---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:10 PDT

safe3step boys Lower Dauphin 1
  
Lower Dauphin         
W-L: (16- 6) PR = 86.1620

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Susquehannock ( 7- 9, 81.4) 11- 9 319 A Conestoga Valley ( 8- 8, 87.2) 10- 9 324 A Gettysburg ( 0-18, 73.7) 17- 6 327 H Palmyra (13- 7, 85.6) 9- 7 328 A Spring Grove (10- 8, 83.1) 10- 7 401 H Hershey (11- 9, 83.3) 7- 6 403 A Red Land ( 5-13, 77.7) 18- 2 408 H Northern York ( 6-12, 79.2) 13- 3 410 A Bishop McDevitt ( 6-11, 78.7) 14- 1 411 A Trinity HS (24- 1, 89.6) 7- 8 416 H Gettysburg ( 0-18, 73.7) 17- 1 422 A Palmyra (13- 7, 85.6) 8- 7 424 A Hershey (11- 9, 83.3) 7- 8 429 H Red Land ( 5-13, 77.7) 18- 1 501 A Northern York ( 6-12, 79.2) 16- 3 502 H Cocalico (12- 7, 87.1) 5- 4 506 H Bishop McDevitt ( 6-11, 78.7) 11- 2 508 A Trinity HS (24- 1, 89.6) 4- 9 520 H Cocalico (12- 7, 87.1) 5- 2 522 A Trinity HS (24- 1, 89.6) 5- 8 527 A Twin Valley (19- 5, 89.5) 6-15 603 A Mars Area (19- 3, 89.6) 2-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Susquehannock          11- 9       2     5    -     -2.99
   319 A Conestoga Valley       10- 9       1    -1    +      2.20
   324 A Gettysburg             17- 6      11    12           0.00
   327 H Palmyra                 9- 7       2     1           1.26
   328 A Spring Grove           10- 7       3     3           0.11
   401 H Hershey                 7- 6       1     3    -     -2.05
   403 A Red Land               18- 2      16     8           0.00
   408 H Northern York          13- 3      10     7           0.00
   410 A Bishop McDevitt        14- 1      13     7           0.00
   411 A Trinity HS              7- 8      -1    -4    +      2.63
   416 H Gettysburg             17- 1      16    13           0.00
   422 A Palmyra                 8- 7       1     0           0.67
   424 A Hershey                 7- 8      -1     3    -     -3.64
   429 H Red Land               18- 1      17     9           0.00
   501 A Northern York          16- 3      13     7           0.00
   502 H Cocalico                5- 4       1    -1           1.74
   506 H Bishop McDevitt        11- 2       9     8           0.00
   508 A Trinity HS              4- 9      -5    -4          -1.37
   520 H Cocalico                5- 2       3    -1    +      3.74
   522 A Trinity HS              5- 8      -3    -4           0.63
   527 A Twin Valley             6-15      -9    -4          -1.44
   603 A Mars Area               2-12     -10    -4          -1.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Susquehannock          11- 9       2     5    -     -2.99
   401 H Hershey                 7- 6       1     3    -     -2.05
   424 A Hershey                 7- 8      -1     3    -     -3.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Conestoga Valley       10- 9       1    -1    +      2.20
   411 A Trinity HS              7- 8      -1    -4    +      2.63
   520 H Cocalico                5- 2       3    -1    +      3.74

Lower Dauphin Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Academy New Church Academy New Church   Academy New Church
AIM Academy Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Allentown Central Ca Allentown Central Ca insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Archbishop Ryan Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Archbishop Wood Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Avon Grove Avon Grove   Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Bayard Rustin Bayard Rustin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Bishop Shanahan Bishop Shanahan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Bonner-Prendergast Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Boyertown Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Cardinal OHara Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Central Bucks East Central Bucks East   Central Bucks East
Central Bucks South Central Bucks South   Central Bucks South
Central Bucks West Central Bucks West   Central Bucks West
Central Philadelphia Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Cheltenham Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Church Farm School Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Coatesville Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Conestoga Conestoga   Conestoga
Conwell Egan Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Council Rock North Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Council Rock South Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Delaware Valley Frie Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Devon Prep Devon Prep   Devon Prep
Downingtown East Downingtown East   Downingtown East
Downingtown West Downingtown West insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Downingtown West
Easton Area Easton Area   Easton Area
Emmaus Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Episcopal Academy Episcopal Academy   Episcopal Academy
Father Judge Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Frankford Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Freedom Bethlehem Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Garnet Valley Garnet Valley   Garnet Valley
George School Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
George Washington George Washington   George Washington
Germantown Academy Germantown Academy   Germantown Academy
Great Valley Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Harriton Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Hatboro-Horsham Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Haverford HS Haverford HS   Haverford HS
Haverford School Haverford School   Haverford School
Hill School Hill School   Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Interboro Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Jack Barrack Academy Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Kennett Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
La Salle College La Salle College   La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Liberty Bethlehem Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Lower Merion Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Malvern Prep Malvern Prep   Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown Marple Newtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Marple Newtown
Masterman Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Mastery Charter Nort Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Methacton Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Moravian Academy Moravian Academy   Moravian Academy
Nazareth Area Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Neshaminy Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
New Hope-Solebury Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
North Penn North Penn   North Penn
Northampton Area Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Northeast Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Northwestern Lehigh Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Olney Charter Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Owen J Roberts Owen J Roberts   Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Parkland Parkland   Parkland
Penn Charter Penn Charter   Penn Charter
Penncrest Penncrest   Penncrest
Pennridge Pennridge   Pennridge
Pennsbury Pennsbury   Pennsbury
Perkiomen School Perkiomen School   Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley Perkiomen Valley tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Pleasant Valley Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Plymouth-Whitemarsh Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Pope John Paul II Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Pottsgrove Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Quakertown Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Radnor Radnor   Radnor
Ridley Ridley   Ridley
Roman Catholic Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Saucon Valley Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Shipley School Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Solanco Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Souderton Souderton   Souderton
South Philadelphia Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Southern Lehigh Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Spring-Ford Spring-Ford   Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Springfield-Delco Springfield-Delco   Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut Springside Chestnut   Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep St Josephs Prep   St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Sun Valley Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Truman Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Unionville Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Upper Darby Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Upper Dublin Upper Dublin   Upper Dublin
Upper Merion Lower Dauphin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Upper Moreland Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
West Chester East Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
West Chester Henders West Chester Henders   West Chester Henders
West Philadelphia Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Westtown Westtown   Westtown
William Tennent Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Wissahickon Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Baldwin Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Bethel Park Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Butler Area Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Canon-McMillan Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Cathedral Prep Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Central Catholic Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Chartiers Valley Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Conneaut Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Erie-McDowell Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Fairview Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Fox Chapel Fox Chapel   Fox Chapel
Franklin Regional Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Freeport Area Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Gateway Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Greensburg Central C Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Hampton Hampton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Hampton
Hempfield Greensburg Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Hickory Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Indiana Area Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Knoch Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Latrobe Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Mars Area Mars Area Mars Area  
Meadville-Crawford C Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Moon Area Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Mount Lebanon Mount Lebanon insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny North Allegheny   North Allegheny
North Catholic Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
North Hills Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Norwin Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Penn-Trafford Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Peters Township Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Lower Dauphin
Pine Richland Pine Richland tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Pine Richland
Plum Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Quaker Valley Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Seton LaSalle Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Sewickley Academy Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Shady Side Academy Shady Side Academy   Shady Side Academy
Shaler Area Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
South Fayette South Fayette tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Fayette
Taylor Allderdice Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Trinity Area Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Upper St Clair Upper St Clair insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Upper St Clair
West Allegheny Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Winchester Thurston Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Abington Heights Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Bellefonte Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Berks Catholic Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bishop McDevitt Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin  
Carlisle Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Cedar Cliff Lower Dauphin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Cedar Crest Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Central Dauphin Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Central Dauphin East Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Central York Central York tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Central York
Chambersburg Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Cocalico Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin  
Conestoga Valley Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin  
Conrad Weiser Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Crestwood Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Cumberland Valley Cumberland Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cumberland Valley
Dallas Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Dallastown Dallastown tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Dallastown
Daniel Boone Lower Dauphin tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Danville Area Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Delaware Valley Delaware Valley   Delaware Valley
Delone Catholic Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Dover Area Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Eastern York Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Elizabethtown Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Ephrata Ephrata insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ephrata
Exeter Township Lower Dauphin tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Lower Dauphin
Garden Spot Lower Dauphin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lower Dauphin
Gettysburg Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin  
Governor Mifflin Lower Dauphin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Lower Dauphin
Hempfield Hempfield insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hempfield
Hershey Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   6- 1 vs 4- 3
Kennard-Dale Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lake-Lehman Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Lakeland Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Lampeter-Strasburg Lampeter-Strasburg insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Lampeter-Strasburg
Lancaster CDS Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lewisburg Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Manheim Township Manheim Township tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg Lower Dauphin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lower Dauphin
Mifflin County Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Mifflinburg Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Muhlenberg Lower Dauphin insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) Lower Dauphin
New Oxford New Oxford tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 1) New Oxford
North Pocono Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Northern York Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin  
Palmyra Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin  
Penn Manor Penn Manor tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Penn Manor
Red Land Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin  
Red Lion Lower Dauphin tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Lower Dauphin
Schuylkill Valley Lower Dauphin insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Lower Dauphin
Scranton Prep Scranton Prep   Scranton Prep
Selinsgrove Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
South-Western Lower Dauphin tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) Lower Dauphin
Spring Grove Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin  
State College State College   State College
Susquehannock Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin  
Trinity HS Trinity HS Trinity HS  
Tunkhannock Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Twin Valley Twin Valley Twin Valley  
Warwick Lower Dauphin insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Lower Dauphin
West York Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Wilkes-Barre Area Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Wilson West Lawn Wilson West Lawn tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Wyoming Seminary Lower Dauphin   Lower Dauphin
Wyomissing Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   2- 0 vs 0- 3
York Catholic Lower Dauphin insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) Lower Dauphin
York Suburban Lower Dauphin Lower Dauphin   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PowerWise = 158


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Susquehannock   ( 7- 9, 81.4)    11- 9      -18.53      15.81      -0.20         0.71            11.15
   0 A Conestoga Vall  ( 8- 8, 87.2)    10- 9      -12.74      21.59       0.20         0.71            15.57
   0 A Gettysburg      ( 0-18, 73.7)    17- 6      -26.24       8.09       0.20         0.71             5.93
   0 H Palmyra         (13- 7, 85.6)     9- 7      -14.27      20.07      -0.20         0.71            14.19
   0 A Spring Grove    (10- 8, 83.1)    10- 7      -16.83      17.50       0.20         0.71            12.65
   0 H Hershey         (11- 9, 83.3)     7- 6      -16.58      17.75      -0.20         0.71            12.54
   0 A Red Land        ( 5-13, 77.7)    18- 2      -22.22      12.12       0.20         0.71             8.80
   0 H Northern York   ( 6-12, 79.2)    13- 3      -20.69      13.65      -0.20         0.71             9.61
   0 A Bishop McDevit  ( 6-11, 78.7)    14- 1      -21.24      13.10       0.20         0.71             9.50
   0 A Trinity HS      (24- 1, 89.6)     7- 8      -10.31      24.02       0.20         0.71            -7.22
   0 H Gettysburg      ( 0-18, 73.7)    17- 1      -26.24       8.09      -0.20         0.71             5.64
   0 A Palmyra         (13- 7, 85.6)     8- 7      -14.27      20.07       0.20         0.71            14.48
   0 A Hershey         (11- 9, 83.3)     7- 8      -16.58      17.75       0.20         0.71           -11.70
   0 H Red Land        ( 5-13, 77.7)    18- 1      -22.22      12.12      -0.20         0.71             8.51
   0 A Northern York   ( 6-12, 79.2)    16- 3      -20.69      13.65       0.20         0.71             9.90
   0 H Cocalico        (12- 7, 87.1)     5- 4      -12.79      21.54      -0.20         0.71            15.25
   0 H Bishop McDevit  ( 6-11, 78.7)    11- 2      -21.24      13.10      -0.20         0.71             9.21
   0 A Trinity HS      (24- 1, 89.6)     4- 9      -10.31      24.02       0.20         0.71            -7.22
   0 H Cocalico        (12- 7, 87.1)     5- 2      -12.79      21.54      -0.20         0.71            15.25
   0 A Trinity HS      (24- 1, 89.6)     5- 8      -10.31      24.02       0.20         0.71            -7.22
   0 A Twin Valley     (19- 5, 89.5)     6-15      -10.38      23.95       0.20         0.71            -7.27
   0 A Mars Area       (19- 3, 89.6)     2-12      -10.35      23.99       0.20         0.71            -7.25
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       130.29

winning pts = 178.1786 losing points = -47.8931

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------