---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Louisville Collegiat 1
  
Louisville Collegiat  
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 84.2182

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Male ( 4-10, 75.2) 16- 0 311 A North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 5- 6 313 H South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 9- 7 318 A Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 6-11 325 A Kentucky Country Day ( 8- 7, 88.3) 1-12 411 H Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 4-14 415 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 7- 2 417 H Christian Academy-Lo ( 9- 5, 86.6) 7- 8 421 H Atherton ( 8- 4, 80.4) 11- 3 430 H Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 5- 8 505 A Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 16- 0 507 H Atherton ( 8- 4, 80.4) 15- 2 509 A St Xavier Louisville ( 6- 1, 99.1) 3-21 514 A Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 2-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Male                   16- 0      16    10           0.00
   311 A North Oldham            5- 6      -1    -1           0.05
   313 H South Warren            9- 7       2     1           0.72
   318 A Eastern                 6-11      -5    -3          -1.90
   325 A Kentucky Country Day    1-12     -11    -5          -0.13
   411 H Ballard Louisville      4-14     -10    -2    -     -3.46
   415 H DuPont Manual           7- 2       5     1    +      3.81
   417 H Christian Academy-Lo    7- 8      -1    -2           0.68
   421 H Atherton               11- 3       8     5           0.39
   430 H Sayre                   5- 8      -3    -2          -0.57
   505 A Scott County           16- 0      16    11           0.00
   507 H Atherton               15- 2      13     5           0.39
   509 A St Xavier Louisville    3-21     -18   -16           0.00
   514 A Trinity Louisville      2-19     -17   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Ballard Louisville      4-14     -10    -2    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H DuPont Manual           7- 2       5     1    +      3.81

Louisville Collegiat Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Louisville Collegiat   Louisville Collegiat
Atherton Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat  
Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville  
Bluegrass Louisville Collegiat   Louisville Collegiat
Bowling Green Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Louisville Collegiat
Bryan Station Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Central Hardin Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo  
Collins Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Louisville Collegiat
Cooper Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Louisville Collegiat
Covington Catholic Louisville Collegiat tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Louisville Collegiat
DeSales Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Dixie Heights
DuPont Manual Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat  
Eastern Eastern Eastern  
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Great Crossing Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Louisville Collegiat
Greenwood Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Lafayette Louisville Collegiat tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Louisville Collegiat
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Lexington Christian
Male Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat  
North Hardin Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat   3- 0 vs 0- 3
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham  
Oldham County Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Louisville Collegiat
Owensboro Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Louisville Collegiat
Paul Laurence Dunbar Louisville Collegiat tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Louisville Collegiat
Ryle Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Louisville Collegiat
Sayre Sayre Sayre  
Scott County Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat  
Shelby County Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Louisville Collegiat
South Oldham South Oldham insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) South Oldham
South Warren Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat  
St Henry Louisville Collegiat   Louisville Collegiat
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville  
Tates Creek Louisville Collegiat tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Louisville Collegiat
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville  
Walton-Verona Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Louisville Collegiat
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County   3- 1 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 26


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Male            ( 4-10, 75.2)    16- 0      -24.67       7.31      -0.75         0.97             6.38
   0 A North Oldham    ( 9-10, 84.5)     5- 6      -15.38      16.60       0.75         0.97           -14.23
   0 H South Warren    ( 7- 5, 83.7)     9- 7      -16.21      15.78      -0.75         0.97            14.62
   0 A Eastern         ( 7- 6, 86.6)     6-11      -13.34      18.65       0.75         0.97           -12.24
   0 A Kentucky Count  ( 8- 7, 88.3)     1-12      -11.57      20.42       0.75         0.97           -10.52
   0 H Ballard Louisv  (10- 6, 86.5)     4-14      -13.39      18.60      -0.75         0.97           -13.75
   0 H DuPont Manual   (11- 8, 83.8)     7- 2      -16.12      15.86      -0.75         0.97            14.70
   0 H Christian Acad  ( 9- 5, 86.6)     7- 8      -13.25      18.73      -0.75         0.97           -13.62
   0 H Atherton        ( 8- 4, 80.4)    11- 3      -19.54      12.45      -0.75         0.97            11.38
   0 H Sayre           (11- 5, 87.4)     5- 8      -12.50      19.48      -0.75         0.97           -12.89
   0 A Scott County    ( 2-14, 72.5)    16- 0      -27.44       4.54       0.75         0.97             5.15
   0 H Atherton        ( 8- 4, 80.4)    15- 2      -19.54      12.45      -0.75         0.97            11.38
   0 A St Xavier Loui  ( 6- 1, 99.1)     3-21       -0.84      31.14       0.75         0.97            -0.09
   0 A Trinity Louisv  (13- 1, 99.9)     2-19       -0.00      31.98       0.75         0.97            -0.73
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -14.48

winning pts = 63.6051 losing points = -78.0836

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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