safe3step boys Mars Area 1

  
Mars Area             
W-L: (19- 3)  PR =    89.5502
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 314 H Pine Richland                        ( 8- 6, 88.6)    12- 6   
 317 H Taylor Allderdice                    ( 1-11, 71.9)    24- 2   
 322 N Crestwood                            (13- 5, 85.7)     8- 6   
 324 A Freeport Area                        ( 6- 6, 78.7)    21- 4   
 328 A Peters Township                      (12- 8, 85.9)    14- 2   
 331 H Knoch                                ( 1- 7, 76.9)    30- 2   
 404 H Hampton                              (16- 6, 87.6)    12- 5   
 409 A Indiana Area                         ( 9- 9, 81.6)    14- 5   
 411 H Mount Lebanon                        (15- 1, 93.3)     4-14   
 414 A Moon Area                            ( 2- 7, 79.6)    18- 1   
 417 H Upper St Clair                       (12- 6, 90.1)     6-11   
 422 H North Catholic                       ( 1- 9, 74.5)    22- 1   
 424 A Shaler Area                          ( 8- 6, 83.0)    11- 7   
 426 H Twin Valley                          (19- 5, 89.5)     8- 7   
 428 A Quaker Valley                        ( 9- 6, 82.3)    19- 4   
 501 H Sewickley Academy                    ( 8- 3, 83.4)    13- 4   
 506 H Winchester Thurston                  ( 2- 7, 72.8)    22- 0   
 515 H Bethel Park                          (13- 8, 83.7)    18- 0   
 519 N Hampton                              (16- 6, 87.6)    13- 6   
 523 N South Fayette                        (19- 2, 89.3)     7- 5   
 603 H Lower Dauphin                        (16- 6, 86.2)    12- 2   
 607 N Allentown Central Ca                 (19- 4, 89.7)    10-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Pine Richland          12- 6       6     1    +      3.81
   317 H Taylor Allderdice      24- 2      22    18           0.00
   322 N Crestwood               8- 6       2     4          -1.81
   324 A Freeport Area          21- 4      17    11           0.00
   328 A Peters Township        14- 2      12     3           1.57
   331 H Knoch                  30- 2      28    13           0.00
   404 H Hampton                12- 5       7     2    +      2.83
   409 A Indiana Area           14- 5       9     8           0.00
   411 H Mount Lebanon           4-14     -10    -4          -1.41
   414 A Moon Area              18- 1      17    10           0.00
   417 H Upper St Clair          6-11      -5     0    --    -4.65
   422 H North Catholic         22- 1      21    15           0.00
   424 A Shaler Area            11- 7       4     6          -1.00
   426 H Twin Valley             8- 7       1     0           0.76
   428 A Quaker Valley          19- 4      15     7           0.00
   501 H Sewickley Academy      13- 4       9     6           0.00
   506 H Winchester Thurston    22- 0      22    17           0.00
   515 H Bethel Park            18- 0      18     6           0.00
   519 N Hampton                13- 6       7     2    +      3.04
   523 N South Fayette           7- 5       2     0           1.72
   603 H Lower Dauphin          12- 2      10     4           1.41
   607 N Allentown Central Ca   10-15      -5     0    --    -4.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Upper St Clair          6-11      -5     0    --    -4.65
   607 N Allentown Central Ca   10-15      -5     0    --    -4.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Pine Richland          12- 6       6     1    +      3.81
   404 H Hampton                12- 5       7     2    +      2.83
   519 N Hampton                13- 6       7     2    +      3.04

Mars Area Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	Mars Area			Mars Area
Academy New Church	Academy New Church		insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0)	Academy New Church
AIM Academy	Mars Area			Mars Area
Allentown Central Ca	Allentown Central Ca	Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll	Mars Area			Mars Area
Archbishop Ryan	Mars Area			Mars Area
Archbishop Wood	Mars Area			Mars Area
Avon Grove	Avon Grove			Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter	Mars Area			Mars Area
Bayard Rustin	Bayard Rustin		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Bishop Shanahan	Bishop Shanahan		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter	Mars Area			Mars Area
Bonner-Prendergast	Mars Area			Mars Area
Boyertown	Mars Area			Mars Area
Cardinal OHara	Mars Area			Mars Area
Central Bucks East	Mars Area			Mars Area
Central Bucks South	Mars Area			Mars Area
Central Bucks West	Mars Area			Mars Area
Central Philadelphia	Mars Area			Mars Area
Cheltenham	Mars Area			Mars Area
Church Farm School	Mars Area			Mars Area
Coatesville	Mars Area			Mars Area
Conestoga	Conestoga			Conestoga
Conwell Egan	Mars Area			Mars Area
Council Rock North	Mars Area			Mars Area
Council Rock South	Mars Area			Mars Area
Delaware Valley Frie	Mars Area			Mars Area
Devon Prep	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0)	Mars Area
Downingtown East	Downingtown East			Downingtown East
Downingtown West	Downingtown West		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Downingtown West
Easton Area	Easton Area		insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0)	Easton Area
Emmaus	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2)	Mars Area
Episcopal Academy	Episcopal Academy			Episcopal Academy
Father Judge	Mars Area			Mars Area
Frankford	Mars Area			Mars Area
Freedom Bethlehem	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Garnet Valley	Garnet Valley			Garnet Valley
George School	Mars Area			Mars Area
George Washington	Mars Area			Mars Area
Germantown Academy	Mars Area			Mars Area
Great Valley	Mars Area			Mars Area
Harriton	Mars Area			Mars Area
Hatboro-Horsham	Mars Area			Mars Area
Haverford HS	Mars Area			Mars Area
Haverford School	Haverford School			Haverford School
Hill School	Hill School			Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep	Mars Area			Mars Area
Interboro	Mars Area			Mars Area
Jack Barrack Academy	Mars Area			Mars Area
Kennett	Mars Area			Mars Area
La Salle College	La Salle College			La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic	Mars Area			Mars Area
Liberty Bethlehem	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Lower Merion	Mars Area		Mars Area 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Malvern Prep	Malvern Prep			Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown	Marple Newtown		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0)	Marple Newtown
Masterman	Mars Area			Mars Area
Mastery Charter Nort	Mars Area			Mars Area
Methacton	Mars Area			Mars Area
Moravian Academy	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Nazareth Area	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Neshaminy	Mars Area			Mars Area
New Hope-Solebury	Mars Area			Mars Area
North Penn	Mars Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Mars Area
Northampton Area	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Northeast	Mars Area			Mars Area
Northwestern Lehigh	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Olney Charter	Mars Area			Mars Area
Owen J Roberts	Owen J Roberts			Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area	Mars Area			Mars Area
Parkland	Parkland		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Parkland
Penn Charter	Mars Area			Mars Area
Penncrest	Penncrest			Penncrest
Pennridge	Pennridge			Pennridge
Pennsbury	Mars Area			Mars Area
Perkiomen School	Perkiomen School			Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley	Perkiomen Valley		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville	Mars Area			Mars Area
Pleasant Valley	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Plymouth-Whitemarsh	Mars Area			Mars Area
Pope John Paul II	Mars Area			Mars Area
Pottsgrove	Mars Area			Mars Area
Quakertown	Mars Area			Mars Area
Radnor	Radnor		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Radnor
Ridley	Ridley			Ridley
Roman Catholic	Mars Area			Mars Area
Saucon Valley	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Shipley School	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Solanco	Mars Area			Mars Area
Souderton	Souderton			Souderton
South Philadelphia	Mars Area			Mars Area
Southern Lehigh	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Spring-Ford	Spring-Ford			Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp	Mars Area			Mars Area
Springfield-Delco	Springfield-Delco			Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut	Springside Chestnut			Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep	St Josephs Prep			St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven	Mars Area			Mars Area
Sun Valley	Mars Area			Mars Area
Truman	Mars Area			Mars Area
Unionville	Mars Area			Mars Area
Upper Darby	Mars Area			Mars Area
Upper Dublin	Mars Area			Mars Area
Upper Merion	Mars Area			Mars Area
Upper Moreland	Mars Area			Mars Area
West Chester East	Mars Area			Mars Area
West Chester Henders	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
West Philadelphia	Mars Area			Mars Area
Westtown	Westtown			Westtown
William Tennent	Mars Area			Mars Area
Wissahickon	Mars Area			Mars Area
Baldwin	Mars Area		Mars Area 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Bethel Park	Mars Area	Mars Area
Butler Area	Mars Area		Mars Area 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Canon-McMillan	Mars Area		Mars Area 4- 2 vs 1- 5
Cathedral Prep	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Central Catholic	Mars Area		Mars Area 3- 2 vs 0- 5
Chartiers Valley	Mars Area		Mars Area 5- 0 vs 1- 4
Conneaut	Mars Area			Mars Area
Erie-McDowell	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Fairview	Mars Area			Mars Area
Fox Chapel	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2)	Mars Area
Franklin Regional	Mars Area		Mars Area 6- 0 vs 2- 4
Freeport Area	Mars Area	Mars Area
Gateway	Mars Area		Mars Area 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Greensburg Central C	Mars Area		Mars Area 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hampton	Mars Area	Mars Area
Hempfield Greensburg	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Mars Area
Hickory	Mars Area			Mars Area
Indiana Area	Mars Area	Mars Area
Knoch	Mars Area	Mars Area
Latrobe	Mars Area		Mars Area 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Meadville-Crawford C	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Mars Area
Moon Area	Mars Area	Mars Area
Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny	North Allegheny		tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)	North Allegheny
North Catholic	Mars Area	Mars Area
North Hills	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Mars Area
Norwin	Mars Area		tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)	Mars Area
Penn-Trafford	Mars Area		Mars Area 5- 1 vs 2- 4
Peters Township	Mars Area	Mars Area
Pine Richland	Mars Area	Mars Area
Plum	Mars Area		tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)	Mars Area
Quaker Valley	Mars Area	Mars Area
Seneca Valley	Mars Area		Mars Area 5- 1 vs 3- 3
Seton LaSalle	Mars Area		Mars Area 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sewickley Academy	Mars Area	Mars Area
Shady Side Academy	Shady Side Academy		tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)	Shady Side Academy
Shaler Area	Mars Area	Mars Area
South Fayette	Mars Area	Mars Area
Taylor Allderdice	Mars Area	Mars Area
Trinity Area	Mars Area		Mars Area 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair
West Allegheny	Mars Area		Mars Area 6- 0 vs 0- 6
Winchester Thurston	Mars Area	Mars Area
Abington Heights	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Bellefonte	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Berks Catholic	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Bishop McDevitt	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Carlisle	Mars Area			Mars Area
Cedar Cliff	Mars Area			Mars Area
Cedar Crest	Mars Area			Mars Area
Central Dauphin	Mars Area			Mars Area
Central Dauphin East	Mars Area			Mars Area
Central York	Mars Area			Mars Area
Chambersburg	Mars Area			Mars Area
Cocalico	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2)	Mars Area
Conestoga Valley	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Conrad Weiser	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Crestwood	Mars Area	Mars Area
Cumberland Valley	Mars Area			Mars Area
Dallas	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Dallastown	Mars Area			Mars Area
Daniel Boone	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Danville Area	Mars Area			Mars Area
Delaware Valley	Mars Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Mars Area
Delone Catholic	Mars Area			Mars Area
Dover Area	Mars Area			Mars Area
Eastern York	Mars Area			Mars Area
Elizabethtown	Mars Area			Mars Area
Ephrata	Mars Area			Mars Area
Exeter Township	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Garden Spot	Mars Area			Mars Area
Gettysburg	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Governor Mifflin	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Hempfield	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0)	Mars Area
Hershey	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Kennard-Dale	Mars Area			Mars Area
Lake-Lehman	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Lakeland	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Lampeter-Strasburg	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0)	Mars Area
Lancaster CDS	Mars Area			Mars Area
Lewisburg	Mars Area			Mars Area
Lower Dauphin	Mars Area	Mars Area
Manheim Township	Manheim Township		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg	Mars Area			Mars Area
Mifflin County	Mars Area			Mars Area
Mifflinburg	Mars Area			Mars Area
Muhlenberg	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
New Oxford	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
North Pocono	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Northern York	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Palmyra	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Penn Manor	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Mars Area
Red Land	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Red Lion	Mars Area			Mars Area
Schuylkill Valley	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Scranton Prep	Mars Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	Mars Area
Selinsgrove	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
South-Western	Mars Area			Mars Area
Spring Grove	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
State College	Mars Area			Mars Area
Susquehannock	Mars Area		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Trinity HS	Trinity HS		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 0)	Trinity HS
Tunkhannock	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Twin Valley	Mars Area	Mars Area
Warwick	Mars Area			Mars Area
West York	Mars Area			Mars Area
Wilkes-Barre Area	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Wilson West Lawn	Wilson West Lawn		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Wyoming Seminary	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
Wyomissing	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
York Catholic	Mars Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Mars Area
York Suburban	Mars Area			Mars Area

PowerWise = 189

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Pine Richland   ( 8- 6, 88.6)    12- 6      -11.34      23.00      -0.20         0.71            16.28
   0 H Taylor Allderd  ( 1-11, 71.9)    24- 2      -28.01       6.33      -0.20         0.71             4.37
   0 N Crestwood       (13- 5, 85.7)     8- 6      -14.16      20.18      -0.00         0.71            14.42
   0 A Freeport Area   ( 6- 6, 78.7)    21- 4      -21.23      13.11       0.20         0.71             9.51
   0 A Peters Townshi  (12- 8, 85.9)    14- 2      -13.98      20.35       0.20         0.71            14.69
   0 H Knoch           ( 1- 7, 76.9)    30- 2      -23.04      11.30      -0.20         0.71             7.93
   0 H Hampton         (16- 6, 87.6)    12- 5      -12.31      22.03      -0.20         0.71            15.59
   0 A Indiana Area    ( 9- 9, 81.6)    14- 5      -18.32      16.01       0.20         0.71            11.59
   0 H Mount Lebanon   (15- 1, 93.3)     4-14       -6.56      27.78      -0.20         0.71            -4.83
   0 A Moon Area       ( 2- 7, 79.6)    18- 1      -20.31      14.03       0.20         0.71            10.17
   0 H Upper St Clair  (12- 6, 90.1)     6-11       -9.80      24.54      -0.20         0.71            -7.15
   0 H North Catholic  ( 1- 9, 74.5)    22- 1      -25.42       8.92      -0.20         0.71             6.23
   0 A Shaler Area     ( 8- 6, 83.0)    11- 7      -16.89      17.45       0.20         0.71            12.61
   0 H Twin Valley     (19- 5, 89.5)     8- 7      -10.38      23.95      -0.20         0.71            16.97
   0 A Quaker Valley   ( 9- 6, 82.3)    19- 4      -17.62      16.72       0.20         0.71            12.09
   0 H Sewickley Acad  ( 8- 3, 83.4)    13- 4      -16.47      17.86      -0.20         0.71            12.62
   0 H Winchester Thu  ( 2- 7, 72.8)    22- 0      -27.06       7.28      -0.20         0.71             5.05
   0 H Bethel Park     (13- 8, 83.7)    18- 0      -16.20      18.14      -0.20         0.71            12.81
   0 N Hampton         (16- 6, 87.6)    13- 6      -12.31      22.03      -0.00         0.71            15.74
   0 N South Fayette   (19- 2, 89.3)     7- 5      -10.63      23.71      -0.00         0.71            16.94
   0 H Lower Dauphin   (16- 6, 86.2)    12- 2      -13.74      20.60      -0.20         0.71            14.57
   0 N Allentown Cent  (19- 4, 89.7)    10-15      -10.25      24.09      -0.00         0.71            -7.32
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       210.88

winning pts = 230.1733 losing points = -19.2968

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------