Ballard Louisville
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 86.5144Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Bowling Green ( 7- 6, 81.6) 19- 4 307 H Atherton ( 8- 4, 80.4) 20- 6 311 H Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 17- 7 314 A Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 5-18 318 A Christian Academy-Lo ( 9- 5, 86.6) 7- 8 324 H Kentucky Country Day ( 8- 7, 88.3) 11-15 326 A Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 14- 8 411 A Louisville Collegiat ( 6- 8, 84.2) 14- 4 415 A Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 7-17 417 H Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 7- 7, 79.4) 19- 4 422 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 9- 8 424 H Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 13-12 427 H Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 4-17 430 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 21- 7 505 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 8- 6 508 N Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 12-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 H Bowling Green 19- 4 15 6 0.00
307 H Atherton 20- 6 14 7 0.00
311 H Henry Clay 17- 7 10 0 ++ 5.21
314 A Woodford County 5-18 -13 -9 0.00
318 A Christian Academy-Lo 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.12
324 H Kentucky Country Day 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.93
326 A Lexington Christian 14- 8 6 0 ++ 4.90
411 A Louisville Collegiat 14- 4 10 2 + 3.46
415 A Eastern 7-17 -10 -1 -- -4.20
417 H Paul Laurence Dunbar 19- 4 15 8 0.00
422 H North Oldham 9- 8 1 3 -1.75
424 H Lexington Catholic 13-12 1 0 1.34
427 H Trinity Louisville 4-17 -13 -13 0.00
430 H Ryle 21- 7 14 4 0.53
505 H DuPont Manual 8- 6 2 3 -1.49
508 N Eastern 12-18 -6 0 -- -4.95
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Eastern 7-17 -10 -1 -- -4.20 508 N Eastern 12-18 -6 0 -- -4.95 324 H Kentucky Country Day 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.93 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Henry Clay 17- 7 10 0 ++ 5.21 326 A Lexington Christian 14- 8 6 0 ++ 4.90 411 A Louisville Collegiat 14- 4 10 2 + 3.46 |
Ballard Louisville Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Atherton | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Bluegrass | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Bowling Green | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Bryan Station | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Central Hardin | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Christian Academy-Lo | Christian Academy-Lo | Christian Academy-Lo | ||
| Collins | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Cooper | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Covington Catholic | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| DeSales | Ballard Louisville | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard Louisville | |
| Dixie Heights | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| DuPont Manual | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 6- 1) | Frederick Douglass | |
| Great Crossing | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Greenwood | Ballard Louisville | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Ballard Louisville | |
| Henry Clay | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Lafayette | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Lexington Christian | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Louisville Collegiat | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Male | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| North Hardin | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| North Oldham | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Oldham County | Ballard Louisville | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ballard Louisville | |
| Owensboro | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Ryle | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Sayre | Sayre | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) | Sayre | |
| Scott County | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Shelby County | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| South Oldham | South Oldham | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | South Oldham | |
| South Warren | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| St Henry | Ballard Louisville | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ballard Louisville | |
| St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Tates Creek | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 5- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | ||
| Walton-Verona | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County |
PowerWise = 32
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Bowling Green ( 7- 6, 81.6) 19- 4 -18.25 13.73 -0.75 0.85 11.05
0 H Atherton ( 8- 4, 80.4) 20- 6 -19.54 12.45 -0.75 0.85 9.96
0 H Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 17- 7 -12.43 19.56 -0.75 0.85 16.01
0 A Woodford Count (14- 3, 94.6) 5-18 -5.27 26.71 0.75 0.85 -3.85
0 A Christian Acad ( 9- 5, 86.6) 7- 8 -13.25 18.73 0.75 0.85 -10.64
0 H Kentucky Count ( 8- 7, 88.3) 11-15 -11.57 20.42 -0.75 0.85 -10.48
0 A Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 14- 8 -14.24 17.75 0.75 0.85 15.74
0 A Louisville Col ( 6- 8, 84.2) 14- 4 -15.68 16.30 0.75 0.85 14.52
0 A Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 7-17 -13.34 18.65 0.75 0.85 -10.71
0 H Paul Laurence ( 7- 7, 79.4) 19- 4 -20.49 11.49 -0.75 0.85 9.14
0 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 9- 8 -15.38 16.60 -0.75 0.85 13.49
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 7, 87.6) 13-12 -12.29 19.69 -0.75 0.85 16.12
0 H Trinity Louisv (13- 1, 99.9) 4-17 -0.00 31.98 -0.75 0.85 -0.64
0 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 21- 7 -17.10 14.88 -0.75 0.85 12.03
0 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 8- 6 -16.12 15.86 -0.75 0.85 12.86
0 N Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 12-18 -13.34 18.65 -0.00 0.85 -11.35
------
83.23
|
winning pts = 130.9097 losing points = -47.6803
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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