List of boy Div 27 Ballard Louisville List of Team Values for Kentucky


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Kentucky Country Day   18- 4      14     0    +++    7.22
   306 A Ryle                   14-11       3     5    -     -2.06
   308 H DuPont Manual          14- 7       7     8           0.00
   309 H Bowling Green           5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.94
   309 H Gibson Southern         8- 4       4    11          n/a  
   309 H South Warren            8- 6       2     5    -     -3.21
   312 H Dixie Heights          15- 5      10    13           0.00
   315 H North Oldham           12- 5       7     2    ++     4.99
   318 H Trinity Louisville      4-18     -14   -13           0.00
   321 H Christian Academy       9- 8       1     3    -     -2.45
   326 A Henry Clay             11- 8       3     0    +      3.71
   409 H Covington Catholic     18- 2      16     9           0.00
   413 H Tates Creek            20- 1      19     9           0.00
   418 H Eastern                13-14      -1     1    -     -2.50
   419 H DeSales                20- 2      18    25           0.00
   422 H Frederick Douglass      9-10      -1     1    -     -2.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Bowling Green           5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.94
   306 A Ryle                   14-11       3     5    -     -2.06
   309 H Gibson Southern         8- 4       4    11    -          
   309 H South Warren            8- 6       2     5    -     -3.21
   321 H Christian Academy       9- 8       1     3    -     -2.45
   418 H Eastern                13-14      -1     1    -     -2.50
   422 H Frederick Douglass      9-10      -1     1    -     -2.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Kentucky Country Day   18- 4      14     0    +++    7.22
   315 H North Oldham           12- 5       7     2    ++     4.99
   326 A Henry Clay             11- 8       3     0    +      3.71



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 69.73 Power Rank.................     6
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 34.96 SOS (PR) Rank..............    13
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5731 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    11
 RPI Rating............... .6094 RPI Rank...................     7
 Champ. Probability ......   3.0 Championship Rank .........     5
 Selection sum ...........    23 Selection Rank ............     6
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....   85. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     5
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   80. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     5
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  12.4 Ave Defensive Goals .......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3