---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Madison 1
  
Madison               
W-L: (15- 1) PR = 93.9948

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 16- 5 321 H West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 10- 7 326 H Yorktown (12- 7, 90.1) 13- 5 401 A Chantilly ( 9- 5, 90.3) 10- 9 407 A Riverside (13- 3, 93.2) 7- 5 409 H Robinson (16- 4, 93.6) 9- 8 423 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 8- 3 425 H Westfield ( 6-12, 86.0) 14- 1 501 A Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 8- 6 507 H South Lakes ( 4-12, 84.3) 9- 3 509 H McLean (10- 8, 88.6) 12- 5 512 A Centreville ( 2- 8, 86.1) 11- 6 519 H Westfield ( 6-12, 86.0) 15- 4 521 H Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 12- 4 523 H Washington-Liberty (10- 6, 89.3) 11- 5 527 H Langley (14- 3, 93.3) 7- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Meridian               16- 5      11     6           0.00
   321 H West Potomac           10- 7       3     2           0.98
   326 H Yorktown               13- 5       8     5           0.47
   401 A Chantilly              10- 9       1     3    -     -2.06
   407 A Riverside               7- 5       2     0           1.80
   409 H Robinson                9- 8       1     1          -0.01
   423 A Battlefield             8- 3       5     1    +      3.88
   425 H Westfield              14- 1      13     9           0.00
   501 A Oakton                  8- 6       2     3          -0.57
   507 H South Lakes             9- 3       6    10           0.00
   509 H McLean                 12- 5       7     6           0.00
   512 A Centreville            11- 6       5     7           0.00
   519 H Westfield              15- 4      11     9           0.00
   521 H Oakton                 12- 4       8     4           1.21
   523 H Washington-Liberty     11- 5       6     5           0.00
   527 H Langley                 7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Chantilly              10- 9       1     3    -     -2.06
   527 H Langley                 7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Battlefield             8- 3       5     1    +      3.88

Madison Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Madison   Madison
Alexandria City Madison Madison   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Annandale Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Atlee Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Battlefield Madison Madison  
Bayside Madison   Madison
Benedictine Madison   Madison
Bishop Ireton Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Bishop OConnell Madison   Madison
Blacksburg Madison   Madison
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Briar Woods Madison Madison   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Broad Run Madison   Madison
Brooke Point Madison   Madison
Cape Henry Collegiat Madison   Madison
Catholic HS Madison   Madison
Cave Spring Madison   Madison
Centreville Madison Madison  
Chantilly Madison Madison  
Charlottesville Madison   Madison
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Madison   Madison
Clover Hill Madison   Madison
Colgan Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Madison   Madison
Cosby Madison Madison   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Covenant School Madison   Madison
Cox Madison   Madison
Culpeper County Madison   Madison
Deep Run Madison Madison   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dominion Madison Madison   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Douglas Freeman Madison   Madison
Eastern View Madison   Madison
EC Glass Madison   Madison
Edison Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Madison   Madison
Fairfax Madison Madison   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Falls Church Madison Madison   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fauquier Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
First Colonial Madison   Madison
Fishburne Military A Madison   Madison
Flint Hill Madison   Madison
Fluvanna County Madison   Madison
Forest Park Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Fork Union Military Madison   Madison
Franklin County Madison   Madison
Fredericksburg Acade Madison   Madison
Fredericksburg Chris Madison   Madison
Freedom South Ridin Madison Madison   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Freedom Woodbridge Madison   Madison
Gainesville Madison Madison   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Gar-field Madison   Madison
Glen Allen Madison   Madison
Goochland Madison   Madison
Grafton LC Madison   Madison
Grassfield LC Madison   Madison
Green Run Madison   Madison
Handley Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Hanover Madison   Madison
Hayfield Madison Madison   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Heritage Leesburg Madison   Madison
Herndon Madison Madison   6- 1 vs 4- 3
Hickory LC Madison   Madison
Hidden Valley Madison   Madison
Highland School Madison   Madison
Highland Springs Madison   Madison
Hylton Madison   Madison
Independence Madison insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Madison
James Monroe Madison   Madison
James River Madison   Madison
Jamestown LC Madison   Madison
Jefferson Forest Madison   Madison
John Champe Madison Madison   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Justice Madison   Madison
Kellam Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Madison
Kempsville Madison   Madison
Kettle Run Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Lafayette LC Madison   Madison
Lake Braddock Madison Madison   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Landstown Madison   Madison
Langley Langley Langley  
Lewis Madison   Madison
Liberty Bealeton Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Lightridge Madison Madison   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lloyd C Bird Madison   Madison
Lord Botetourt Madison   Madison
Loudoun County Madison insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Madison
Loudoun Valley Madison   Madison
Manchester Madison   Madison
Marshall Madison Madison   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Massaponax Madison   Madison
Matoaca Madison   Madison
Maury LC Madison   Madison
McLean Madison Madison  
Mechanicsville Madison   Madison
Menchville LC Madison   Madison
Meridian Madison Madison  
Midlothian Madison   Madison
Mills Godwin Madison   Madison
Monacan Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Monticello Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Mount Vernon Madison   Madison
Mountain View Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Madison   Madison
New Covenant School Madison   Madison
Norfolk Academy Madison   Madison
Norfolk Christian Madison   Madison
Norfolk Collegiate Madison   Madison
North Cross School Madison   Madison
North Stafford Madison   Madison
Northern VA Home Sch Madison   Madison
Oakton Madison Madison  
Ocean Lakes Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Orange County Madison   Madison
Osbourn Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Osbourn Park Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Park View Madison   Madison
Patrick Henry Ashla Madison   Madison
Patrick Henry Roano Madison   Madison
Patriot Madison Madison   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Potomac School Madison   Madison
Potomac-Dumfries Madison   Madison
Powhatan Madison   Madison
Princess Anne Madison   Madison
Riverbend Madison   Madison
Riverside Madison Madison  
Robinson Madison Madison  
Rock Ridge Madison   Madison
Rockbridge County Madison   Madison
Rockingham LC Madison   Madison
Salem Madison   Madison
Salem Virginia Beach Madison   Madison
Seton School Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
South County Madison Madison   7- 0 vs 2- 5
South Lakes Madison Madison  
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Madison   Madison
St Stephen-St Agnes Madison   Madison
Stafford Madison   Madison
Steward School Madison   Madison
Stone Bridge Madison tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Madison
Strasburg LC Madison   Madison
Tabb LC Madison   Madison
Tallwood Madison   Madison
Tandem Friends Madison   Madison
Thomas Dale Madison   Madison
Thomas Jefferson Madison   Madison
Trinity Christian Madison   Madison
Trinity Episcopal Madison   Madison
Trinity Meadow View Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Tuscarora Madison   Madison
Unity Reed Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Veritas School Madison   Madison
Virginia Academy Madison   Madison
Virginia Episcopal S Madison   Madison
Wakefield HS Madison Madison   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Wakefield School Madison   Madison
Washington-Liberty Madison Madison  
West Potomac Madison Madison  
West Springfield Madison Madison   7- 0 vs 0- 7
Western Albemarle Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Westfield Madison Madison  
William Byrd Madison   Madison
William Fleming Madison   Madison
Woodberry Forest Madison   Madison
Woodbridge Madison   Madison
Woodgrove Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Woodson Madison Madison   6- 0 vs 1- 5
York LC Madison   Madison
Yorktown Madison Madison  

PowerWise = 168


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Meridian        (13- 6, 87.1)    16- 5      -12.81      22.19       0.61         0.87            19.87
   0 H West Potomac    (15- 5, 92.6)    10- 7       -7.32      27.68      -0.61         0.87            23.59
   0 H Yorktown        (12- 7, 90.1)    13- 5       -9.82      25.18      -0.61         0.87            21.41
   0 A Chantilly       ( 9- 5, 90.3)    10- 9       -9.58      25.42       0.61         0.87            22.69
   0 A Riverside       (13- 3, 93.2)     7- 5       -6.71      28.29       0.61         0.87            25.19
   0 H Robinson        (16- 4, 93.6)     9- 8       -6.30      28.70      -0.61         0.87            24.48
   0 A Battlefield     (18- 4, 92.3)     8- 3       -7.63      27.37       0.61         0.87            24.38
   0 H Westfield       ( 6-12, 86.0)    14- 1      -13.86      21.14      -0.61         0.87            17.89
   0 A Oakton          (14- 4, 90.8)     8- 6       -9.09      25.92       0.61         0.87            23.12
   0 H South Lakes     ( 4-12, 84.3)     9- 3      -15.63      19.37      -0.61         0.87            16.35
   0 H McLean          (10- 8, 88.6)    12- 5      -11.33      23.67      -0.61         0.87            20.10
   0 A Centreville     ( 2- 8, 86.1)    11- 6      -13.85      21.16       0.61         0.87            18.97
   0 H Westfield       ( 6-12, 86.0)    15- 4      -13.86      21.14      -0.61         0.87            17.89
   0 H Oakton          (14- 4, 90.8)    12- 4       -9.09      25.92      -0.61         0.87            22.05
   0 H Washington-Lib  (10- 6, 89.3)    11- 5      -10.55      24.45      -0.61         0.87            20.78
   0 H Langley         (14- 3, 93.3)     7- 9       -6.60      28.41      -0.61         0.87            -6.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       312.48

winning pts = 318.7589 losing points = -6.2797

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------