Lewis Mills
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 79.5220Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Bristol Co-Op (15- 3, 80.7) 7- 8 410 A Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 8- 7 414 H Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 82.7) 5-17 417 H Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 14- 8 418 H Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 5- 8 421 A Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 8-19 424 H RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 10-17 501 A Newington ( 5-12, 79.9) 6-10 509 A Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 13- 4 512 A Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 7-10 513 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 12-15 515 H South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 10- 9 516 A Prince-Cheney Tech ( 1-12, 59.6) 14- 0 519 H Tolland ( 3-13, 71.9) 14- 1 520 A St Paul Catholic (11- 7, 77.5) 18- 6 523 A Berlin ( 6-10, 75.2) 15- 2 604 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 4-22
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
407 A Bristol Co-Op 7- 8 -1 -2 0.65
410 A Avon HS 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.13
414 H Northwest Catholic 5-17 -12 -3 - -2.29
417 H Stonington 14- 8 6 3 + 2.46
418 H Suffield 5- 8 -3 -2 -1.13
421 A Farmington 8-19 -11 -4 -1.06
424 H RHAM 10-17 -7 -3 -1.81
501 A Newington 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.18
509 A Watertown 13- 4 9 7 0.00
512 A Wethersfield 7-10 -3 -2 -1.16
513 H East Catholic 12-15 -3 -3 0.04
515 H South Windsor 10- 9 1 0 0.78
516 A Prince-Cheney Tech 14- 0 14 19 0.00
519 H Tolland 14- 1 13 8 0.00
520 A St Paul Catholic 18- 6 12 2 + 3.47
523 A Berlin 15- 2 13 4 1.11
604 A Haddam-Killingworth 4-22 -18 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H Northwest Catholic 5-17 -12 -3 - -2.29 501 A Newington 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Avon HS 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.13 417 H Stonington 14- 8 6 3 + 2.46 520 A St Paul Catholic 18- 6 12 2 + 3.47 |
Lewis Mills Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Berlin | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Brien McMahon | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Bunnell-Stratford | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Canton | Canton | Canton 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Capital-Classical Pr | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | Conard 7- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Cromwell | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Danbury | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Darien | |
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ellington | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Enfield | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Lewis Mills | |
| EO Smith | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills 3- 4 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch Groton | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Hall | Hall 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hamden | |
| Holy Cross | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Immaculate Danbury | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Lakeview United | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Ledyard-Griswold | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Maloney-Platt | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Masuk | |
| Middletown | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Montville | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Morgan School | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | New Milford | ||
| Newington | Newington | Newington | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| North Haven | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Lewis Mills | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Norwich Tech | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | ||
| Old Lyme | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Old Saybrook | |
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Pomperaug | |
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Rocky Hill | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| South Windsor | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | St Bernard-Wheeler | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Suffield | Suffield | Suffield | ||
| Tolland | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Waterford | Waterford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| West Haven | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Westhill | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | Wethersfield | ||
| Wilbur Cross | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Wolcott | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Xavier | Xavier | Xavier 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 45
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Bristol Co-Op (15- 3, 80.7) 7- 8 -19.20 21.05 0.47 1.00 -18.74
0 A Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 8- 7 -19.72 20.54 0.47 1.00 21.02
0 H Northwest Cath ( 8- 9, 82.7) 5-17 -17.20 23.06 -0.47 1.00 -17.68
0 H Stonington ( 7- 9, 77.5) 14- 8 -22.45 17.81 -0.47 1.00 17.35
0 H Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 5- 8 -18.04 22.22 -0.47 1.00 -18.52
0 A Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 8-19 -16.92 23.34 0.47 1.00 -16.45
0 H RHAM (15- 5, 83.2) 10-17 -16.72 23.54 -0.47 1.00 -17.20
0 A Newington ( 5-12, 79.9) 6-10 -20.03 20.22 0.47 1.00 -19.57
0 A Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 13- 4 -27.95 12.31 0.47 1.00 12.79
0 A Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 7-10 -19.02 21.24 0.47 1.00 -18.55
0 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 12-15 -16.87 23.39 -0.47 1.00 -17.35
0 H South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 10- 9 -20.13 20.13 -0.47 1.00 19.66
0 A Prince-Cheney ( 1-12, 59.6) 14- 0 -40.26 1.00 0.47 1.00 1.47
0 H Tolland ( 3-13, 71.9) 14- 1 -28.05 12.21 -0.47 1.00 11.74
0 A St Paul Cathol (11- 7, 77.5) 18- 6 -22.38 17.87 0.47 1.00 18.36
0 A Berlin ( 6-10, 75.2) 15- 2 -24.74 15.51 0.47 1.00 15.99
0 A Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 4-22 -13.74 26.52 0.47 1.00 -13.27
------
-38.95
|
winning pts = 118.3866 losing points = -157.3416
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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