Lutheran
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 84.4095Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Resurrection Christi (11- 4, 87.2) 2-14 311 H Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 6-13 315 A Vanguard School ( 7- 8, 76.4) 14- 4 325 H Evergreen (15- 3, 89.4) 6-16 327 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 13- 7 329 A Mullen ( 7- 7, 82.4) 12- 8 405 H Golden ( 9- 6, 86.8) 5- 6 408 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 18- 5 412 A Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 6-16 415 A Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 10- 5 417 H Cheyenne Mountain ( 8- 7, 87.7) 5- 7 423 A Smoky Hill ( 6- 9, 75.1) 15- 4 429 H Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 8-10 501 A Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 8-14 506 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 11- 6 509 A Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 5-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Resurrection Christi 2-14 -12 -3 -1.87
311 H Heritage 6-13 -7 0 -- -4.74
315 A Vanguard School 14- 4 10 8 0.00
325 H Evergreen 6-16 -10 -5 -0.41
327 A Pueblo West 13- 7 6 2 + 3.24
329 A Mullen 12- 8 4 2 + 2.32
405 H Golden 5- 6 -1 -2 1.03
408 A Rangeview 18- 5 13 9 0.00
412 A Air Academy 6-16 -10 -6 0.00
415 A Ponderosa 10- 5 5 5 0.28
417 H Cheyenne Mountain 5- 7 -2 -3 0.94
423 A Smoky Hill 15- 4 11 9 0.00
429 H Steamboat Springs 8-10 -2 -3 0.53
501 A Vail Mountain 8-14 -6 0 -- -4.55
506 A Pueblo West 11- 6 5 2 + 3.24
509 A Dakota Ridge 5-19 -14 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Heritage 6-13 -7 0 -- -4.74 501 A Vail Mountain 8-14 -6 0 -- -4.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Pueblo West 13- 7 6 2 + 3.24 329 A Mullen 12- 8 4 2 + 2.32 506 A Pueblo West 11- 6 5 2 + 3.24 |
Lutheran Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arapahoe | |
| Arvada West | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lutheran | |
| Aspen | Aspen | Aspen 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Boulder | Boulder | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boulder | |
| Castle View | Castle View | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Castle View | |
| Chaparral | Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lutheran | |
| Chatfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | ||
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Colorado Academy | |
| Columbine | Columbine | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Columbine | |
| Conifer | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 1- 6) | Lutheran | |
| Crested Butte | Lutheran | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lutheran | |
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Denver East | |
| Denver North | Lutheran | Lutheran 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South | ||
| Douglas County | Lutheran | Lutheran 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Durango | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lutheran | |
| Eagle Valley | Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lutheran | |
| Eaglecrest | Lutheran | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Lutheran | |
| Erie | Erie | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Erie | |
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fountain Valley | Lutheran | Lutheran 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Fruita Monument | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lutheran | |
| Golden | Golden | Golden | ||
| Grand Junction | Grand Junction | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grand Junction | |
| Grandview | Grandview | Grandview | ||
| Green Mountain | Lutheran | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) | Lutheran | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Holy Family | Lutheran | Lutheran 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Jefferson Academy | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Lutheran | |
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kent Denver | |
| Lakewood | Lakewood | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lakewood | |
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Littleton | Lutheran | Lutheran 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Middle Park | Lutheran | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Lutheran | |
| Monarch | Monarch | Monarch | ||
| Montrose | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| Mountain Range | Mountain Range | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mountain Range | |
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | ||
| Mullen | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northfield | |
| Palmer | Lutheran | Lutheran 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Pine Creek | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lutheran | |
| Ponderosa | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| Poudre District | Poudre District | Poudre District 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Prairie View | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Lutheran | |
| Pueblo West | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ralston Valley | |
| Rangeview | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi | ||
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| Smoky Hill | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| St Marys HS | Lutheran | Lutheran 5- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | ||
| Summit | Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lutheran | |
| Telluride | Telluride | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Telluride | |
| Thomas Jefferson | Lutheran | Lutheran 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Thompson Valley | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Lutheran | |
| ThunderRidge | Lutheran | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Lutheran | |
| Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian | ||
| Vanguard School | Lutheran | Lutheran | ||
| Windsor | Lutheran | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Lutheran |
PowerWise = 33
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Resurrection C (11- 4, 87.2) 2-14 -12.73 20.77 0.37 0.94 -11.62
0 H Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 6-13 -14.87 18.64 -0.37 0.94 -14.32
0 A Vanguard Schoo ( 7- 8, 76.4) 14- 4 -23.47 10.03 0.37 0.94 9.78
0 H Evergreen (15- 3, 89.4) 6-16 -10.53 22.97 -0.37 0.94 -10.25
0 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 13- 7 -17.62 15.88 0.37 0.94 15.27
0 A Mullen ( 7- 7, 82.4) 12- 8 -17.54 15.97 0.37 0.94 15.36
0 H Golden ( 9- 6, 86.8) 5- 6 -13.09 20.41 -0.37 0.94 -12.65
0 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 18- 5 -24.99 8.51 0.37 0.94 8.35
0 A Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 6-16 -9.36 24.14 0.37 0.94 -8.45
0 A Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 10- 5 -20.57 12.93 0.37 0.94 12.50
0 H Cheyenne Mount ( 8- 7, 87.7) 5- 7 -12.19 21.32 -0.37 0.94 -11.80
0 A Smoky Hill ( 6- 9, 75.1) 15- 4 -24.80 8.70 0.37 0.94 8.53
0 H Steamboat Spri (10- 7, 87.3) 8-10 -12.59 20.91 -0.37 0.94 -12.18
0 A Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 8-14 -15.41 18.09 0.37 0.94 -14.14
0 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 11- 6 -17.62 15.88 0.37 0.94 15.27
0 A Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 5-19 -8.69 24.81 0.37 0.94 -7.82
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-18.19
|
winning pts = 85.0548 losing points = -103.2449
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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