Lake Travis
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 93.4259Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Anderson ( 9- 8, 85.0) 12- 2 212 H Dripping Springs ( 7-10, 86.5) 21- 1 223 A Highland Park (15- 1, 99.9) 3-10 227 H Vandegrift ( 6- 7, 88.1) 12- 7 301 H Cypress Woods ( 8- 8, 92.2) 12-13 305 A Westlake (11- 3, 95.8) 8-10 313 H Austin (12- 7, 89.4) 11- 2 328 H Kinkaid ( 5-12, 87.3) 15-10 329 A TMI Episcopal (10- 5, 90.4) 14- 8 406 A Katy ( 4- 8, 82.6) 24- 8 409 H Westwood ( 0-12, 79.4) 22- 0 423 H TMI Episcopal (10- 5, 90.4) 12- 7 425 A Westlake (11- 3, 95.8) 9-11 503 A Woodlands (12- 4, 96.9) 3-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Anderson 12- 2 10 9 0.00
212 H Dripping Springs 21- 1 20 7 0.00
223 A Highland Park 3-10 -7 -7 0.00
227 H Vandegrift 12- 7 5 6 0.00
301 H Cypress Woods 12-13 -1 2 - -2.70
305 A Westlake 8-10 -2 -3 0.92
313 H Austin 11- 2 9 5 0.47
328 H Kinkaid 15-10 5 7 0.00
329 A TMI Episcopal 14- 8 6 2 + 2.52
406 A Katy 24- 8 16 10 0.00
409 H Westwood 22- 0 22 15 0.00
423 H TMI Episcopal 12- 7 5 3 1.51
425 A Westlake 9-11 -2 -3 0.92
503 A Woodlands 3-12 -9 -4 -1.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Cypress Woods 12-13 -1 2 - -2.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A TMI Episcopal 14- 8 6 2 + 2.52 |
Lake Travis Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamo Heights | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| All Saints Episcopal | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Allen | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Travis | |
| Anderson | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Antonian College Pre | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Atascocita | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Austin | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Awty International | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Bellaire | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Bishop Lynch | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Boerne | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Bowie | Lake Travis | Lake Travis 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bridge LC | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Canyon | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Central Catholic | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Clear Springs | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Concordia Lutheran | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Coppell | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Coronado El Paso | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Cumberland Academy | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Cypress Woods | Cypress Woods | Cypress Woods | ||
| Dallas Jesuit | Dallas Jesuit | Dallas Jesuit 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Dallas Jesuit B | Lake Travis | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Travis | |
| Dripping Springs | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Emery-Weiner | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Episcopal Houston | Lake Travis | Lake Travis 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Episcopal Dallas | Episcopal Dallas | Episcopal Dallas 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Flower Mound | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Fort Worth CDS | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Friendswood | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Frisco | Lake Travis | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Travis | |
| Gateway | Lake Travis | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Lake Travis | |
| George Ranch | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Georgetown | Lake Travis | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Lake Travis | |
| Grapevine | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Greenhill | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Guyer | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Hebron | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Highland Park | Highland Park | Highland Park | ||
| Highland Park B | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Hillcrest | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Houston Christian | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Lake Travis | |
| Hyde Park | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| John Paul II | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Katy | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Keller | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Kingwood | Lake Travis | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Lake Travis | |
| Kinkaid | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Klein | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Lamar | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Liberty Hill | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Lovejoy | Lake Travis | Lake Travis 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Magnolia | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| McKinney | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Memorial | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Lake Travis | |
| New Braunfels | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Parish Episcopal | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Pearland | Lake Travis | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Travis | |
| Plano | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Plano East | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Plano West | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Prosper | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Reagan | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Regents School Aust | Lake Travis | Lake Travis 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ridge Point | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Rockwall | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Lake Travis | |
| Rouse | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Santa Fe LC | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Smithson Valley | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Southlake | Lake Travis | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lake Travis | |
| St Andrews | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| St Johns | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Lake Travis | |
| St Marks | Lake Travis | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| St Marys Hall | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| St Michaels | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| St Pius X | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| St Stephens | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| St Thomas | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Stony Point | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Strake Jesuit | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Lake Travis | |
| Stratford | Lake Travis | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Travis | |
| Tascosa | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| TMI Episcopal | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Trinity Valley | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Vandegrift | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Vista Ridge | Lake Travis | Lake Travis 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Westlake | Westlake | Westlake | ||
| Westlake B | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Westside | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Westwood | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Woodlands | Woodlands | Woodlands | ||
| Woodlands B | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis |
PowerWise = 86
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Anderson ( 9- 8, 85.0) 12- 2 -14.89 22.80 -0.51 0.95 21.16
0 H Dripping Sprin ( 7-10, 86.5) 21- 1 -13.44 24.25 -0.51 0.95 22.54
0 A Highland Park (15- 1, 99.9) 3-10 -0.00 37.69 0.51 0.95 -0.48
0 H Vandegrift ( 6- 7, 88.1) 12- 7 -11.80 25.89 -0.51 0.95 24.09
0 H Cypress Woods ( 8- 8, 92.2) 12-13 -7.67 30.02 -0.51 0.95 -7.76
0 A Westlake (11- 3, 95.8) 8-10 -4.06 33.63 0.51 0.95 -3.37
0 H Austin (12- 7, 89.4) 11- 2 -10.49 27.19 -0.51 0.95 25.34
0 H Kinkaid ( 5-12, 87.3) 15-10 -12.64 25.05 -0.51 0.95 23.30
0 A TMI Episcopal (10- 5, 90.4) 14- 8 -9.46 28.23 0.51 0.95 27.28
0 A Katy ( 4- 8, 82.6) 24- 8 -17.32 20.37 0.51 0.95 19.81
0 H Westwood ( 0-12, 79.4) 22- 0 -20.52 17.17 -0.51 0.95 15.81
0 H TMI Episcopal (10- 5, 90.4) 12- 7 -9.46 28.23 -0.51 0.95 26.32
0 A Westlake (11- 3, 95.8) 9-11 -4.06 33.63 0.51 0.95 -3.37
0 A Woodlands (12- 4, 96.9) 3-12 -3.01 34.68 0.51 0.95 -2.38
------
188.28
|
winning pts = 205.6496 losing points = -17.3682
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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