mill  
Strong Rock Christia McIntosh McIntosh  
Trinity Christian McIntosh tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) McIntosh
Union Grove McIntosh McIntosh  
Walker School McIntosh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McIntosh
Walton Walton   Walton
Wesleyan School Wesleyan School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wesleyan School
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
Westminster Westminster Westminster   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wheeler McIntosh tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) McIntosh
Whitefield Academy Whitefield Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Whitefield Academy
Whitewater Whitewater Whitewater  
Woodstock Woodstock insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Woodstock
Woodward Academy Woodward Academy Woodward Academy  

PowerWise = 54


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Pace Academy    ( 7- 9, 86.0)     5-15      -13.94      24.72       0.56         0.89           -11.93
   0 H Ola             ( 3-10, 68.5)    20- 3      -31.43       7.23      -0.56         0.89             5.94
   0 A East Coweta     (13- 4, 85.3)    11-13      -14.62      24.04       0.56         0.89           -12.53
   0 H Chattahoochee   ( 4-14, 79.3)    18- 8      -20.59      18.07      -0.56         0.89            15.61
   0 H Fayette County  ( 1-13, 67.8)    17- 1      -32.07       6.59      -0.56         0.89             5.38
   0 H Kennesaw Mount  ( 6-10, 73.4)    18- 8      -26.53      12.13      -0.56         0.89            10.32
   0 H Woodward Acade  ( 7-11, 83.9)    11-12      -15.96      22.70      -0.56         0.89           -14.72
   0 A Newnan          ( 6- 8, 73.7)    14- 4      -26.15      12.51       0.56         0.89            11.65
   0 A Dutchtown       ( 0- 9, 64.5)    15- 0      -35.42       3.24       0.56         0.89             3.39
   0 H Strong Rock Ch  ( 6- 4, 77.6)    15- 4      -22.29      16.37      -0.56         0.89            14.10
   0 A Whitewater      (13- 5, 87.1)     9-15      -12.76      25.90       0.56         0.89           -10.88
   0 H Carrollton      ( 9- 8, 82.3)    13-14      -17.59      21.07      -0.56         0.89           -16.18
   0 H Union Grove     ( 3-12, 69.5)    25- 1      -30.40       8.26      -0.56         0.89             6.87
   0 H Midtown         (11- 9, 85.8)     7-15      -14.06      24.60      -0.56         0.89           -13.04
   0 H Northgate       (12- 6, 83.7)    10-12      -16.17      22.49      -0.56         0.89           -14.91
   0 A Starrs Mill     (13- 5, 89.7)     7-15      -10.23      28.43       0.56         0.89            -8.62
   0 H Lakeside-Evans  (11- 1, 85.0)    10-16      -14.90      23.76      -0.56         0.89           -13.78
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -43.35

winning pts = 73.2619 losing points = -116.6080

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------