---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Monarch 1
  
Monarch               
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 86.6116

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Cherry Creek (15- 0, 99.9) 1-17 310 H Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 8-11 312 H Cherokee Trail ( 8- 7, 92.1) 11-20 315 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 16- 5 402 H Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 8-11 409 H Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 6- 5 412 A Mountain Range ( 3-12, 85.5) 11- 4 414 A Poudre District (10- 6, 91.7) 2-15 417 H Chatfield (11- 6, 91.3) 8-13 419 A Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 2-15 421 A Erie ( 5- 9, 87.3) 8-11 423 H Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 7-10 502 H Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 4-10 507 A Legend (11- 4, 94.6) 3-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Cherry Creek            1-17     -16   -14           0.00
   310 H Boulder                 8-11      -3     1    -     -3.95
   312 H Cherokee Trail         11-20      -9    -5           0.00
   315 A Pine Creek             16- 5      11     2    +      2.95
   402 H Grandview               8-11      -3    -2          -0.93
   409 H Columbine               6- 5       1     0           0.74
   412 A Mountain Range         11- 4       7     1    ++     4.29
   414 A Poudre District         2-15     -13    -5           0.00
   417 H Chatfield               8-13      -5    -4          -0.72
   419 A Fairview                2-15     -13    -5           0.00
   421 A Erie                    8-11      -3    -1          -1.97
   423 H Ralston Valley          7-10      -3    -5    +      2.00
   502 H Lakewood                4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.39
   507 A Legend                  3-19     -16    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Boulder                 8-11      -3     1    -     -3.95
   502 H Lakewood                4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Mountain Range         11- 4       7     1    ++     4.29
   315 A Pine Creek             16- 5      11     2    +      2.95
   423 H Ralston Valley          7-10      -3    -5    +      2.00

Monarch Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Air Academy
Arapahoe Arapahoe Arapahoe   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Arvada West Monarch Monarch   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Aspen Aspen   Aspen
Battle Mountain Monarch   Monarch
Boulder Boulder Boulder  
Castle View Castle View tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) Castle View
Chaparral Monarch insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Monarch
Chatfield Chatfield Chatfield  
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail  
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek Cherry Creek  
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cheyenne Mountain
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Columbine Monarch Monarch  
Conifer Monarch   Monarch
Crested Butte Monarch   Monarch
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Denver East Denver East Denver East   6- 1 vs 1- 6
Denver North Monarch   Monarch
Denver South Denver South Denver South   2- 4 vs 0- 6
Douglas County Monarch insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Monarch
Durango Monarch   Monarch
Eagle Valley Monarch   Monarch
Eaglecrest Monarch insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Monarch
Erie Erie Erie  
Evergreen Evergreen tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Evergreen
Fairview Fairview Fairview  
Fountain Valley Monarch   Monarch
Fruita Monument Monarch   Monarch
Glenwood Springs Monarch   Monarch
Golden Golden tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Golden
Grand Junction Monarch insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Monarch
Grandview Grandview Grandview  
Green Mountain Monarch insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Monarch
Heritage Monarch insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Monarch
Holy Family Monarch   Monarch
Jefferson Academy Monarch   Monarch
Kent Denver Kent Denver tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood Lakewood  
Legend Legend Legend  
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lewis Palmer
Littleton Monarch   Monarch
Lutheran Monarch   Monarch
Middle Park Monarch   Monarch
Montrose Monarch   Monarch
Mountain Range Monarch Monarch  
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mountain Vista
Mullen Monarch   Monarch
Northfield Northfield insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) Northfield
Palmer Monarch   Monarch
Pine Creek Monarch Monarch  
Ponderosa Monarch   Monarch
Poudre District Poudre District Poudre District  
Prairie View Monarch tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monarch
Pueblo West Monarch   Monarch
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley Ralston Valley  
Rangeview Monarch   Monarch
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Resurrection Christi
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Smoky Hill Monarch   Monarch
St Marys HS Monarch   Monarch
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs   Steamboat Springs
Summit Monarch   Monarch
Telluride Telluride   Telluride
Thomas Jefferson Monarch   Monarch
Thompson Valley Monarch   Monarch
ThunderRidge Monarch insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Monarch
Vail Mountain Monarch   Monarch
Valor Christian Valor Christian insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Valor Christian
Vanguard School Monarch   Monarch
Windsor Monarch insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Monarch

PowerWise = 40


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Cherry Creek    (15- 0, 99.9)     1-17       -0.00      33.50       0.37         1.07            -0.40
   0 H Boulder         ( 7- 6, 86.0)     8-11      -13.87      19.63      -0.37         1.07           -15.30
   0 H Cherokee Trail  ( 8- 7, 92.1)    11-20       -7.76      25.74      -0.37         1.07            -8.73
   0 A Pine Creek      ( 5- 9, 84.2)    16- 5      -15.71      17.79       0.37         1.07            19.51
   0 H Grandview       ( 6-10, 89.0)     8-11      -10.85      22.65      -0.37         1.07           -12.05
   0 H Columbine       ( 6-10, 86.7)     6- 5      -13.19      20.32      -0.37         1.07            21.43
   0 A Mountain Range  ( 3-12, 85.5)    11- 4      -14.37      19.13       0.37         1.07            20.95
   0 A Poudre Distric  (10- 6, 91.7)     2-15       -8.19      25.31       0.37         1.07            -8.40
   0 H Chatfield       (11- 6, 91.3)     8-13       -8.64      24.86      -0.37         1.07            -9.68
   0 A Fairview        (11- 5, 91.7)     2-15       -8.18      25.33       0.37         1.07            -8.39
   0 A Erie            ( 5- 9, 87.3)     8-11      -12.62      20.88       0.37         1.07           -13.17
   0 H Ralston Valley  (13- 3, 92.0)     7-10       -7.91      25.59      -0.37         1.07            -8.89
   0 H Lakewood        ( 8- 7, 89.6)     4-10      -10.31      23.19      -0.37         1.07           -11.47
   0 A Legend          (11- 4, 94.6)     3-19       -5.26      28.24       0.37         1.07            -5.26
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -39.84

winning pts = 61.8939 losing points = -101.7333

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------