East Lyme
W-L: (15- 4) PR = 83.5862Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 16-14 408 H Norwich Free Academy ( 7- 9, 73.2) 17- 1 410 A Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 6- 5 412 H Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 13-12 415 H Newington ( 5-12, 79.9) 12- 5 422 H Ledyard-Griswold ( 8- 8, 75.4) 21- 2 424 A Woodstock Academy ( 4-11, 73.2) 18- 2 426 A Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 6-14 429 H Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 19- 2 501 H Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 16- 6 503 A Xavier ( 6-10, 83.2) 6-10 506 A Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 16- 3 513 A St Bernard-Wheeler ( 9- 7, 81.7) 8- 5 517 H Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 5- 9 520 H Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 17- 2 523 A Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 13- 6 529 H Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 10- 7 604 H Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 11- 4 607 A Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 3-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H RHAM 16-14 2 1 1.12
408 H Norwich Free Academy 17- 1 16 11 0.00
410 A Bacon Academy 6- 5 1 0 1.00
412 H Wethersfield 13-12 1 3 - -2.17
415 H Newington 12- 5 7 4 0.81
422 H Ledyard-Griswold 21- 2 19 9 0.00
424 A Woodstock Academy 18- 2 16 10 0.00
426 A Conard 6-14 -8 -7 0.00
429 H Fitch Groton 19- 2 17 10 0.00
501 H Waterford 16- 6 10 4 0.64
503 A Xavier 6-10 -4 0 - -3.87
506 A Stonington 16- 3 13 6 0.00
513 A St Bernard-Wheeler 8- 5 3 1 1.55
517 H Guilford 5- 9 -4 -3 -1.20
520 H Montville 17- 2 15 14 0.00
523 A Brien McMahon 13- 6 7 4 1.33
529 H Bacon Academy 10- 7 3 1 + 2.05
604 H Branford 11- 4 7 5 0.00
607 A Guilford 3-12 -9 -4 -1.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Wethersfield 13-12 1 3 - -2.17 503 A Xavier 6-10 -4 0 - -3.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 529 H Bacon Academy 10- 7 3 1 + 2.05 |
East Lyme Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Bacon Academy | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Berlin | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Bethel | |
| Branford | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Brien McMahon | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Canton | East Lyme | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Capital-Classical Pr | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Danbury | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Enfield | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Lyme | |
| EO Smith | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fairfield Warde | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Farmington | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Fitch Groton | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Foran | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Glastonbury | |
| Granby Memorial | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Hamden | East Lyme | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Holy Cross | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Immaculate Danbury | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Lakeview United | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Ledyard-Griswold | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Lewis Mills | East Lyme | East Lyme 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lyman Hall | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Maloney-Platt | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Masuk | East Lyme | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Middletown | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Montville | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Morgan School | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | East Lyme | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New Milford | New Milford | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | New Milford | |
| Newington | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | East Lyme | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | East Lyme | |
| North Haven | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Northwest Catholic | East Lyme | East Lyme 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Norwalk | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Norwich Tech | East Lyme | East Lyme 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Old Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Old Saybrook | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Pomperaug | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Prince-Cheney Tech | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| RHAM | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Rocky Hill | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Southington | Southington | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Southington | |
| St Bernard-Wheeler | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Joseph Trumbull | |
| St Paul Catholic | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Stamford | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Staples | Staples | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Staples | |
| Stonington | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Suffield | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Tolland | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Waterford | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Watertown | East Lyme | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| West Haven | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Westhill | East Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Lyme | |
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Wilbur Cross | East Lyme | East Lyme 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Wolcott | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Woodstock Academy | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Xavier | Xavier | Xavier |
PowerWise = 68
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 16-14 -16.72 23.54 -0.47 0.90 20.65
0 H Norwich Free A ( 7- 9, 73.2) 17- 1 -26.67 13.59 -0.47 0.90 11.74
0 A Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 6- 5 -16.79 23.47 0.47 0.90 21.43
0 H Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 13-12 -19.02 21.24 -0.47 0.90 18.59
0 H Newington ( 5-12, 79.9) 12- 5 -20.03 20.22 -0.47 0.90 17.68
0 H Ledyard-Griswo ( 8- 8, 75.4) 21- 2 -24.51 15.75 -0.47 0.90 13.67
0 A Woodstock Acad ( 4-11, 73.2) 18- 2 -26.74 13.51 0.47 0.90 12.52
0 A Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 6-14 -10.26 30.00 0.47 0.90 -8.76
0 H Fitch Groton ( 3-10, 74.6) 19- 2 -25.34 14.91 -0.47 0.90 12.93
0 H Waterford (10- 5, 79.7) 16- 6 -20.20 20.05 -0.47 0.90 17.53
0 A Xavier ( 6-10, 83.2) 6-10 -16.65 23.60 0.47 0.90 -14.49
0 A Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 16- 3 -22.45 17.81 0.47 0.90 16.37
0 A St Bernard-Whe ( 9- 7, 81.7) 8- 5 -18.24 22.02 0.47 0.90 20.14
0 H Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 5- 9 -13.04 27.22 -0.47 0.90 -12.10
0 H Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 17- 2 -30.27 9.99 -0.47 0.90 8.52
0 A Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 13- 6 -20.46 19.80 0.47 0.90 18.15
0 H Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 10- 7 -16.79 23.47 -0.47 0.90 20.58
0 H Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 11- 4 -21.22 19.04 -0.47 0.90 16.62
0 A Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 3-12 -13.04 27.22 0.47 0.90 -11.25
------
200.52
|
winning pts = 247.1134 losing points = -46.5929
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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