Tates Creek
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 79.1599Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 7-16 311 H Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 1-14 315 A Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 3- 9 318 A Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 15- 4 324 A Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 6-10 328 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 18-15 331 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 0-20 402 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 7- 7, 79.4) 8-14 414 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 3-12 416 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 7- 8 418 A Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 1-27 423 A Collins ( 6- 9, 78.4) 7- 1 425 H Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 6-10 428 H Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 8-18 430 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 6-15 509 N Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 3-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 H Ryle 7-16 -9 -3 - -2.12
311 H Eastern 1-14 -13 -7 0.00
315 A Frederick Douglass 3- 9 -6 -12 0.00
318 A Bryan Station 15- 4 11 5 0.00
324 A Lafayette 6-10 -4 -3 -1.44
328 A Cooper 18-15 3 0 + 3.32
331 A Sayre 0-20 -20 -9 0.00
402 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.00
414 H Lexington Christian 3-12 -9 -6 0.00
416 A Great Crossing 7- 8 -1 0 -1.44
418 A Woodford County 1-27 -26 -16 0.00
423 A Collins 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.01
425 H Dixie Heights 6-10 -4 -5 0.63
428 H Lexington Catholic 8-18 -10 -8 0.00
430 A Henry Clay 6-15 -9 -9 0.00
509 N Lexington Christian 3-12 -9 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.00 303 H Ryle 7-16 -9 -3 - -2.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Collins 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.01 328 A Cooper 18-15 3 0 + 3.32 |
Tates Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Anderson County | Anderson County | ||
| Atherton | Atherton | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Atherton | |
| Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville 5- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Bluegrass | Bluegrass | Bluegrass | ||
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Bryan Station | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Central Hardin | Tates Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tates Creek | |
| Christian Academy-Lo | Christian Academy-Lo | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Christian Academy-Lo | |
| Collins | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Cooper | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Covington Catholic | Covington Catholic | tied - ( 2- 7) ( 2- 7) | Covington Catholic | |
| DeSales | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Dixie Heights | Dixie Heights | Dixie Heights | ||
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | DuPont Manual | |
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Great Crossing | Great Crossing | Great Crossing | ||
| Greenwood | Greenwood | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Greenwood | |
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | ||
| Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | ||
| Louisville Collegiat | Louisville Collegiat | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Louisville Collegiat | |
| Male | Tates Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Tates Creek | |
| North Hardin | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| North Oldham | North Oldham | insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 2- 5) | North Oldham | |
| Oldham County | Tates Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tates Creek | |
| Owensboro | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Ryle | Ryle | Ryle | ||
| Sayre | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Scott County | Tates Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 7)( 1- 8) | Tates Creek | |
| Shelby County | Tates Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Tates Creek | |
| South Oldham | South Oldham | South Oldham 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| South Warren | South Warren | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | South Warren | |
| St Henry | Tates Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Tates Creek | |
| St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | ||
| Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Walton-Verona | Tates Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) | Tates Creek | |
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County |
PowerWise = 13
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 7-16 -17.10 14.88 -0.75 0.85 -15.20
0 H Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 1-14 -13.34 18.65 -0.75 0.85 -11.99
0 A Frederick Doug (15- 3, 90.1) 3- 9 -9.75 22.23 0.75 0.85 -7.66
0 A Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 15- 4 -26.81 5.18 0.75 0.85 5.05
0 A Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 6-10 -18.93 13.05 0.75 0.85 -15.48
0 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 18-15 -21.17 10.81 0.75 0.85 9.84
0 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 0-20 -12.50 19.48 0.75 0.85 -10.00
0 A Paul Laurence ( 7- 7, 79.4) 8-14 -20.49 11.49 0.75 0.85 -16.80
0 H Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 3-12 -14.24 17.75 -0.75 0.85 -12.76
0 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 7- 8 -21.94 10.05 0.75 0.85 -18.03
0 A Woodford Count (14- 3, 94.6) 1-27 -5.27 26.71 0.75 0.85 -3.85
0 A Collins ( 6- 9, 78.4) 7- 1 -21.48 10.50 0.75 0.85 9.58
0 H Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 6-10 -15.35 16.63 -0.75 0.85 -13.71
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 7, 87.6) 8-18 -12.29 19.69 -0.75 0.85 -11.10
0 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 6-15 -12.43 19.56 0.75 0.85 -9.94
0 N Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 3-12 -14.24 17.75 -0.00 0.85 -12.12
------
-134.17
|
winning pts = 24.4679 losing points = -158.6429
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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