Mount Abraham
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 90.1562Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 7- 8 415 A Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 0-12 418 A St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 93.9) 6-14 508 H Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 8- 9 510 H Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 4-14 514 A Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 0- 7 520 H Otter Valley Union ( 0- 9, 84.3) 1- 0 524 A Bellows Free Academy ( 2-11, 87.4) 16-12 528 H Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 12- 8 530 H Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 4-11 531 A Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 14- 2 609 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 7- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Stowe 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.39
415 A Hartford Union 0-12 -12 -8 0.00
418 A St Johnsbury Academy 6-14 -8 -4 -0.87
508 H Burlington 8- 9 -1 -4 + 2.86
510 H Milton 4-14 -10 -5 -0.21
514 A Harwood Union 0- 7 -7 -9 0.00
524 A Bellows Free Academy 16-12 4 2 1.68
528 H Spaulding 12- 8 4 2 1.91
530 H Montpelier 4-11 -7 0 -- -4.91
531 A Lyndon Institute 14- 2 12 7 0.00
609 A Montpelier 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 530 H Montpelier 4-11 -7 0 -- -4.91 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Burlington 8- 9 -1 -4 + 2.86 |
Mount Abraham Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Mount Abraham | Mount Abraham | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Bellows Free Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bellows Free Academy | |
| Brattleboro Union | Brattleboro Union | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Brattleboro Union | |
| Burlington | Burlington | Burlington | ||
| Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | Burr and Burton Acad | ||
| Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | ||
| Colchester | Mount Abraham | tied - ( 2- 7) ( 2- 7) | Mount Abraham | |
| Essex Junction | Essex Junction | Essex Junction | ||
| Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle | Green Mountain Valle 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Hartford Union | Hartford Union | Hartford Union | ||
| Harwood Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Lamoille Union | Lamoille Union | Lamoille Union | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Mount Abraham | Mount Abraham | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Milton | Milton | ||
| Montpelier | Montpelier | Montpelier | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Mt Anthony Union | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Otter Valley Union | Mount Abraham | Mount Abraham | ||
| Randolph Union | Mount Abraham | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Mount Abraham | |
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Rice Memorial | |
| Rutland | Rutland | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Rutland | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Spaulding | Mount Abraham | Mount Abraham | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Stowe | Stowe | Stowe | ||
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Mount Abraham | Mount Abraham | ||
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 7
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Stowe ( 5- 9, 91.2) 7- 8 -8.72 8.32 -0.42 1.18 -10.76
0 A Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 0-12 -2.13 14.92 0.42 1.18 -2.02
0 A St Johnsbury A (11- 5, 93.9) 6-14 -6.03 11.01 0.42 1.18 -6.61
0 H Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 8- 9 -5.47 11.57 -0.42 1.18 -6.94
0 H Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 4-14 -4.53 12.51 -0.42 1.18 -5.83
0 A Harwood Union (12- 1, 99.2) 0- 7 -0.69 16.35 0.42 1.18 -0.32
0 H Otter Valley U ( 0- 9, 84.3) 1- 0 -15.57 1.48 -0.42 1.18 1.25
0 A Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 87.4) 16-12 -12.48 4.56 0.42 1.18 5.87
0 H Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 12- 8 -11.42 5.63 -0.42 1.18 6.14
0 H Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 4-11 -9.23 7.81 -0.42 1.18 -11.37
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 14- 2 -17.04 1.00 0.42 1.18 1.67
0 A Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 7- 8 -9.23 7.81 0.42 1.18 -10.39
------
-39.32
|
winning pts = 14.9248 losing points = -54.2457
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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