Old Lyme
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 74.7158Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 4-19 408 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 6- 9 410 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 16- 0 412 H Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 7-13 415 A Valley Regional (10- 9, 79.3) 7-19 422 A North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 1-13 424 H Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 1-13 429 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 15- 1 501 H Valley Regional (10- 9, 79.3) 7- 6 507 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 2-19 508 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 2-12 510 A Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 5- 9 513 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 2- 5 515 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 0-24 517 A Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 7-16 519 H Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 9- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Bacon Academy 4-19 -15 -8 0.00
408 A Morgan School 6- 9 -3 -4 0.88
410 H Cromwell 16- 0 16 12 0.00
412 H Old Saybrook 7-13 -6 -8 0.00
415 A Valley Regional 7-19 -12 -5 0.00
422 A North Branford 1-13 -12 -7 0.00
424 H Haddam-Killingworth 1-13 -12 -11 0.00
429 A Cromwell 15- 1 14 11 0.00
501 H Valley Regional 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.16
507 A Old Saybrook 2-19 -17 -9 0.00
508 H North Branford 2-12 -10 -6 0.00
510 A Stonington 5- 9 -4 -3 -0.79
513 H Morgan School 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.06
515 A Haddam-Killingworth 0-24 -24 -12 0.00
517 A Fitch Groton 7-16 -9 0 -- -4.69
519 H Montville 9- 4 5 6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 A Fitch Groton 7-16 -9 0 -- -4.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Valley Regional 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.16 |
Old Lyme Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | ||
| Berlin | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Bunnell-Stratford | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Canton | Canton | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Canton | |
| Capital-Classical Pr | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Danbury | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Enfield | Enfield | ||
| EO Smith | EO Smith | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | EO Smith | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | Fitch Groton | ||
| Foran | Foran | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hall | |
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Immaculate Danbury | Immaculate Danbury | Immaculate Danbury | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Old Lyme | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Lakeview United | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Ledyard-Griswold | Ledyard-Griswold | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Ledyard-Griswold | |
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Maloney-Platt | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Middletown | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Montville | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Morgan School | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Milford | |
| Newington | Newington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| North Haven | North Haven | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | North Haven | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Old Lyme | |
| Norwich Tech | Old Lyme | Old Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Pomperaug | |
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| RHAM | RHAM | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | RHAM | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Rocky Hill | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Shelton | Shelton | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | St Paul Catholic | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington | ||
| Suffield | Suffield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Suffield | |
| Tolland | Old Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Lyme | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Valley Regional | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Valley Regional | |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Old Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Lyme | |
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Watertown | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| West Haven | Old Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Lyme | |
| Westhill | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | Wethersfield | ||
| Wilbur Cross | Old Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Lyme | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Wolcott | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Old Lyme | |
| Xavier | Xavier | Xavier |
PowerWise = 25
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 4-19 -16.79 23.47 -0.47 1.06 -18.35
0 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 6- 9 -21.77 18.48 0.47 1.06 -22.64
0 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 16- 0 -36.37 3.88 -0.47 1.06 3.63
0 H Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 7-13 -16.54 23.71 -0.47 1.06 -18.09
0 A Valley Regiona (10- 9, 79.3) 7-19 -20.55 19.70 0.47 1.06 -21.35
0 A North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 1-13 -18.44 21.81 0.47 1.06 -19.10
0 H Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 1-13 -13.74 26.52 -0.47 1.06 -15.11
0 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 15- 1 -36.37 3.88 0.47 1.06 4.63
0 H Valley Regiona (10- 9, 79.3) 7- 6 -20.55 19.70 -0.47 1.06 20.44
0 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 2-19 -16.54 23.71 0.47 1.06 -17.09
0 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 2-12 -18.44 21.81 -0.47 1.06 -20.11
0 A Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 5- 9 -22.45 17.81 0.47 1.06 -23.36
0 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 2- 5 -21.77 18.48 -0.47 1.06 -23.65
0 A Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 0-24 -13.74 26.52 0.47 1.06 -14.10
0 A Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 7-16 -25.34 14.91 0.47 1.06 -26.44
0 H Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 9- 4 -30.27 9.99 -0.47 1.06 10.12
------
-200.58
|
winning pts = 38.8181 losing points = -239.3956
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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