---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:58 PDT

safe3step boys Marblehead 1
  
Marblehead            
W-L: (10- 9) PR = 89.7253

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Newburyport (16- 2, 94.7) 3-16 408 A Beverly ( 4-12, 85.4) 16-10 411 H Swampscott (11- 9, 88.9) 7- 8 414 H Danvers ( 6-12, 85.3) 17- 3 416 A Peabody Vets Memoria ( 6-12, 85.0) 12- 3 421 A Wakefield Memorial (16- 4, 92.7) 9-11 423 H Masconomet (13- 6, 89.9) 10-11 429 H Salem ( 7-11, 81.6) 17- 1 501 H Beverly ( 4-12, 85.4) 16- 5 502 A North Andover ( 9-11, 94.0) 4-13 505 A Danvers ( 6-12, 85.3) 14- 7 506 A Lexington ( 9-10, 90.3) 5-12 509 A Gloucester ( 5-11, 82.4) 16- 3 512 H Peabody Vets Memoria ( 6-12, 85.0) 14- 3 514 A Masconomet (13- 6, 89.9) 8-18 515 H Melrose ( 9- 9, 90.3) 11- 4 520 H Winthrop (15- 5, 88.6) 15- 2 526 A Swampscott (11- 9, 88.9) 6- 7 529 A Reading Memorial (19- 4, 97.2) 2-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Newburyport             3-16     -13    -6           0.00
   408 A Beverly                16-10       6     4           1.32
   411 H Swampscott              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.46
   414 H Danvers                17- 3      14     5           0.00
   416 A Peabody Vets Memoria   12- 3       9     4           0.89
   421 A Wakefield Memorial      9-11      -2    -4           1.63
   423 H Masconomet             10-11      -1     0          -1.49
   429 H Salem                  17- 1      16     9           0.00
   501 H Beverly                16- 5      11     5           0.05
   502 A North Andover           4-13      -9    -5          -0.07
   505 A Danvers                14- 7       7     4           1.20
   506 A Lexington               5-12      -7    -1    -     -3.79
   509 A Gloucester             16- 3      13     7           0.00
   512 H Peabody Vets Memoria   14- 3      11     5           0.00
   514 A Masconomet              8-18     -10    -1    --    -4.22
   515 H Melrose                11- 4       7     0    ++     4.95
   520 H Winthrop               15- 2      13     2    +      3.20
   526 A Swampscott              6- 7      -1     0          -1.19
   529 A Reading Memorial        2-17     -15    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Masconomet              8-18     -10    -1    --    -4.22
   411 H Swampscott              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.46
   506 A Lexington               5-12      -7    -1    -     -3.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Melrose                11- 4       7     0    ++     4.95
   520 H Winthrop               15- 2      13     2    +      3.20

Marblehead Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Marblehead   Marblehead
Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Agawam Agawam   Agawam
Algonquin Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Amesbury Marblehead tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Marblehead
Amherst-Pelham Reg Marblehead   Marblehead
AMSA Charter Marblehead   Marblehead
Andover HS Andover HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Andover HS
Apponequet Regional Marblehead   Marblehead
Archbishop Williams Marblehead   Marblehead
Arlington Catholic Arlington Catholic   Arlington Catholic
Arlington HS Arlington HS tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Arlington HS
Ashland Marblehead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marblehead
Assabet Valley RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Attleboro Marblehead   Marblehead
Auburn Marblehead   Marblehead
Barnstable Marblehead   Marblehead
Bay Path RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Bedford Marblehead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marblehead
Belchertown Marblehead   Marblehead
Bellingham Marblehead   Marblehead
Belmont Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Marblehead
Beverly Marblehead Marblehead  
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan   Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Marblehead Marblehead   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Bishop Stang Marblehead   Marblehead
Blackstone Valley RV Marblehead   Marblehead
Blue Hills RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Boston College HS Boston College HS   Boston College HS
Boston Latin School Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Marblehead
Bourne Marblehead   Marblehead
Braintree Marblehead   Marblehead
Bridgewater-Raynham Marblehead insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marblehead
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Brookline Marblehead   Marblehead
Burlington Burlington Burlington   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Cambridge Rindge-Lat Marblehead   Marblehead
Canton Canton   Canton
Cape Cod Academy Marblehead   Marblehead
Cape Cod Tech Marblehead   Marblehead
Cardinal Spellman Marblehead   Marblehead
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catholic Memorial
Central Catholic Central Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Marblehead tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Marblehead
Chicopee Comprehensi Marblehead   Marblehead
Cohasset Cohasset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Danvers Marblehead Marblehead  
Dartmouth Marblehead   Marblehead
Dedham Marblehead   Marblehead
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi Marblehead   Marblehead
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg Marblehead   Marblehead
Doherty Memorial Marblehead   Marblehead
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn   Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Dracut Dracut   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Duxbury Duxbury insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Marblehead   Marblehead
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Longmeadow
Essex Tech Marblehead insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Marblehead
Fairhaven Marblehead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marblehead
Falmouth Academy Marblehead   Marblehead
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS   Falmouth HS
Foxborough Marblehead   Marblehead
Framingham Marblehead   Marblehead
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Gloucester Marblehead Marblehead  
Grafton Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Granby Marblehead   Marblehead
Greater Lowell RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Greater New Bedford Marblehead   Marblehead
Groton-Dunstable Reg Marblehead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marblehead
Hamilton-Wenham Regi Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Marblehead
Hanover Marblehead   Marblehead
Haverhill Marblehead   Marblehead
Hingham Hingham   Hingham
Holliston Marblehead   Marblehead
Hoosac Valley Marblehead   Marblehead
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Hudson Marblehead   Marblehead
Hull Marblehead   Marblehead
Ipswich Ipswich tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional   King Philip Regional
Lenox/Lee Marblehead   Marblehead
Leominster Marblehead   Marblehead
Lexington Lexington Lexington  
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lincoln-Sudbury Regi
Littleton Marblehead   Marblehead
Longmeadow Longmeadow   Longmeadow
Lowell Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Marblehead
Lowell Catholic Marblehead   Marblehead
Lunenburg Marblehead   Marblehead
Lynn Classical-Engli Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Marblehead
Lynnfield Lynnfield insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Lynnfield
Malden Marblehead Marblehead   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Malden Catholic Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Marblehead
Manchester-Essex Reg Manchester-Essex Reg Manchester-Essex Reg   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Mansfield Mansfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mansfield
Marshfield Marshfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Marblehead   Marblehead
Masconomet Masconomet Masconomet  
Mashpee Marblehead   Marblehead
McCann Technical Marblehead   Marblehead
Medfield Medfield tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Medfield
Medford Marblehead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marblehead
Medway Marblehead   Marblehead
Melrose Marblehead Marblehead  
Methuen Marblehead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marblehead
Middleborough Marblehead   Marblehead
Milford Marblehead   Marblehead
Milton HS Marblehead   Marblehead
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Minuteman Regional Marblehead   Marblehead
Monomoy Regional Marblehead   Marblehead
Monson Marblehead   Marblehead
Montachusett RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Mount Greylock Regio Marblehead   Marblehead
Mystic Valley Charte Marblehead   Marblehead
Nantucket Nantucket   Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional   Nashoba Regional
Nashoba Valley Tech Marblehead   Marblehead
Natick Natick   Natick
Nauset Nauset   Nauset
Needham Needham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Needham
New Bedford Marblehead   Marblehead
Newburyport Newburyport Newburyport  
Newton North Newton North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newton North
Newton South Marblehead   Marblehead
Nipmuc Regional Marblehead   Marblehead
North Andover North Andover North Andover  
North Attleboro North Attleboro   North Attleboro
North Middlesex Marblehead   Marblehead
North Quincy Co-op Marblehead   Marblehead
North Reading Marblehead tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Marblehead
Northampton Marblehead   Marblehead
Northeast Metro RVT Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Marblehead
Norton Marblehead   Marblehead
Norwell Norwell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Norwell
Norwood Marblehead   Marblehead
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional   Oakmont Regional
Old Colony RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Old Rochester Region Marblehead   Marblehead
Oliver Ames Marblehead   Marblehead
Peabody Vets Memoria Marblehead Marblehead  
Pembroke Marblehead   Marblehead
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield Marblehead   Marblehead
Plymouth North Marblehead   Marblehead
Plymouth South Plymouth South   Plymouth South
Pope Francis Prep Marblehead   Marblehead
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial Reading Memorial  
Revere Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Marblehead
Rockland Marblehead   Marblehead
Salem Marblehead Marblehead  
Sandwich Marblehead   Marblehead
Saugus Marblehead   Marblehead
Scituate Scituate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Scituate
Seekonk Marblehead   Marblehead
Sharon Sharon   Sharon
Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Shawsheen Valley RVT
Shepherd Hill Marblehead   Marblehead
Shrewsbury Marblehead   Marblehead
Silver Lake Silver Lake   Silver Lake
Smith VoTech Marblehead   Marblehead
Somerset Berkley Marblehead   Marblehead
Somerville Marblehead Marblehead   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Hadley Marblehead   Marblehead
South Shore RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Southeastern RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Springfield Central Marblehead   Marblehead
St Bernards Marblehead   Marblehead
St John Paul II Marblehead   Marblehead
St Johns Prep Danver St Johns Prep Danver   St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury St Johns Shrewsbury   St Johns Shrewsbury
St Marys Lynn Marblehead   Marblehead
St Marys Westfield Marblehead   Marblehead
Stoneham Marblehead Marblehead   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Stoughton Marblehead   Marblehead
Sturgis Charter East Marblehead   Marblehead
Swampscott Swampscott Swampscott  
Tantasqua Regional Marblehead   Marblehead
Taunton Marblehead   Marblehead
Tech Boston Academy Marblehead   Marblehead
Tewksbury Memorial Marblehead insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Marblehead
Tri-County RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Triton Regional Marblehead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marblehead
Tyngsborough Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Marblehead
Upper Cape Cod RVT Marblehead   Marblehead
Wachusett Regional Wachusett Regional   Wachusett Regional
Wahconah Marblehead   Marblehead
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial  
Walpole Walpole tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Walpole
Waltham Waltham   Waltham
Watertown Marblehead Marblehead   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Wayland Marblehead   Marblehead
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield Marblehead   Marblehead
Westborough Westborough   Westborough
Westfield Marblehead   Marblehead
Westford Academy Westford Academy   Westford Academy
Weston Weston Weston   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Westport Marblehead   Marblehead
Westwood Westwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Westwood
Weymouth Marblehead   Marblehead
Whitman-Hanson Marblehead   Marblehead
Whittier RVT Marblehead tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marblehead
Wilmington Marblehead insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Marblehead
Winchester Winchester Winchester   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Winthrop Marblehead Marblehead  
Woburn Memorial Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Marblehead
Xaverian Brothers Xaverian Brothers insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Xaverian Brothers

PowerWise = 143


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Newburyport     (16- 2, 94.7)     3-16       -5.20      27.34       0.63         0.95            -4.34
   0 A Beverly         ( 4-12, 85.4)    16-10      -14.49      18.05       0.63         0.95            17.75
   0 H Swampscott      (11- 9, 88.9)     7- 8      -11.00      21.54      -0.63         0.95           -11.05
   0 H Danvers         ( 6-12, 85.3)    17- 3      -14.61      17.93      -0.63         0.95            16.43
   0 A Peabody Vets M  ( 6-12, 85.0)    12- 3      -14.92      17.62       0.63         0.95            17.34
   0 A Wakefield Memo  (16- 4, 92.7)     9-11       -7.18      25.36       0.63         0.95            -6.22
   0 H Masconomet      (13- 6, 89.9)    10-11      -10.03      22.51      -0.63         0.95           -10.13
   0 H Salem           ( 7-11, 81.6)    17- 1      -18.26      14.28      -0.63         0.95            12.96
   0 H Beverly         ( 4-12, 85.4)    16- 5      -14.49      18.05      -0.63         0.95            16.54
   0 A North Andover   ( 9-11, 94.0)     4-13       -5.88      26.66       0.63         0.95            -4.98
   0 A Danvers         ( 6-12, 85.3)    14- 7      -14.61      17.93       0.63         0.95            17.64
   0 A Lexington       ( 9-10, 90.3)     5-12       -9.60      22.94       0.63         0.95            -8.52
   0 A Gloucester      ( 5-11, 82.4)    16- 3      -17.45      15.09       0.63         0.95            14.93
   0 H Peabody Vets M  ( 6-12, 85.0)    14- 3      -14.92      17.62      -0.63         0.95            16.14
   0 A Masconomet      (13- 6, 89.9)     8-18      -10.03      22.51       0.63         0.95            -8.92
   0 H Melrose         ( 9- 9, 90.3)    11- 4       -9.59      22.95      -0.63         0.95            21.20
   0 H Winthrop        (15- 5, 88.6)    15- 2      -11.34      21.20      -0.63         0.95            19.53
   0 A Swampscott      (11- 9, 88.9)     6- 7      -11.00      21.54       0.63         0.95            -9.84
   0 A Reading Memori  (19- 4, 97.2)     2-17       -2.74      29.80       0.63         0.95            -2.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       104.46

winning pts = 170.4652 losing points = -66.0002

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------