All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 70.6999969 home-field advantage = -1.24 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 301 A Kentucky Country Day (15- 4, 71.2) 18- 4 306 A Ryle (10- 8, 65.4) 14-11 308 H DuPont Manual ( 3-14, 63.8) 14- 7 309 H Bowling Green (10- 6, 66.3) 5- 6 309 H Gibson Southern ( 2- 5, 60.7) 8- 4 309 H South Warren (12- 5, 66.9) 8- 6 312 H Dixie Heights ( 6- 9, 60.5) 15- 5 315 H North Oldham (15- 6, 70.9) 12- 5 318 H Trinity Louisville (15- 1, 86.0) 4-18 321 H Christian Academy ( 5- 6, 67.8) 9- 8 326 A Henry Clay (12- 7, 70.3) 11- 8 409 H Covington Catholic ( 9-11, 62.9) 18- 2 413 H Tates Creek ( 6-11, 62.3) 20- 1 418 H Eastern ( 8-11, 70.4) 13-14 419 H DeSales ( 3-15, 48.9) 20- 2 422 H Frederick Douglass (15- 4, 70.1) 9-10 423 A Atherton (10- 6, 56.9) 18- 2 430 H Woodford County (16- 0, 74.7) 6-13 502 H Bowling Green (10- 6, 66.3) 12- 4 509 H DuPont Manual ( 3-14, 63.8) 11- 7 510 H Trinity Louisville (15- 1, 86.0) 2-19 512 A South Oldham (13- 7, 79.0) 3-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Kentucky Country Day 18- 4 14 -1 +++ 8.75 306 A Ryle 14-11 3 4 -1.03 308 H DuPont Manual 14- 7 7 8 0.00 309 H Bowling Green 5- 6 -1 5 --- -6.60 309 H Gibson Southern 8- 4 4 10 n/a 309 H South Warren 8- 6 2 4 - -2.99 312 H Dixie Heights 15- 5 10 11 0.00 315 H North Oldham 12- 5 7 1 ++ 5.94 318 H Trinity Louisville 4-18 -14 -14 0.00 321 H Christian Academy 9- 8 1 4 - -3.17 326 A Henry Clay 11- 8 3 0 + 3.84 409 H Covington Catholic 18- 2 16 9 0.00 413 H Tates Creek 20- 1 19 9 0.00 418 H Eastern 13-14 -1 1 - -2.54 419 H DeSales 20- 2 18 23 0.00 422 H Frederick Douglass 9-10 -1 1 - -2.82 423 A Atherton 18- 2 16 12 0.00 430 H Woodford County 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.28 502 H Bowling Green 12- 4 8 5 1.40 509 H DuPont Manual 11- 7 4 8 - -3.00 510 H Trinity Louisville 2-19 -17 -14 0.00 512 A South Oldham 3-15 -12 -9 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 H Bowling Green 5- 6 -1 5 --- -6.60 430 H Woodford County 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.28 309 H Gibson Southern 8- 4 4 10 - 309 H South Warren 8- 6 2 4 - -2.99 321 H Christian Academy 9- 8 1 4 - -3.17 418 H Eastern 13-14 -1 1 - -2.54 422 H Frederick Douglass 9-10 -1 1 - -2.82 509 H DuPont Manual 11- 7 4 8 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Kentucky Country Day 18- 4 14 -1 +++ 8.75 315 H North Oldham 12- 5 7 1 ++ 5.94 326 A Henry Clay 11- 8 3 0 + 3.84
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 70.70 Power Rank................. 8 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 38.93 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5529 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 19 RPI Rating............... .6168 RPI Rank................... 7 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 11 Selection sum ........... 34 Selection Rank ............ 10 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 95. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 7 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 8 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -12.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -8.3